Daily Archives: November 24, 2020

There’s always a stat of the day when you need one.

Today’s comes from Pete Fiutak.

Daniels averaged 10.6 yards per attempt last week – the offense failed to hit ten yards per try all year, and went 17 straight games as a program without getting there.

Georgia only averaged over ten yards per pass twice last season – against Murray State and Arkansas State, not Mississippi State.

The last time Georgia’s offense hit a double digit yards per pass attempt figure against an SEC defense was 2018 against Florida.

For some context, let me take you on a journey through the past.  Here’s Georgia’s average yards per attempt over the past decade:

  • 2020:  7.4
  • 2019:  7.5
  • 2018:  8.9
  • 2017:  8.7
  • 2016:  6.5
  • 2015:  7.4
  • 2014:  8.1
  • 2013:  8.9
  • 2012:  10.0
  • 2011:  7.9
  • 2010:  8.8
  • 2009:  7.6

The number is a function of completion percentage and overall yardage.  As a rule of thumb, successful offensive years in Athens correlate decently to average ypa being 8+.  So, yeah, while I don’t expect Daniels to maintain that pace week in and week out — not that I’d have a problem if he did! — it’s certainly a harbinger of better days ahead on that side of the ball for the Dawgs.

31 Comments

Filed under Georgia Football, Stats Geek!

“You probably have to ask Mike Bobo what he’s going to do…”

Damn.  I really hope this is one of those classic Kirby Smart smokescreens.

Ask Kirby Smart what’s wrong with Georgia’s defense and his answer is, essentially, nothing.

To him, the reason that Mississippi State racked up 20 first downs and averaged 5:40 in possession time on four scoring drives of 71 or more yards boils down to it’s just what Mike Leach coached teams do.

So, no, Smart said Monday, he doesn’t expect South Carolina or anybody else to try to do what MSU did. Nobody does what those guys do.

“If you see the way defenses play Mississippi State, it doesn’t carry over,” Smart said Monday. “Most offensive coordinators we talk to, they don’t even put that game in their breakdown because it’s irrelevant since the defenses they’re watching are not the defenses they’re getting.”

I… um, don’t think the issue boils down to playing zone, boss.

All year, No. 13 Georgia (5-2) has been susceptible to wheel routes and curl flats into the middle of the field by running backs, flankers and tight ends. Eighteen of State’s 41 receptions against the Bulldogs came on those plays, including 14 on first down.

As Seth Emerson ($$) noted yesterday, it’s not like Mike Bobo has a lot of options available to him in the passing game right now.

… South Carolina doesn’t have much speed on the outside, which is why neither offense looks like some of the high-flying units out there. Bobo was hoping to fix that on the recruiting trail at South Carolina, but now he almost certainly won’t get to do that.

“He’s had to fully embrace what they’re good at,” Mason said. “But I think in a perfect world, and he even said this, he’s been forced this year because of personnel to maybe be more run-oriented. Much like in 2014. There’s no vertical threat outside. Ideally, he would like to be 11 personnel (one running back, one tight end, three receivers), and then be able to get into the 22 run game stuff like he could (two running backs, two tight ends, one receiver). But right now they’re just predominantly all like we were in 2014.”

Mike Bobo may not be perfect, but he’s not incompetent.  It would be coaching malpractice not to test Georgia’s underneath coverage early and often.

Kirby thinks he’s got the answers.

“Our guys are completely comfortable breaking on the ball, you are just not going to stop those routes playing zone all the time,” Smart said. “They are going to throw them and catch them. The idea is to stop them before they get more than five (yards), and then hopefully bring up some third downs and get some batted balls.”

“Hopefully” has been doing a lot of heavy lifting this season.  Maybe this Saturday will be easier.  Or not.

59 Comments

Filed under Georgia Football, Strategery And Mechanics

“Both” is good.

Come for the brutal rip on Pruitt and the Tennessee program.

Stay for the exquisite Guarantano nickname.

24 Comments

Filed under Because Nothing Sucks Like A Big Orange

Play it again, JT.

For the life of me, I can’t figure out why an ugly home win over a weak conference opponent has given me such pleasure.

Oh, yeah.  That.

One minor statistical note:

Yeah, that’ll do in a pinch.

12 Comments

Filed under Georgia Football, Stats Geek!

Doin’ the SEC shuffle

Greg Sankey is killing the Fabris pick ’em.

The SEC has shuffled its football schedule for this week, resulting in Vanderbilt playing at Missouri on Saturday instead of the Commodores’ originally scheduled home game against Tennessee and the Tigers’ originally scheduled home game against Arkansas.

The SEC said in a statement that the Arkansas-Missouri game was postponed due to a combination of positive tests, contact tracing and subsequent quarantining of individuals within the Arkansas football program, consistent with SEC COVID-19 management requirements.

The Vanderbilt-Missouri game is a rescheduling of a game postponed on Oct. 17. The game will be played at noon ET Saturday and televised by the SEC Network. Missouri also had its Nov. 14 game against Georgia postponed.

The Tennessee-Vanderbilt game was postponed for the purpose of facilitating the rescheduling of the Vanderbilt-Missouri game, according to the SEC.

Got all that?

The league office is reportedly pondering playing makeup games on December 19th, in the vain hope that every SEC team will finish playing a full 10-game slate.  Good luck with that, Greg.

33 Comments

Filed under SEC Football, The Body Is A Temple

Amateurism is whatever the NCAA says it is.

Really, how can you argue with rock solid logic like this?

It’s like the old “we’re just haggling over the price” joke come to life.

3 Comments

Filed under It's All Just Made Up And Flagellant, The NCAA

“Who bet on this game?”

Me:  2020 is no time to start betting on college football games.

Somebody:  Eh, what could go wrong?

Me:

************************************************************************

UPDATE:  Holy crap.

Can you imagine what the players in the huddle were saying about the call?

8 Comments

Filed under What's Bet In Vegas Stays In Vegas