Life in the SEC after the Year of the Quarterback

David Wunderlich has an interesting take:

If the SEC has an underwhelming quarterback season in 2020, it’s not going to be due to a sharp decline in quality. It’s going to be because it was like 2019 but without the two headliners.

If you want to see what a sudden fall in SEC quarterbacking looks like, you’ll need to look at 2014.

Overall, quarterback play in the conference wasn’t any better in 2019 than it had been.  It was just that the SEC’s two best quarterbacks were otherworldly.  They’re both gone, so unless somebody steps us and shocks the hell out of the world (admittedly, like Burrow did), we’re due for some regression to the mean.

After all, this is what we’ve got to work with:

Besides, 2020 may not end up so bad. Trask has room to grow. Bama’s Mac Jones played very well against Auburn outside his two picks and absolutely lit up Michigan in the bowl. He’s no Tua, but he still has a couple of first round receivers to throw to. Costello has a high floor and will probably end up fine.

Some of the freshmen who, well, played like freshmen in 2019 will probably improve a fair bit. Bo Nix, Ryan Hilinski, John Rhys-Plumlee, and Matt Corral all qualify here. Newman has started for a year and won’t be a deer in the headlights. Guarantano and Mond, as seniors, will probably get at least a little better. And don’t forget about Kentucky’s Terry Wilson, who has real dual threat skills if he can get back to pre-injury form.

Will 2020 be 2013 all over again? Will the SEC’s passing attacks make you forget about the Big 12? Certainly not. But it won’t be 2014 again in terms of being a long fall from the prior year. Myles Brennan will be a downgrade from Burrow. Jones will be from Tua, though perhaps not as much.

I’m starting to lean towards Costello being the conference’s top quarterback this season — Leach has a good track record with quarterbacks coming in for one shot — but honestly, it looks like a crap shoot.  Who you got?

17 Comments

Filed under SEC Football

17 responses to “Life in the SEC after the Year of the Quarterback

  1. Corch Irvin Meyers, New USC Corch (2021)

    Well, I know it won’t be Trask, because my agreement with that gentleman I made at this crossroads in Mississippi won’t allow it to be so. Oh, and the Dawgs and Braves are winning respective titles this year. You’re welcome.

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  2. Costello
    Jones
    Newman
    Wilson

    in that order is my guess

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  3. Dylan Dreyer's Booty

    My Disney Dawg Crystal Ball says: NEWMAN!!

    That’s my story, and I’m sticking to it until proven wrong.

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  4. Rocketdawg

    I think Costello has the best stats in the conference easily. He’ll throw for 4,000 and 35 TD’s. Unfortunately they will give you 35 a game and the Bizzarro Bulldogs finish 6-6.

    I can see a scenario where Trask actually regresses this year. He still won’t have a run game and they lost a lot of talent at WR.

    Mac Jones I think will be the sleeper of the bunch. Everyone is counting him out and saying it’s a matter of time before he loses his job to the 5star freshman QB. Not so fast my friend. Jones has shown he is accurate and has a strong arm. Given the talent that the Gumps have at WR, RB and on the Oline they should be able to score on anyone.

    My hope for Newman is that he can be steady and dependable. Keep the offense on schedule, don’t try to do too much, and make a play when you have to.

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    • Corch Irvin Meyers, New USC Corch (2021)

      The thought that QBs throw a ton of INTs in the Air Raid is not as true as it may seem. We’ll probably see a smaller TD-INT ratio from Tennessee or Florida’s offense than we will at Miss. State’s.

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      • dawgman3000

        I think the 35 he was referring to is the points the bizzaro dawgs defense will give up, not ints.

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  5. Hobnail_Boot

    If I’m buying stock in one guy, it’s Costello. Two? Gimme Helinski.

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    • Corch Irvin Meyers, New USC Corch (2021)

      Bobo will help that kid excel, for sure. As it is, I’d still rather have Monken and a commitment to a more spread-like offense. Whether we actually get that commitment or not has more to do with Kirby than Monken, but we’ll see how that goes.

      Regardless, if there’s a dark horse this year to finish behind Georgia for second in the East, it’s Sakerlina. God, how funny would it be if Boom, against that schedule, winds up with 9 wins and beats both media darlings Sideshow Dan the Clown and The Three Star General?

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  6. Mayor

    No mention of the QB who won the SEC East three straight years and the SEC championship in 2017, plus the Rose Bowl and came within a blown refs call of winning the national championship that same year. He was 35-7 over three years and for most of that time had the highest completion percentage in the conference. Nah, he’s nothing—doesn’t even deserve a mention with those two giants of the game the Throwan Somoan and Joey Football. Beat ND twice, FU 3 times,UT 3 times, GT 3 times and Auburn 3 out of 4 times. Here’s what I think of Wunderlich and the rest of those national football writers: WTMF!!

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  7. stoopnagle

    Initially thought Costello would be a good fit at UGA, but he’s got a history of concussions. I think he missed a big chunk of ’19 because of that – but he was pretty good when he was playing in Stanford’s version of Manball.

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  8. MGW

    Costello will put up big numbers. People are sleeping on Leach at State big time.

    Might not win one but I’m certain they’re going to drag one of LSU, Auburn, or Bama into a very uncomfortable shootout that isn’t settled till the last drive. All three have merely “serviceable” QB’s, and at least one of them will come in less than prepared for a full on Air Raid attack.

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  9. Faltering Memory

    Don’t much care as long as Newman plays 15 games.

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  10. Dawg in Austin

    Leach doesn’t turn his teams into juggernauts immediately, and MSU has no muh receivers. 😉

    Like