Back for less

I guess you could say I was half-surprised by this Bill Connelly tweet.

Screenshot_2021-01-31 Bill Connelly on Twitter

Bottom five on defensive returning production?  Sure, I could see that, but where’s Georgia on offense, and why not higher up?

Considering where Bill has Clemson ranked in returning defensive production, that’s gonna make for an interesting matchup in Georgia’s opener.



Filed under Georgia Football, Stats Geek!

21 responses to “Back for less

  1. Remember the Quincy

    I’ve always made the (apparently false) assumption that offensive production only involved yardage stats (passing, rushing, receiving). I never thought to include stats by offensive linemen.


  2. W Cobb Dawg

    So if we lose 4-star OLs like Hill and Cleveland, but we replace them with 5-star OLs like Webb, Jones, or Mims, we’re getting worse? Got it.

    Liked by 1 person

    • W Cobb Dawg

      Of course, I realize they’re considering returning contributors. But I’m just pointing out we’re heading in the direction of improving the talent level, not equaling or lowering the talent🤔

      Liked by 4 people

  3. Russ

    Seems like his is overvaluing OL but I’m not running his numbers. I think Luke will have those 5 stars playing well by next season and then all that returning production will pay off.

    BTW, I’m fine with us not being atop the stats for a change. Need to temper the rat poison.

    Liked by 6 people

  4. gotthepicture

    Looks like a good year to play ND & Ohio St (Note: for the past 15 years, it’s always a good year to play Nebraska).


  5. practicaldawg

    The most interesting dynamic to me is how much more the run game can open up at the LOS due to a greater threat of spread passing attack rather than the age old approach of bludgeoning the opposing DL with giant O linemen. Pass protection is the bigger concern for me, but non-OL guys like Cook have a lot to do with that.

    Liked by 1 person

  6. RangerRuss

    Will someone please give a report on Neman’s performance in the Senior Bowl yesterday? I’m curious but not enough to research it.
    Than you.


  7. ASEF

    For those that don’t know, Bill has looked at returning production with position groups and how that correlated with W/L progression/regression over the years with the entirety of college football. It’s pretty interesting.

    I’m not a paywall guy, so I haven’t been able to follow his thought process last couple of years, so I have a question for those that do:

    He used to rate returning offensive line production as a low correlation, with defensive backfield as the highest correlation and pass catchers as the second highest correlation. I’d say Fromm’s last year, with all new pass catchers, was anecdotal evidence of that correlation.

    Has he shifted any on that line of thought? Because the defensive backfield returns very little.

    Liked by 1 person

    • biggusrickus

      It looks like he has offensive line snap counts to include that have changed their importance. However, I wonder how much data he has for snap counts. If he only has a year or two, I don’t think it would be very reliable.


  8. originaluglydawg

    It’s good to see Miami rising in the ACC. That will be a thorn in Clemson’s side and will hurt handbag recruiting.

    Liked by 3 people

  9. spur21

    Damn Arik to the Gators.

    Liked by 1 person