Bill Connelly ($$) points out the Dawgs are, in fact, overachieving in one way so far this season.
Greatest overachievement vs. closing line through two weeks, 2021:
Rutgers: 40 points
Utah State: 37.5
Marshall, Virginia: 30
Historically speaking, this is something of a mixed bag, although the 1980 Georgia team roared off to a +44 start. But as to the 2021 squad,
At the least, this could say something about Georgia’s early 2021 dominance. Kirby Smart’s Bulldogs began the year by taking down Clemson and overachieving by 9.5 points against the spread. Then, on Saturday, they might have made an even bigger statement. Despite missing starting quarterback JT Daniels and leaning on last year’s emergency starter Stetson Bennett, they beat a rock solid UAB team 56-7, defying the closing line by 26.5 points. Their defense, first in defensive SP+ the past two years but somehow even better than usual at the moment, has allowed just 10 points in two games. The offense certainly didn’t do much against Clemson but showed out against a typically strong UAB defense and still hasn’t placed its first-choice lineup on the field. [Emphasis added.]
Bill’s definitely not dawgrading the UAB win, that’s for sure.