Bill Connelly ($$) looks at Georgia’s hot start and compares it to similar ones:
Indeed, Georgia is only the 12th team since 1979 to have overachieved by more than 15 points per game against an average spread of at least -20. Four of the other 11 teams to have pulled this off won the national title — 36% of them, which almost perfectly matches Georgia’s current national title odds of 39%, per the Allstate Playoff Predictor — and three more came achingly close. Only one finished the year with more than two losses.
The outlier was 2019 Wisconsin, which couldn’t get over the Ohio State hump after two cracks at it. (I won’t say what I’m thinking now, if you won’t.) Overall, though, as recipes for success go, I’ll take it.