“Is Georgia’s offense still broken?”

That’s the question Bill Connelly asks this morning.  (That “still” kinda stings, Bill.)

I ain’t gonna lie, though.  This is thoroughly putrid:

How does Georgia fare on third down? Coaches will say the best way to convert on third downs is to avoid them altogether and convert on first or second, but Georgia faced 20 third downs against Arkansas and converted only six. Assuming Auburn isn’t any more generous in the big-play department (it could be a disaster for the Tigers if they are), Georgia’s offensive success will be determined in these situations.

That’s a lot, in case you were wondering.  The last time Georgia was faced with converting 20 third downs in a game was against Missouri, in 2016.

The silver lining, if you want to call it that is Auburn’s defense last week.

Auburn was strangely generous on third downs against Kentucky, though; the Wildcats also faced 20 of them but converted 12. It was a strange game, really — Kentucky went three-and-out nearly half the time, but if the Wildcats converted that first third down, they were able to drive pretty far into AU territory. It kept them in the game into the fourth quarter, and Georgia could do the same, only with a defense that tamps down Auburn’s point total far better.

It should also be pointed out that the offense was 6-10 on third down conversions when Bennett was in at quarterback, so I’m not sure how much weight should be given to this concern.  That being said, it may not matter anyway, since Auburn’s offense has its own issues.

… Through one game, Auburn ranks 64th in pressure rate (38%) and 50th in passing downs sack rate (11%) despite Nix throwing mostly short, quick passes.

Auburn’s rebuilt offensive line didn’t get much of a passing grade, in other words, and now the Tigers have to face the aforementioned top defense in football. If Auburn can’t protect Nix and avoid three-and-outs, it might not matter how Georgia’s offense will do on its own third downs.

Gee, I’m starting to think this may not be a pretty game to watch.

45 Comments

Filed under Auburn's Cast of Thousands, Georgia Football, Stats Geek!

45 responses to ““Is Georgia’s offense still broken?”

  1. Russ

    We really need to look at 2 offenses last week, Mathis and Bennett. Bennett calmed the storm and the offense moved after that. It wasn’t lights out great, but certainly serviceable given our defense. I say stick with Bennett this week and maybe work in another QB in trash time

    Liked by 2 people

  2. FlyingPeakDawg

    Mathis never converted 3rd down (including one he didn’t stretch for) and SBIV was 60%. Stetson starts and Daniels may get a few series if all goes according to plan.

    Liked by 2 people

  3. The offense was night and day between Mathis and Bennett. It takes me to Kirby’s “it’s not as good as it seems nor as bad as it seems” comment.

    I still say playing good D and ST and protecting the ball will be good enough against Auburn. At least until we get QB and the offense sorted. If we ever do.

    Liked by 1 person

  4. Our QB room includes an undersized walk-on, a guy who recently underwent brain surgery, a transfer who blew out his knee and was just cleared, and a true freshman who hasn’t taken a snap in a game. What me worry?

    Liked by 11 people

  5. Corch Irvin Meyers, New USC Corch (2021)

    Okay, I’m slow on the uptake… I’ve been assuming all week we were the 3:30 game because durrr, it’s The Deep South’s Oldest Rivalry.

    But CBS actually picked TAMU VERSUS BAMA???

    WUT???

    TAMU vs. Bama? Instead of Georgia-Auburn? WTF is CBS doing?

    I can’t even remember the last time Georgia-Auburn wasn’t the 3:30 game. How or why in God’s name did CBS think that TAMU vs Bama would be better than Georgia-Auburn?

    Maybe it’s a good thing they’re losing the TV contract if they make dumbass decisions like this!

    Like

    • The 2018 game was at 7PM on ESPN.

      Like

    • charlottedawg

      As the parent of a psycho toddler, (naps from 12:30-2:30, times vary depending on how much fight he’s got in him on that particular day, goes to bed at 7:30) I selfishly like late kick-offs after said psycho has gone to bed. Even if he’s screaming in bed I can just mute the baby monitor and turn up the TV volume. Second best is noon. 3:30 is when bad things happen because daddy is cussing at the TV so Charlottedawg jr. slips away to take a swim in the toilet or rock climb on some walls and furniture at which point Mrs. Charlottedawg starts cussing at me.

      Liked by 5 people

      • Corch Irvin Meyers, New USC Corch (2021)

        Haha… seems you and Mrs. Charlottedawg need a better system. Like, “Honey, you take Junior all day on Saturday so I can watch CFB, and then on Sundays you can go out and do whatever you want with your friends, and I’ll take Junior.”

        My best friend has that with his missus, and it works out quite nice.

