Luck of the draw

If Alabama manages to come up short against Clemson again this season and Nick needs a new excuse besides blaming his staff and best players for being distracted by their futures, this ought to work.

Not only must the Tide face five of the top 16 teams in ESPN’s Football Power Index this season, it will probably meet FPI No. 3 Georgia – a team that Alabama rallied to beat in overtime in each of the last two postseasons – if it reaches the SEC championship game.

Meanwhile, the FPI gives Clemson a 92.3% chance of victory or better in 10 of its 12 games. In the other two games, the FPI gives the Tigers an 88% chance of beating Texas A&M and an 85.1% chance of winning the regular-season finale at South Carolina…

Talk about a one-team conference. The only top-20 FPI teams Clemson will face are Texas A&M (No. 11) and South Carolina (No. 18), both of the SEC, with Florida State falling just outside the top 20 at No. 21. The average FPI rating of the nine non-SEC, non-FCS opponents Clemson will face is 63rd.

Life’s a bitch, ain’t it.

10 Comments

Filed under ACC Football, Alabama, BCS/Playoffs, Clemson: Auburn With A Lake, SEC Football

10 responses to “Luck of the draw

  1. Hmm, I don’t remember OT in the Sec championship game. Maybe I blocked it out.

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  2. Macallanlover

    There just isn’t enough interaction to insure eventual champions are tested, both during the season, and making it through a rugged test in post season. No one questions, now, whether Clemson was one of the elite teams last year, but honestly, going into he title game, I had doubts as to how good they really were. We all knew they were pretty good, but the playing field for evaluating those final four is never level.

    Not their fault that the ACC has fallen so far down, but basically they had one quality win, a close one against A&M on the road. The ACC title game was against Pitt, and the semi-final game was against ND, half of whom’s wins came against the same weak ACC conference. It looks just as bad this year.

    Clemson, on paper, looks good enough at this point to say they are one of the top 5 or 6 in the country, but the playoff needs to be another game deep to insure everyone is adequately tested before crowing them as champions. Three playoff games is deep enough, two may not be. Move to 8, ASAP.

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  3. You’re telling me, the only chance the acc has of over taking Clemson is if some one sneaks into the qb’s room, cuts his locks while asleep and the qb loses his strength…better lock that door during nap time and double the guard

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    • Biggus Rickus

      Oddly enough, if Syracuse had managed to hold the lead in Death Valley last year, Clemson wouldn’t have even played for the ACC title.

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  4. Biggus Rickus

    I’m pretty sure Clemson played a similarly awful schedule when Alabama beat them 24-6 in the 2018 playoff. It’s almost like success in the playoff has nothing to do with how tough your schedule is.

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  5. Warner Robins Dawg

    “Talk about a one-team conference. The only top-20 FPI teams Clemson will face are Texas A&M (No. 11) and South Carolina (No. 18), both of the SEC, with Florida State falling just outside the top 20 at No. 21. The average FPI rating of the nine non-SEC, non-FCS opponents Clemson will face is 63rd.”

    Anyone share this with Danny Kannell?

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