I tell you, these latest Bill Connelly S&P+ retrospectives are giving me heartburn. If his 2013 simply reminded me of how injuries derailed what could have been Georgia’s best offense ever, certainly good enough to overcome one of Grantham’s weaker defenses en route to a divisional championship at minimum, the story of his 2014 rankings is simply one of a team that epically underachieved.
Consider this:
Eight weeks into the season, here’s where SEC teams ranked in the (new) S&P+:
1. Alabama (6-1)
2. Ole Miss (7-0)
3. Auburn (5-1)
4. Mississippi State (6-0)
5. Georgia (6-1)
8. LSU (6-2)
11. Texas A&M (5-3)
14. South Carolina (4-3)
16. Missouri (5-2)
24. Florida (3-3)
29. Kentucky (5-2)
30. Tennessee (3-4)
31. Arkansas (3-4)
66. Vanderbilt (2-5)The entire top five, nine of the top 16, 13 of the top 31, and an otherworldly average S&P+ rating of plus-21.8. As October flipped to November, the Southeastern Conference may have been at its highest ever height.
But while Alabama mostly kept up its pace and Georgia did enough to stay up there…
Bill is kind in his phrasing there. Georgia proceeded to lose two of its next five games, costing it another SEC East title. But here’s the part that’s quintessential 2014: Georgia’s S&P+ ranking climbed to third by season’s end. You really have to work at something like that.
Weirdly enough, from a strategic perspective, 2014 wasn’t marred by the usual Richt shortcoming of fixing one problem, only to allow another to crop up. He had a good grasp of his team’s strengths and weaknesses and did a superb job of maximizing little ball things like turnover margin (first in the conference) and field position. Ultimately, though, his team was undone by a lack of focus in Jacksonville and a disastrous squib kick decision against Tech.
Like I said, heartburn.