Here’s a good question:

And here’s Josh’s response.

As a general rule of thumb based on the last four seasons, you’d better create a net YPP of 2+ if you want a realistic shot at the CFP (the four-team version, that is).  And if you want to win, you’d better wind up north of 2.5.  It doesn’t matter how you get there — track Alabama’s numbers over those four years, for example — just that you do get there.

This is why I like net YPP best, when it comes to advanced stats.  It may not be perfect, but it’s relatively easy to understand and it’s a good judge of a team’s overall quality.

Realistically speaking, then, Georgia probably has to bump its offensive YPP up a full yard over the 2020 number to make the CFP field this season, assuming it can maintain its defensive excellence.  Is that doable?  Well, put it this way:  a 7.21 ypp would be the best in the program’s history.  That is the world Kirby Smart now coaches in.



Filed under Georgia Football, Stats Geek!

21 responses to “Why I YPP

  1. RangerRuss

    It’s doable.

    Liked by 5 people

  2. The optimist can look at the last 4 games of 2020 and see an average of 7.5 YPP per game and get excited. The pessimist can look at the competition and add into it that we’ll be without our best WR.

    Liked by 1 person

  3. originaluglydawg

    How much higher would UGA’s PPG and YPP be had Vandy and GT not dodged playing them last year? If they had played Clemson’s schedule?

    Liked by 3 people

  4. Like most will respond, it’s about execution. Kirby has recruited exceptionally well, he’s hired good assistants…there are no excuses left not to perform at a playoff/championship level. He’s taking us to the promise land this year.

    Liked by 3 people

  5. akascuba

    Assuming good health all season. Monken has been given all the tools needed to break many long standing team records.

    I think he delivers in a big way with an epic season.

    Liked by 7 people

  6. 4_Litre_FTW

    Dawgs have cracked 7+ YPP twice since 2009: 7.09 YPP in 2012 and 7.05 YPP in 2018. I’d expect this team to look more like 2012 than 2018, and there’s good reason to think we look quite a bit better. So yeah, 7.21 YPP seems pretty doable.

    Liked by 5 people

  7. HirsuteDawg

    If we could connect with SOME of our wide open receivers we could do it. Of course, if frogs had wings they wouldn’t bump their ass when they hopped.

    Liked by 1 person

  8. DawgFlan

    You down with YPP? Yeah, you know me…

    Liked by 1 person

  9. Beating Bama is the key statistical metric I follow.


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