Good point. Any examples come to mind?
And on the other side?
Hmmm… wonder which is more due for a dose of regression to the mean in 2020?
When ranking CFB secondaries, it's important to diversify the metrics you look at.
Example: The NCAA average of interceptions per passes defended is 19%. If you "defend" a pass, you intercept said pass about 1/5 times.
You can exceed that but variance needs to be warrented.
— The Tailgate Tent (@CFBmaxs) June 30, 2020
Good point. Any examples come to mind?
And on the other side?
Hmmm… wonder which is more due for a dose of regression to the mean in 2020?
Filed under Gators, Gators..., Georgia Football, Stats Geek!
“Those 13 jerseys are going to be around a long time.”-- Brock Bowers, The Athletic, 1/10/23
Your Daily Gator doesn’t like regression to mean?
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A defended pass is one where the defense gets it’s hand/s on the ball and causes an incompletion or interception, right? Does it include a hit that dislodges the ball as well? I’m wondering if the technique the DB’s are taught has something to do with a team being luckier based on this metric. Like, is one team playing the ball more while another is playing the receiver, and is there a correlation to how “lucky” the team is at getting interceptions?
Either way, if both UGA and FU regress to the mean then the Dawgs D will be even better and the lizards will be on the field for more 3rd and Grantham’s.
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Losing DB Henderson (top 10 pick), and two top passrushers (Greenard, Zuniga) should hasten the regression.
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It’s hard for our guys to intercept passes when they are taught to focus on the receiver more than the ball.
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While interceptions are nice, the most important thing is that they do not complete the pass.
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Just like sacks are nice. But zero yardage, zero 1st downs are better. We play perfect assignment perfect tackle football.
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You also get far more interceptions when playing zone defense. We play man or a pattern-matching zone that essentially turns into man after the snap far more than most teams. You want to play man. Teams make you play zone. Grantham runs a lot of zone blitzes. His teams will always have a high int / pd ratio. Kirby’s defenses will always have a low ratio. It is just different ways to skin a cat. We had the #1 defense in the SEC last year. Florida was #2.
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Yes! Playing man saves a man.
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yet…it mattered not against probably the worst offense since 2016 Kirby has fielded last season…
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It helps if the opposing offense has a shitty QB, the defense is in his face and he’s thinking about the last piece of sod he pulled out of his face mask before he threw the ball # accuracy
For What it’s Worth:
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Speaking of secondaries Grimes went to North Carolina and Mack Brown is recruiting very well.
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FWIW – Grantham’s defenses at uga had the following SEC ranks in INTs
2010: 5th
2011: 1st
2012: 7th
2013: 13th
Willie’s 2009 was second-to-last in SEC
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So…now you are saying intercepting passes is luck? Bad enough when you said recovering fumbles was luck. I guess hustle, skill, hitting hard and ability don’t mean anything. Sheesh!
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