I get that South Carolina has a couple of wins, including one over a conference opponent, but damned if it doesn’t look a lot like the Tennessee matchup from Georgia’s perspective.
Here’s Jake Rowe’s assessment of the two teams’ position groups: seven in favor of Georgia and two pushes. As he puts it, “(t)here’s a reason that one team is 5-0 and the other is 2-3.”
Some of the raw stats compiled against FBS teams are eye opening. (Conference rank in parenthesis.)
- Offensive yards per play: UGA
8.30 (1st)7.75 (2nd); USC 4.87 (14th)
- Time of possession: UGA 33:48.75 (1st); USC 27:25.25 (14th)
- Offensive yards per rush: UGA 6.67 (1st); USC 4.05 (9th)
- Defensive yards per rush: UGA 2.72 (1st); USC 3.92 (9th)
- Offensive passer rating: UGA 174.50 (3rd); USC 105.50 (14th)
- Defensive passer rating: UGA 104.13 (2nd); USC 148.52 (11th)
The ‘Cocks red zone record is particularly putrid. They’ve only been in the red zone 11 times in four games, have whiffed on three of those entirely and have only managed four touchdowns.
That’s pretty lopsided. And based on stats to date, Boom can’t expect much out of Mr. Turnover Margin. Georgia is +4 against FBS competition, good for second in the SEC, while South Carolina is minus-3 and thirteenth.
Even with all that, I’m not sure Georgia covers Saturday, simply because I don’t think Kirby takes any great pleasure in embarrassing his ol’ buddy. Score aside, though, it’s hard to see how the Dawgs don’t control this game.