Stats, stats and mo’ stats

Seth Emerson’s Mailbag ($$) is chock full of ’em.

• Georgia has run fewer plays this season with the score within two touchdowns than any other team in the FBS (221 plays, compared to 226 with the bigger lead.) The takeaway: more than half of Georgia’s plays have been when it has a two-touchdown-or-more lead. Think that warps the overall stats?

• However, when the lead has been within seven points, the Georgia offense leads the nation in percentage of plays that gain 20 or more yards (11.5 percent, 11 of 156 plays.).

• Overall this season, Georgia ranks 18th in the nation in yards per play (6.74). But when the game has been within seven points, Georgia jumps up to fourth nationally.

• And when the game has been that close, Georgia has also been more likely to gain 10-plus yards on a play (26.3 percent of the time) than be stopped for no gain or a loss (20.5 percent).

• When the game has gotten out of reach, Todd Monken has taken his foot off the gas, both in pace and play-calling: Georgia has averaged a play every 27.7 seconds when the game is within 14 points, compared to every 30.4 seconds when it’s not, and the designed run-pass ratio has been 50-50 when the game was within 7 points (78 dropbacks, 78 designed rushes), compared to calling designed runs 66.3 percent of the time when Georgia leads by 14 or more.

The lesson to be drawn from that is Todd Monken knows how to play to the moment.

One more stat of note for the Cocktail Party:  Florida has turned the ball over in every game they’ve played this season.  And of the 13 giveaways they’ve produced, 12 have come by interceptions.

27 Comments

Filed under Gators, Gators..., Georgia Football, Stats Geek!

27 responses to “Stats, stats and mo’ stats

  1. mg4life0331

    I’m just saying when we get to the SEC and beyond, if we up three scores you don’t stop. “Finish the drop” “Attack the Day”. Whatever cliche puts more points on the board.

    Liked by 6 people

  2. theotherdoug

    In past games Smart and Monken have taken their foot off the gas but that won’t happen because UF rallied from a 18 point deficit against Bama and the need to give Stetson and JT meaningful reps.

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  3. fisheriesdawg

    I think the turnover thing is going to determine how this game goes. Florida has to take some chances on offense to have a shot. They’ll be able to run the ball some, but not in the way they have most of the season. So whoever is at QB will have to take some chances. If they hit, the game will stay close. If they don’t (and the story of this season says they won’t), it could get out of hand. And if it happens early because Jordan Davis has Anthony Richardson crapping his pants on the first couple of drives, it could easily be the kind of game we dream of.

    Liked by 4 people

  4. thunderdawg42

    Kirby & Todd have chosen to handle bringing back injured players slowly, carefully. It stands to reason that the conservative offense late in games may stem from caution over injuries as well.

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  5. Former Fan

    Must be a typo on the 2nd bullet point. 11.5% is not 11/156 plays. Wonder which one is right… the 11.5% or 11/156 plays?

    Liked by 1 person

  6. originaluglydawg

    Short take..this team knows when to hunker down and when to coast a little. I hope there’s zero coasting against the turds and later against Bama.

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  7. jdawg108

    Monkey knows how to take his foot off the gas and still keep it firmly on the opponents neck.

    He’s a Zen master.

    Liked by 2 people

  8. mp

    I am feeling very nervous, but the balm to that is the fact that Florida relies on the run. Our defense shuts down the run unlike any others. If they throw, they turn it over. I’m hoping it’s that simple. I think there are offenses that can put up points on Georgia, but I don’t think this is the one.

    Liked by 1 person

  9. W Cobb Dawg

    Lanning & Schumann did a lousy job with the LB coaching in last years game. I would think our LBs are eager to feast on Jonesardson tomorrow, because the game tape is going to get a LOT of viewing from nfl scouts.

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    • jdawg108

      That, or their receivers/rbs were allowed to push off of our defenders to open up their routes. This combined with a very muddy ground made for a tough first half.

      Most of the Problems were corrected in the second half.

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    • Monty Rice’s injury had a lot to with it. He was playing on one bad leg, and they went after him with wheel routes.

      The move to more zone has really limited teams’ ability to run the wheel. It’s a slow developing play that really requires good protection as well.

      Liked by 2 people

  10. “we want to do what we want to do when we want to do it”… with the added bonus of knowing what to do.

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  11. Up by 3 scores late after a Kirby Death Drive, gators score late against our second and third team D who are getting the reward of playing in the WLOCP to be the first team to cover and it will still be the under. Another moral victory for Danny Boy to talk about in his presser.

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  12. Dylan Dreyer's Booty

    As far as running up the score goes I don’t really care how much we score as long as the Florida half of stadium is empty (a few red shirts is okay) by the middle of the 3rd quarter.

    Liked by 2 people

  13. whb209

    What ever Kirby and Todd are doing, just keep doing it.

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