Daily Archives: December 4, 2019

Your 12.4.19 Playpen

Here’s the trailer for Daniel Craig’s last hurrah as James Bond.

Seems like a good time to rank your Bonds, your Bond girls and your Bond movies.  Also, whom would you like to see as the next Bond?

Have at it in the comments.

112 Comments

Filed under GTP Stuff

Listen to the man

If you think Georgia’s offense is about to drop a whole bunch of “who saw that coming?” on LSU Saturday, maybe you should hear what Kirby Smart’s saying first.

“You can’t change who you are completely in a week,” Smart said on Tuesday night. “Certainly we’ve got different groupings, different packages, different use of guys.”

Georgia’s personnel dictates its philosophy.

“We’ve got a lot of big guys,” Smart said. “We’ve got tight ends, backs, receivers, just not as many as we’ve normally had, but I don’t think there’s going to be a major wholesale change in a week.”

The No. 4-ranked Bulldogs (11-1) have been winning with a formula that largely consists of dominant defense and an efficient offense that most often refuses to beat itself.

“The No. 1 thing that indicates success is, don’t turn the ball over, and (two,) get explosive plays,” Smart said. “We’ve been good at one and we’ve been just okay at the other.”

Jake Fromm’s Job One is the same thing it’s been since the South Carolina game:  don’t turn the freakin’ ball over.  If the explosive plays come, they’ll come.

Just don’t expect Coley to reinvent the wheel this week.  Schematically, what we’ve seen is what we’re gonna get.

65 Comments

Filed under Georgia Football, Strategery And Mechanics

Cold shower time

My Gawd, Bill Connelly’s advanced box score for the Georgia-Georgia Tech game is sexually arousing.

Screenshot_2019-12-04 Bill Connelly on Twitter Twitter Actually, there were quite a few more rivalry week snuff films, were[...]

Outside of turnover margin, the game was a complete wasteland for the Jackets.  Just about every conceivable break went Tech’s way in the second quarter, and it still finished with a 28% success rate.  And a 0% success rate in the first quarter!

Hubba hubba.

16 Comments

Filed under Georgia Football, Georgia Tech Football, Stats Geek!

The trouble with ‘Bama

So, as I’ve already mentioned, the selection committee served up a whole bunch of “oh, crap” to Nick Saban last night, dropping the Tide seven spots in the rankings after its loss to Auburn.

Here’s the committee’s rationale:

I get that, even if I’m not completely sold on it.  I also suspect that Tua’s season ending injury played into the drop as well.  Still, behind teams like Florida and Wisconsin?  Eh, doubtful either of those two would take ‘Bama.  Not that it matters; the really big deal here is that the selection committee has likely locked Alabama out of a NY6 bowl.  Tell me you saw that coming.

I’m not saying that because I care.  But a weakened Alabama team is playing havoc with everyone (and their computers) who ranks college football teams.  Check out the Massey Composite to get a sense of what I’m talking about.  Alabama is ranked anywhere from third to twenty fifth.  That’s a helluva range.

The consequences of this intrigue me, even if I’m someone not close to ready to buy into the “dynasty is over” talk.  For one thing, consider what it took for ‘Bama to find itself in its current state.

Not sure you can count on something like that replicating itself annually.

On the other hand, in the world of college football, the first thing that has to happen for a powerhouse program to slide is a perception that the program is not quite the same anymore.  It’s a subjective sport and doubt is a powerful tool.  I’m not certain we’re quite there yet, but I’m also not certain we’re not seeing the first cracks in the Saban wall, either.

Next year, especially if Tua takes off, is going to be the most interesting year of Saban’s Alabama tenure, in my humble opinion.  I don’t have a clue from here how it’s gonna play out, but I’ll be watching.

In the meantime, it’s shaping up to be a real winter of discontent for Tahd Nation.

52 Comments

Filed under Alabama, BCS/Playoffs

Musical palate cleanser, a pox upon the media edition

Came across this historical note on Twitter…

That is… something.  It inspired me to post the original, which is simply great.  Robyn Hitchcock, man.

8 Comments

Filed under Uncategorized

Check, or checkmate?

Those of you who don’t want to hear about stats — hayull, man, college football is all about which team wants it more, amirite? — can skip this post.  The rest of you ought to take a look at Max Olson’s latest on stop rate ($$).

Particularly as it relates to a couple of teams you care about this week:

One point we’ve mentioned in this space before that feels worth reiterating: LSU is definitely not playing bad defense. Do not be fooled by the yards it allows (35th in FBS in total defense), and don’t even fret too much about the number of explosive plays it’s given up (57th in 20-plus yard plays allowed). Because the truth is, Dave Aranda has this talented group playing efficiently. The Tigers rank 17th in stop rate at 74.8 percent, and they’re getting off the field in three plays or less on more than 40 percent of drives.

The more fascinating matchup to watch in Atlanta, though, will be Georgia’s defense trying to stop the unstoppable LSU offense. The Bulldogs haven’t given up more than 20 points in a game this season. They haven’t allowed 300 passing yards or three passing TDs in any game, either. They’ve forced the fourth-most punts in the FBS. Kirby Smart is going to have answers for LSU, and it’s going to make for one heck of a chess match.

For comparison’s sake, at 85.6%, Georgia is second in stop rate and, at around the same percentage as LSU, 14th in three-and-out rate.  It is going to make for one helluva chess match Saturday.

15 Comments

Filed under Georgia Football, SEC Football, Stats Geek!

I’m Nick Saban, and I approved this message.

Tua, pondering his immediate future, tells Herbstreit, “You’ve got to change and be thinking as a businessman. You’ve got to make business decisions.”

At least he doesn’t have to make a business decision about missing the bowl game.

5 Comments

Filed under Nick Saban Rules