Today’s advanced stats showdown

Courtesy of Josh:

uga-o-v-tamu-d3

Outside of yards per rush, that is a pretty even face off.

tamu-o-v-uga-d3

On the other hand, outside of success rate on downs, that looks like a pretty dominant comparison favoring Georgia.

I’m not seeing a lot of points here.

19 Comments

Filed under Georgia Football, Stats Geek!

19 responses to “Today’s advanced stats showdown

  1. The other Doug

    It’s missing one advanced stat:

    “Today: Showers likely, then showers and possibly a thunderstorm after 9am. High near 65. South wind 5 to 10 mph, with gusts as high as 15 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New rainfall amounts between a half and three quarters of an inch possible.”

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  2. J-Dawg

    Enough stats already!!!!!!!!!!!!! Stats do “not” determine the outcome. The team that wants it more will win the game. Please Senator, give us fleishig, not schmaltz

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    • I’m sure Arkansas State wanted to win more than Georgia … eventually, Jimmies & Joes decide the game.

      Advanced stats mean something about the match-up. It doesn’t determine the outcome, but they are a strong indicator of the outcome.

      Liked by 1 person

      • Macallanlover

        No, the combo of the two, along with the degree of each factor, is the answer….which means there is no simple answer at all. Each person’s opinion has to be their own, unique (and subjective) formula. Wishful thinking/hoping wasn’t going to overcome the huge talent gap for Arkansas State, but it could have for an FU, or Auburn. This is why CFB has more WTF moments than the NFL, and is imminently more entertaining.

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        • Mac, my comment was more about the fact that “wanting it more” only carries you through about the first 5 minutes of the game. Talent, breaks and execution are eventually what decide the outcome. Advanced stats are a really good indicator of talent and execution.

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        • Greg

          “Wishful thinking/hoping wasn’t going to overcome the huge talent gap for Arkansas State, but it could have for an FU, or Auburn”

          Agree…..you got to want it more than they do for all 60 minutes….”find a way”. Wanting it for the first 5 against a Florida or Auburn will get you beat, the same with Texas A&M.

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  3. jt10mc (the other one)

    The thing about pur offense…a couple of %points higher may mean +14 for us. TAM has played only 1 stout defense…thier 4 wins are against putrid offenses..Ours is ‘t putrid…its ok BUT once as Coach Manball pointed out it clicks which it hasn’t all season…we will score points on spades. ok that’s my opinion.

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    • gastr1

      Have to be careful about comparing common opponents, though, because South Carolina and Auburn = drastically opposing results.

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  4. PTC DAWG

    Run. The. Damn. Ball.

    Liked by 1 person

  5. Keese

    Dawgs better get up and get ready for this game

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  6. ASEF

    Connelly preseason speculated that between Clemson, Alabama, Georgia and LSU, TAMU was going to ruin someone’s season. They’re running out of opportunities.

    Mond seems to play better when behind. His best moments have come in the second halves of games playing catch up against teams trying to squat on a lead. Hmmmm…..

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  7. FlyingPeakDawg

    24-17 Dawgs. Mond will have the ball in his hand with under 2 minutes to go. Pass the Pepto…Manball for the win.

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  8. Kdawg

    26 – 24 Dawgs

    In a game that’s statistically dominated by UGA but settling for FG’s. That’s my prediction.

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  9. BuffaloSpringfield

    My perspective is a battle between two punters and field position. aTM May win the ypp average. Now can the Dawgs sustain 80+ yard drives.
    aTm with the split back veer is a new wrinkle going back to the 70’s except QB was under center then. Dawgs got to be on the dive, QB and the pitch. Perimeter is a must on contain and play the dive inside out to inside shoulder of the QB and slow play. It might not look like Fishfries offense but it has the same concepts ,

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    • Greg

      Yep….everything in football seems to cycle, what seems to be new to some is old to others.

      The veer can be run out of several formations. As asplit backs formation, an I formation and a wishbone …or triple option.

      I believe I read that TX A&M runs it from a split back formation…..is that right?? If so, wouldn’t be surprised to see them try to confuse and line it up to have 3 back there to confuse.

      Kirby has been around for a while, so I’m sure he will have them ready for whatever they throw out there.

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