“If (South) Korean baseball can do it, then we can, too.”

So, if you’re a professor of epidemiology and biostatistics at UCSF who’s also a college football fan and you think there’s a way to play this fall, how would you recommend programs go about doing that?

According to Rutherford, it takes three days for someone who has been exposed to the virus to start shedding it (i.e., become contagious).

So testing players 72 hours before kickoff (Wednesday afternoon or evening) would be ideal for Saturday games.

At the same time, an exposed individual could become contagious 36 hours after testing negative — so testing only on Wednesday wouldn’t be enough.

Players would need to be tested again Saturday morning, Rutherford said, to ensure that no viral shedding would occur on game day from players who tested negative in the middle of the week.

(The timing of the Saturday tests would depend on the turnaround time for results and the kickoff time.)

“From a physiological standpoint, you’d need to do it as close to the game as possible,’’ he said.

Test them Wednesday afternoon, test them again Saturday morning — and the windows for contagion should be slammed shut on game day.

Add a test on Monday morning to cover early-week interactions in meetings and practice, and full containment could be possible.

And the cost?

Let’s assume 150 tests for players, coaches and support staff, with each person tested three times per week over the 20 weeks of training camp and the regular season.

And let’s assume $50 per test (which could be high once capacity increases).

That’s $450,000 from August through November — or about 0.6 percent of the total annual revenue generated by a Power Five football program.

That doesn’t seem crazy to me.  I wonder how many programs will meet that standard, though.  (And of the ones that don’t, how many are on Georgia’s schedule.)

11 Comments

Filed under College Football, The Body Is A Temple

11 responses to ““If (South) Korean baseball can do it, then we can, too.”

  1. Granthams replacement

    Whatever it takes. There’s enough in the reserve fund to test for the next 200 years.

    Liked by 1 person

  2. Gurkha Dawg

    Sounds like a plan. If a team can’t test properly, do they forfeit?

    Liked by 1 person

  3. Paul

    I’ll be surprised if even one school does that much testing. Any school at any level. Including Georgia.

    Like

  4. Bigshot

    Jones probable knee
    Smith probable ankle
    Johnson our covid

    Like

  5. Napoleon BonerFart

    That kind of expenditure would preclude FCS programs from playing. Even a small FBS school like LA Monroe would have to dedicate a big chunk of its budget to testing.

    Unless conferences or the NCAA mandate contributing to a centrally administered testing fund, it’s probably not happening.

    Like

  6. Anonymous

    And of the ones that don’t, how many are on Georgia’s schedule.

    That is irrelevant. Our Athletic Department would just pay for the other teams testing. Hell, it would be worth it for the department to purchase a PCR machine and hire a lab tech. That is why he have the Liquor Barons write big checks.

    Like

  7. Skeptic Dawg

    At this point in time the Coronavirus, COVID-19, Wu-Flu, Chinese Virus, is irreverent. Do you think God fearing folks care about some seasonal virus today? Why of course not. We have riots, looting and the next presidential election to concern ourselves with. The Wu-Flu is yesterday’s news. Masks? Those are only for those willing to pillage, set fire to, and destroy property that is not their own. College football will be played and the kids will gladly suit up because they are not in the high risk category.

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  8. Bulldawg Bill

    Anybody here familiar with “Herd Immunity?” That’s what will develop when that many young people get together and pass the thing amongst each other. A few will get mild symptoms, most won’t get any, and most will develop antibodies.. All this while keeping high risk folks isolated. So what’s wrong with that?

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  9. TN Dawg

    I’m assuming that .6% of total revenue is built on the numbers including ticket sales and contributions?

    Like