Daily Archives: May 21, 2021

A different kind of opt out

What do y’all make of this?

More importantly, I wonder what Texas, where he’s committed, makes of it.  He’s good enough they’ll keep a spot for him, but I wonder if he discussed his decision with the program before he announced it.

I also wonder if this is the start of a new trend.

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51 Comments

Filed under Recruiting

Meanwhile, in Columbia

If you want to get a feel for the pulse of the South Carolina program right now, check out this nugget ($$):

Beamer chose not to put a punt team on the field during the spring game because he didn’t want to give away any secrets, which is an indication of how seriously he and Lembo are taking what they see as an advantage.

Insert your Vince Dooley “long snappah” joke here.

25 Comments

Filed under 'Cock Envy

Rivals’ 20-year class rankings

I would have assumed Alabama would be at the top, but I am wrong.

1. GEORGIA (6.45 average class ranking)

The Bulldogs have been on an incredible run under coach Kirby Smart with three-straight No. 1 classes before finishing sixth in 2021. Georgia finished with five five-stars in 2020 led by a tremendous West haul of RB Kendall Milton, TE Darnell Washington and CB Kelee Ringo.

In 2019, Georgia held off Alabama in the slimmest of margins for the top spot and in 2018 the Bulldogs had eight five-stars in one of the best classes in Rivals’ history. Consistency has been key for Georgia as it has never finished lower than No. 15 in the team rankings.

Alabama is third.  SEC teams make up the top four on the list.

Now, just shut the doubters up, Kirbs.

39 Comments

Filed under Georgia Football, Recruiting

2020 SEC APR

I always enjoy Matt Melton’s annual analysis of what he calls Adjusted Pythagorean Record (or APR) for the SEC.

Well instead of looking at a team’s ratio of points scored to points allowed, we’ll look at a team’s ratio of offensive touchdowns to offensive touchdowns allowed. The formula will look a little something like this:

(Offensive Touchdowns)^2.37
———————————————————————–
(Offensive Touchdowns)^2.37 +(Offensive Touchdowns Allowed)^2.37

We’ll call the resulting record a team’s Adjusted Pythagorean Record (or APR). I used 2.37 as the exponent because research has shown it makes the resulting ratio a more accurate predictor.

For this past season, here’s what the conference’s APR compared to teams’ actual regulars season records looks like:

Once again, here are the 2020 SEC standings.

Finally, SEC teams are sorted by the difference between their actual number of wins and their expected number of wins according to APR.

Matt considers a difference of a game and a half to be… well, statistically significant.  By that measure, two teams qualified.

… a pair of Tigers in Auburn and Missouri significantly overachieved. Auburn was only 2-1 in one-score conference games, but they also scored three non-offensive touchdowns in SEC action while allowing none. Two of those non-offensive touchdowns proved decisive in helping the Tigers snatch victory from the jaws of defeat. A blocked punt that resulted in a touchdown provided the winning margin against Arkansas, while a long interception return touchdown resulted in a likely fourteen-point swing in their thirteen-point win against Tennessee. Meanwhile Missouri managed a 3-0 record in one score conference games to eke out a .500 record despite allowing ten more touchdowns than they scored in SEC play.

Beyond the obvious regression to the mean question that raises for those two, I can’t help but wonder if Gus took his lucky rabbit’s foot with him to Orlando.  I guess we’ll soon see.

9 Comments

Filed under SEC Football, Stats Geek!

TFW “Accountability” doesn’t mean what you think it means

Now here’s a fucking shock:

The Independent Accountability Resolution Process, conceived more than three years ago by the Condoleezza Rice-led commission on college basketball and implemented 21 months ago, has accomplished nothing. It has been referred six cases, the first of which was March 4, 2020, and zero have been resolved. High-profile cases involving Memphis, North Carolina State, Kansas, LSU, Arizona and Louisville are all wallowing in investigative purgatory, with no indications of imminent resolution for any of them. Maybe by the end of the summer we will have a ruling or two; maybe not.

The NCAA’s so-called infractions “off-ramp” is a road to nowhere.

At least the usual parties sound very concerned.

I asked NCAA president Mark Emmert about the progress of the IARP in early April, before the men’s basketball Final Four, and he didn’t even try to put much administrative spin on it.

“In many ways it’s moved into a whole new adjudicative process, obviously,” Emmert said. “That’s taking longer than I or anybody else would like, I’m sure. My hope is that as we work our way through these current cases, we can find all the ways to streamline it and make it much, much more efficient.

“The original intention was to allow for cases to be essentially reinvestigated in some element. That’s taking a long period of time. … I think we’re all, or nearly all, frustrated that it’s just taking too bloody long.”

That’s why they pay him the big bucks, folks!

10 Comments

Filed under The NCAA

“Radio silence” in Gainesville

Come for David Wunderlich’s assessment that Dan Mullen won’t show any of his cards before Florida’s third game of the season against Alabama (I agree, by the way), stay for his Grantham take of “While the new strategy blew up in the team’s face against LSU and on third down against Georgia…”.

14 Comments

Filed under Gators, Gators..., Strategery And Mechanics

“If we do pass something, do we open ourselves up for a bunch of litigation?”

Gee, given its past history, you’d think if an organization existed that didn’t have any problem hiring lawyers, it would be the NCAA.  And yet…

What have been described as significant legal issues have arisen in the NCAA’s effort to implement name, image and likeness legislation, sources tell CBS Sports. While some of them aren’t exactly new, looming deadlines have made the process going forward “clear as mud,” according to one source.

Uh hunh.  That’s what happens when your current strategy boils down to praying someone gives you an antitrust exemption in the next six weeks.

Meanwhile,

… college athletes are ready to “hit send” finalizing NIL deals with companies at midnight on July 1, according to an NIL industry source. Some of those deals include photoshoots and commercials for athletes who have already signed non-disclosure agreements with companies.

Shit.  And I thought everyone was totally satisfied with a free education.

8 Comments

Filed under Political Wankery, The NCAA

New digs, y’all

Sounds like Georgia’s players are impressed with their new surroundings.

Can’t beat the timing as something shiny to show the recruits showing up next month.

8 Comments

Filed under Georgia Football