        Like

        • charlottedawg

          Haha not a bad suggestion

          Like

          • Down Island Way

            Corch should stay away from marital advice on GTP…unless your business card states you’re a Phd of some sort causing you to collect 250 an hour consultation fee…

            Liked by 1 person

            • 79dawg

              Yeah, its pretty obvious he’s not married since he thinks its a one-for-one exchange – no woman is willing to take just Sunday for giving you Saturday afternoon…

              Like

              • charlottedawg

                I don’t need a PhD or a guy charging me (er, us…. er her, yeah I guess it’s all her money) $250/ hour to know the only marriage advice I need is to just do whatever Mrs. Charlottedawg says. I am but a humble serf in service to my queen.

                Like

              • Corch Irvin Meyers, New USC Corch (2021)

                As I said, it works for my best friend and his wife. I know marriage is not always as equitable, but it’s what they do and they have the strongest marriage I know.

                Like

              • debbybalcer

                That would not have worked in my family since I bleed red and black too.

                Liked by 3 people

                • Corch Irvin Meyers, New USC Corch (2021)

                  So would it have been worth it for you and the hubby to get a babysitter for all games until the kids were old enough to watch with y’all? 😂

                  Liked by 1 person

                • rigger92

                  Since I cant reply to corch, It’s here. Dude. You have no idea…….

                  Like

    • Russ

      While I won’t comment on whether or not CBS should be carrying our game, I watched a replay of the LSU-MSU game last night and it was refreshing to NOT hear all the fake TV crowd noise that ESPN pumps up. Sure, it was quiet but honest.

      Liked by 2 people

    • munsonlarryfkajim

      Guessing because game day is in Athens but that’s just a guess

      Liked by 1 person

  6. As the HC, I’m really struggling with the QBs. Bennett probably gives us the best chance to win tomorrow while Mathis has the greater potential. I want to win the next game but also realize that potential won’t be realized if it doesn’t play. Daniels could actually be the best of both worlds but how he or his leg will hold up.

    Like

  7. Got Cowdog

    “If Kirby Smart could win a game 1-0 by God he’d do it every single day. It’s as close as a defensive coordinator can come to killing his fellow man for sport”
    This popped up in my twitter feed from Dawg Sports yesterday.
    Just win, Baby.
    #86, $cam, Fairley …Fuck aubrun and all that they stand for.

    Liked by 3 people

    • Down Island Way

      Only thing they stand for is throwing really good toilet paper into the trees, kissing their 3rd cousin on a first date and the introduction of the outhouse door in the 21st century….#AUBURN SUCKS!

      Like

      • Got Cowdog

        Nobody rolls a yard with good toilet paper, Their cousins are easy, and it took a UGA grad to explain the concept of a hinge to them in the first place.
        #FTMF

        Like

  8. Granthams Replacement

    Georgia- Auburn is always decided by which team wins the line of scrimmage and controls the running game. This one won’t be any different.

    Like

  9. MGW

    Could be a shit show. Could be a glorious spectacle.

    Liked by 1 person

    • My Shit-O-Meter puts the probability at 65% poop. But it will be Dawg poop.

      Like

    • sniffer

      I remember thinking something similar walking into Jordan-Hare in’06. Leaned into the shit-show adjective, truth be known. What an outcome! Stafford cemented his DGD credentials that day, imo. Maybe one of these young qb’s will do the same tomorrow. Go Dawgs!

      Liked by 1 person

  10. MGW

    First half was bad. The question is whether or not the second half was a mirage. If not, we’re pretty damn good. But it might just be that depth eventually got the best of a very untalented Arkansas and we ran away with it. We’ll damn sure find out tomorrow.

    Liked by 1 person

  11. silvercreekdawg

    I’m not buying Auburn’s D as all that good to be frank. They lost A LOT off the front 7, including their AA Dlinemen. If our OL can be serviceable, I think we can move the ball against them consistently.

    And if their OL had that much trouble against UK’s D, they’re in for a world of hurt against our D. The difference is night and day.

    Liked by 1 person

  12. Georgia accounts have been posting a lot of pictures of black jerseys today, may be that we’re going to be breaking them out tomorrow.

    Like

  13. rigger92

    I am heavily into the “ugly” game prediction. Only thing that saves us is a Chubb/Michel type coming out party and I don’t see it right now. We have some great WR’s and TE, but are they effective enough to get the AU D out of the box? Does Mathis, Daniels, or Mailman entrench themselves enough to at least create options that the AU D has to defend? This is my question….

    Like

  14. Ray Avret

    It is a finesse offense that fully relies on timing and being in sync.
    Personally I would prefer a power offense but whatever as long as CKS makes it work and we win i will be happy
    Just other than Jim Donan not sure I ever seen a coach work so hard between the hedges to install a sissy offense and shy so far away from power..
    Dooley, Golf, Richt and even CKS first OC run so form of power game however the past few years its been all about sissy ball on offense ….. Not saying it cant work Auburn and several other teams win playing sissy ball so we just joined the club

    Like