Just throwing a couple of things out here…
Returning experience on the offensive line doesn’t have nearly the statistical impact that we expect. But with more data in the bank — and a new set of tweaks to S&P+ that I’ve been unveiling at Football Study Hall — we can see there’s a little correlation.
The higher the number, the more likely returning production in these areas is to coincide with strong offense:
- Receiving yards correlation: 0.324
- Passing yards correlation: 0.234
- Rushing yards correlation: 0.168
- Offensive line starts correlation: 0.153
With more data, the offensive line correlations have begun to grow stronger, which makes sense, but the conclusion remains: continuity in the passing game matters a hell of a lot, and continuity in the run game doesn’t have as strong an impact.
No, in and of itself, I don’t think Pickens’ return marks a return to greatness for Georgia’s passing game. But it sure as hell beats where they were going into last season.