The other side’s third down

Yesterday, I showed you what JT Daniels has done on third down so far this year.  Here’s the story for KJ Jefferson (it’s the battle of two-initial quarterbacks!).

Looking at his situational stats, he’s not that hot on second down, either, with a passer rating of 72.68.  But he is friggin’ dynamite on first down:  25-33, 572 yards, 17.33 ypa, 15 first downs, 5 touchdowns, 1 INT.  That all adds up to a 265.30 passer rating.  Well over 40% of his pass attempts come on first down, which tells you that Kendall Briles knows when to dial up what works.  I assume Lanning will devise his game plan accordingly.

Jefferson’s strengths are running the ball and the deep pass.  He’s not particularly accurate in the intermediate passing game, which is indicated in Rollins’ stats.  It’s not going to surprise me in the slightest if the Dawgs play more zone to counter that than we’ve seen and it might be well worth your time to see how much Tykee Smith sees the field, since he played a lot of zone last season at West Virginia.



Filed under Arkansas Is Kind Of A Big Deal, Stats Geek!, Strategery And Mechanics

15 responses to “The other side’s third down

  1. practicaldawg

    Not to mention that Saturday’s 3rd downs will be the loudest he’s faced, assuming our fans are more elite than not.

    Liked by 4 people

  2. akascuba

    His strengths are running the ball and the deep pass. Thanks a big running QB that throws a good deep pass have in the past been shown to be the weakness of the style defense Kirby likes. This is what concerns me about this game.
    At the end of the day I think Georgia has too much talented depth for Arkansas. The first half could be very uncomfortable for the good guys.
    That’s not all bad as I think this game is an excellent opportunity to get ready for a better version of this same attack that FU will pose for Lanning.

    As much as I would love to see a 60 minute beat down I doubt that’s what happens. I think it may take awhile to solve Barry Odums 3-2-6 defense too.

    Just win and stay healthy that’s all that matters.


  3. akascuba

    I agree PD and hope the crowd is unlike past noontime games. I think that’s the exact reason Kirby’s asked for an elite crowd. He’s seen plenty of snooze feasts at noon before.


    • bigjohnson1992

      I’m pretty sure this years team would still play lights out in a abandoned parking lot with zero fans in attendance.


  4. I expect our defense to play them very similarly to the way we played Clemson.


  5. r1valry

    “…it might be well worth your time to see how much Tykee Smith sees the field, since he played a lot of zone last season at West Fucking Virginia.”

    Fixed it for ya.


  6. hertyfield

    Senator, I always enjoy your q&a with opposing team bloggers, to get their views on the game. Would be especially interesting this week. Got any folks you can ring up in Fayetteville? 😉


  7. Texas Dawg

    Both teams will learn a lot about themselves on Saturday. My two favorite teams on Saturday will be my DAWGS and the UK Wildcats. Currently the TURDS are only getting 7.5

    Liked by 3 people

  8. KJ has yet to experience defenders that are this fast and coming at him from all sides…I hope his jersey gets dirty very quickly and he gets rattled…he’s going to turn the ball over 3+ times

    Liked by 2 people

    • Agree…got to believe Lanning is not going to give him time to throw an accurate deep ball. Some guided misses will be incoming and expect it to result in at least one TO.

      Liked by 1 person

    • bigjohnson1992

      Agreed. All you ‘I’m worried about ar-Kansas” types need to relax. We ain’t losing to the hogs and there’s a very good change we demolish them thoroughly and steal their souls. Just like Clemsons qb, they have no idea whats coming their way.


  9. Texas Dawg

    Are their any stats on KJ Jefferson on downs when he is running for his life? There will be after Saturday.

    Liked by 1 person

  10. 69Dawg

    Jam Burk(?) at the line and stay with him. Have our biggest fastest LB spy the QB and and we should be ok.

    Liked by 1 person