It bears repeating that there’s something to the star rankings the recruiting services use. Here’s how last night’s first round of the NFL draft broke down, based on recruiting stars:
Before you go all “hey, there were more three-star players picked than five-star players!” on me, remember the odds.
The NCAA said in 2013 there were 310,000-some seniors playing football. Here’s how long their odds are to reach various recruiting ratings, using class of 2018 data from Rivals, if we settle on 300,000 football-playing seniors as a fair estimate.
- 30 five-stars, or 0.01 percent of the class
- 380 four-stars, or 0.13 percent of the class
- 1,328 three-stars, or 0.44 percent of the class
- 1,859 two-stars, or 0.62 percent of the class
- 296,403 unrated, or 98.88 percent of the class
There’s a reason we’re paying Kirby Smart the big bucks and it isn’t to extol five-star hearts.
Get The Picture 
It’s just anecdotal evidence based on a small sample but it seems that a state of GEORGIA 4 star performs vastly better than a left coast or yankee 5 star at the university level. Limited example is Fromm vs Eason, Thomas vs Wilson and Chubb vs Swift. I won’t deny my bias and it’s good that I’m not a potential talent evaluator for the Dawgs.
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.8% of the ranked class are 5 stars. 10.5% are 4 stars. 4 stars outperformed their overall percentile by five times. 5 stars outperformed it 24x.
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Just curious…..who was the 2 star drafted in the first round?
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Jordan Love?
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