I’m not convinced that, on its own, California’s Fair Pay to Play Act represents an existential threat to the NCAA. Emmert and his cohorts have played the hardass card more times than I can count and contrary to McCann’s speculation, I can see them telling California schools and the Pac-12 it’s their problem to sort out, not the NCAA’s.
But that’s one state statute in isolation. What has the potential to represent an existential threat is if several jurisdictions, including Congress, follow suit. There are only so many places the NCAA can say talk to the hand before it becomes impossible to sustain.
That’s why the most important part of California’s impending legislation is that it doesn’t take effect until Jan. 1, 2023. Can the NCAA take a hint?