The dog ate their computer’s homework. Or something.

How it started.

Georgia’s FPI has dropped significantly from the end of last season.  FPI also has Georgia playing 2021’s 22nd ranked strength of schedule, which, given the current state of the SEC East, seems a might bit ambitious.

I guess I could accept that, at least until I look at the two teams bracketing the Dawgs.  Texas A&M, a spot ahead of the Dawgs, has to break in a new quarterback and replace a fair amount of its offensive line.  Plus, the Aggies play in the tougher neighborhood.  And then, c’mon, Mississippi State eighth?  And closer to Georgia than Georgia is to TAMU?

Either I’m crazy, or this season is going to be.

How it’s going.

Editor’s Note: We recently discovered that our previous preseason release of the Football Power Index in April contained data and modeling errors. We have remedied the issues and are re-releasing FPI here ahead of the 2021 season. ESPN Analytics regrets the error.

Hunh.  Guess I wasn’t crazy.

Several teams were disproportionately affected by the aforementioned errors in FPI’s initial release, and we wanted to call those out. Perhaps no team generated more attention than Mississippi State from that initial release, when we (in error, we now know), ranked the Bulldogs in the top 10. The Bulldogs are No. 24 in our current release.

Again, this was the result of data and modeling errors, and the change is of no reflection on anything occurring in Starkville. Nonetheless, we feel it’s necessary to call it out given the attention the Bulldogs’ original rank received. Likewise, we’d like to note other notable teams that were also significantly affected by the errors and their resulting move since: Miami (moved up from No. 20 to No. 10), Oklahoma State (down from No. 9 to No. 19), Washington (up from No. 59 to No. 25), Utah (up from No. 57 to No. 30), UCF (up from No. 70 to No. 34), BYU (up from No. 63 to No. 38), Coastal Carolina (down from No. 35 to No. 60), Kansas State (down from No. 44 to No. 67).

Mickey’s stat department has a credibility problem, which is a strange thing to say given that Bill Connelly works there.  If ESPN has a shred of shame… eh, who am I kidding here?


Filed under ESPN Is The Devil, Stats Geek!

11 responses to “The dog ate their computer’s homework. Or something.

  1. The people that run FPI have always played fast and loose with the data. Heather Dinich and Andrea Adelson are probably involved somehow.

    Liked by 4 people

  2. Hogbody Spradlin

    And what about the poor poor gamblers who got early bets down based on the ‘erroneous’ numbers? Do they get refunds or point spread adjustments?


  3. The real head scratcher in the writeup for FPI was that they said that FPI wasn’t sold on Daniels due to his “inexperience” but apparently that is a downgrade only for him and not for Clemson or Alabama with their highly experienced…er, um…well, apparently everything else about Clemson and Alabama must be so much better than UGA that that “reasoning” still doesn’t get us higher than 5th.

    Or, maybe, Mark May is behind the keyboard on the FPI programming.


    • Down Island Way

      Are you telling me the FPI has “too much bammer in them”….I’m smelling lexicon territory…


  4. Ditto Dawgfan1995 ! Their quote of “sample size so small to upgrade” regarding Daniels is amusing in lite of smaller sample size of Young and Uiagalelei.
    That Bama spring game must’ve been one hell of a performance?!


  5. Potential is carrying a lot of water for Bama this year in regards to QB play. Hugh Durham’s opinion of “potential”…”it means you haven’t done $hit!”


  6. Corch Irvin Meyers, Former Jags Corch (2024)

    What actually is ESPN good for these days? More garbage that had nothing to do with sports than sports, maybe?

    And because CBS is so damn cheap, ESPN really will rule our SEC CFB-loving lives forever now. Yay, us!

    Liked by 1 person

  7. 123 Fake St

    ESPN has been trash for a solid decade.
    The narrative they spread regarding Rachel Nichols this week was despicable.


  8. Dylan Dreyer's Booty

    I am thinking that Mickey didn’t want to pay a bajillion in bit coin to REvil, and just bought new computers and re-entered the data.


  9. benco04

    An ESPN product that says there’s essentially four teams and everyone else? I’m shocked I tell you.

    As someone that sucks up marketing hype like a Hoover when it comes to outdoor gear, I know it when I see it. And it seems the stats fellas at ESPN are enjoying their own playoff hype sauce.