Moar win totals

Here’s a link to an ESPN article listing the regular-season win totals (not including conference championship games or bowl games) from Caesars Sportsbook by William Hill.

You can check out the whole thing, but I thought I’d show the numbers for the SEC:

  • Alabama 11.5
  • Georgia 10.5
  • TAMU 9.5
  • Florida 9
  • LSU 8.5
  • Ole Miss 7.5
  • Auburn 7
  • Kentucky 7
  • Missouri 7
  • Tennessee 6
  • Mississippi State 6
  • Arkansas 5.5
  • South Carolina 3.5
  • Vanderbilt 3

Can’t argue too much with what I see there.  I do sense that LSU is trending up slightly, which I think is right.  With all their personnel losses, I don’t get the Vols winning six, but maybe that offense is going to make up more ground than I think.

And I don’t think it’s gonna happen, but what do you suppose the reaction in Columbia would be if Vandy won more games than the ‘Cocks?

28 Comments

Filed under SEC Football, What's Bet In Vegas Stays In Vegas

28 responses to “Moar win totals

  1. Russ

    Picking the over on us seems like easy money.

    Liked by 3 people

    • fisheriesdawg

      I think 10.5 is right…but it’s one of those that if you bet the over and Georgia wins game #1, you can start spending that money. It’s not like there are multiple games on that schedule that are a real threat to a team that beats Clemson in the opener. At that point you’d have to lose two games you shouldn’t to miss hitting.

      Like

  2. Corch Irvin Meyers, Former Jags Corch (2024)

    Georgia sitting at 10.5 is a good play for the over. I would actually bet that. This year has 11-1 or 12-0 written all over it.

    Even though I think Bama gets under 11.5, I wouldn’t bet it. More uncertainty in T-town than they’ve had in a good long while, but it’s still Saban.

    While I would love to see Floriduh go 8-4, would love to see Mizzou or Kentucky give them that 4th loss, they’re a solid bet to hit 9 on the nose so no under there.

    Liked by 1 person

    • originaluglydawg

      Florida is pretty thin at some key positions.
      If they have a couple of injuries, they could be in real trouble.
      (and no, I’m not wishing an injury on anyone).

      Like

  3. Greg

    BAH!,,,,The Dawgs ain’t gonna lose shat, 15 and 0 FWIS. Bama will have at least one, maybe two….

    Liked by 1 person

  4. jcdawg83

    5 wins should get the “WAIT TIL NEXT YEAR!!!” cries back to full volume at SCu.

    Like

  5. Hobnail_Boot

    I don’t see 5 losses on Mizzou’s schedule.

    In the other direction, Vandy is going to be brutal. I’d take the under on the Admiral-blowers.

    Liked by 2 people

  6. uga97

    FU has 3 of top 4 minus themselves & tex a&m. Mullet kept Grantham if they hit the under with a loss to UT/UK/Mizzou/FSU

    Like

  7. KingMackeral

    If Vanderbilt wins 4 games, it should be a COY candidate.

    Like

  8. ASEF

    Absent injury, Georgia and Alabama both walk into ATL 12-0, #1 and #2. Rosters are stacked, QBs are up to the task, and biggest schedule obstacles for both are deeply flawed. Georgia will lead with offense while the defense grows up, Alabama will lead with defense while the offense grows up.

    SEC Championship game is going to be a sight to behold.

    Liked by 2 people

  9. Ran A

    I think LSU has more talent than anyone in the SEC, outside of Bama and Georgia. This is the team that will finish 2nd the West. Not A&M. The team I think that is going to drop even more is Auburn. They had several key losses and recruiting hasn’t been that friendly the last couple of years. You can only ‘coach up’ so much. Oh, and the truth is that they had two wins that should have been two losses – that they can thank the refs for.

    Liked by 1 person

    • RangerRuss

      “thank the refs”. Alabama Privilege isn’t limited to the Tide. Time to move the SEC headquarters out of that oversized shithouse they call a state.

      Liked by 2 people

  10. godawgs1701

    what do you suppose the reaction in Columbia would be if Vandy won more games than the ‘Cocks?

    The reaction will be about 8 months’ worth of message board posts and bleacher report articles about how the Cocks’ final field goal drive of the season is indisputable proof-of-concept in Shane Beamer’s system and that it portends a coming five year win streak against Clemson and at least an Eastern Division championship in 2022, same as their reaction to every event in the history of their program.

    Liked by 7 people

  11. miltondawg

    I looked through the list and one bet I might have to take if I head up to North Carolina between now and football season is the over on Ohio State. I know that they are replacing Justin, but they have two five star QBs and a four star QB that are plenty talented and everywhere else on the field they are absolutely and completely loaded with talent.

    Liked by 1 person

    • tiredofidsearch

      And their system is easy on QB’s. Not meant as a knock on Justin, it’s just reality looking at their prior QB’s and what they have done since.

      Like

  12. practicaldawg

    Tennessee is the clear favorite to be No. 1 in the bottom third of the conference

    Liked by 2 people

  13. spur21

    Ole Miss may surprise as will LSU.

    Like

  14. akascuba

    Georgia over seems the safest bet.

    UT and Vandy would be my under choices.

    Like

    • akascuba

      Mike Leach has been awful quiet this off season. When he is focused on winning football he can field a better than expected team. Which is what I think he’ll do this year.

      Liked by 1 person

      • miltondawg

        The problem that MSU has on that 6 number is that they probably only have 4 built-in wins (their 3 OOC games and Vandy). I see them at 2-4 or 3-3 to start (OOC cupcake, NC State, OOC cupcake, LSU, aTm, and Bama are first six games). Then they get Vandy. Last five are UK, @ Arky, @ Auburn, OOC cupcake, and Ole Miss. If they drop the NC State game and are sitting at 3-4 after Vandy, to beat their number they have to beat three of UK, away at Arky, away at Auburn, and Ole Miss.

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      • jcdawg83

        Leach is the passing game version of Paul Johnson. He can win a game or two he shouldn’t because his unorthodox offense is so hard to prepare for but he isn’t going to challenge for championships. I also think he is as much an entertainer as a coach and he relishes being the “zany, say anything” coach. That said, I can see him winning 7 games.

        Liked by 1 person

        • akascuba

          Totally agree. Like Paul Johnson with someone else’s recruits. I think he is very capable of exceeding expectations at times. Not a chance he ever wins the West. I think this will be one of those years he wins a couple of games that on paper MSU should lose.

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  15. uga97

    FU has 3 of top 4 minus themselves & tex a&m. Mullet kept Grantham as his Fall Guy once they hit the under with a loss to UT/UK/Mizzou/FSU.

    Like