The bye weeks have evened out, so everyone is playing on a level field of nine weeks’ worth of data. (As always, stats via cfbstats.com.)
- Georgia 3.11 (6.89 o; 3.78 d) [NC: +.12]
- Alabama 1.71 (6.59 o; 4.88 d) [NC: -.07]
- Texas A&M 1.46 (6.05 o; 4.59 d) [NC: +.21]
- Florida 1.27 (6.71 o; 5.44 d) [NC: -.25]
- Tennessee 1.27 (6.52 o; 5.25 d) [NC: +.13]
- Ole Miss 1.16 (6.81 o; 5.65 d) [NC: +.15]
- Arkansas 1.16 (6.51 o; 5.35 d) [NC: -.29]
- Auburn: .93 (6.09 o; 5.16 d) [NC: -.50]
- Kentucky .41 (5.98 o; 5.59 d) [NC: -.38]
- Mississippi State .16 (5.67 o; 5.51 d) [NC: +.10]
- South Carolina -.08 (5.33 o; 5.41 d) [NC: +.13]
- LSU -.19 (5.45 o; 5.64 d) [NC: -.11]
- Missouri -.71 (6.10 o; 6.81 d) [NC: -.36]
- Vanderbilt -2.11 (4.50 o; 6.61 d) [NC: DNP]
Turnover margin, after week six:
- +11: Ole Miss
- +8: Alabama
- +4: Missouri
- +3: Tennessee
- +2: Arkansas, Georgia, LSU
- +1: South Carolina
- 0: Mississippi State, Texas A&M
- -1: Auburn
- -3: Vanderbilt
- -9: Florida
- -12: Kentucky
Observations:
- Georgia is now first in offensive ypp and defensive ypp. Pretty, pretty good.
- All TAMU does is keep climbing the rankings.
- Vice versa, in Auburn’s case.
- The gap between one and two is the same size as that between thirteen and fourteen.
I was thinking today, that while there are probably better teams nationally with Net YPP, how many of them are likely to end up in the playoffs. Of course UGA is the cream of the crop defensively with YPP, but now their offensive YPP is higher enough that there won’t be many more in contention that can best them. And, I think limiting it to FBS games only, they would likely show even better, despite their Net YPP probably being a little worse.
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a&m should thank that barner named bo nix for their rise in the ranking, I still blame BoBo…#AUBURN SUCKS!
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MuLLLLet has his moral victory of the week.
We’re #4!
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So what is it we are shooing for? We want, at minimum, a Net YPP of 2.00, right? Higher is better obliviously.
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Obviously I meant.. lol
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The benchmark is net +2
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We ain’t shitty then.
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With the teams remaining on the schedule in the regular season, it could go up further.
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I find it hard to believe that we are only +2 in turnovers. We should be at least +5 or better.
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The offense carries some of that. We were -1 vs. Clemson. We were even vs. FU.
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Agree. I guess the blocked FGs, safeties, etc. skew our perception. Not sure I’ve ever seen a team capitalize on turnovers so effectively.
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Strangely, turnover margin has a pretty weak correlation to scoring margin. Georgia ranks 5th in TO margin, and first in Scoring Margin. TAMU ranks 10th in TO Margin and 2nd in Scoring Margin. My guess is that TO Margin does not take into account “hidden turnovers”, like 3 & outs deep in your own territory, and special teams turnovers (missed/blocked FG, blocked punts). Georgia D is getting a ton of 3 & outs.
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correction… TAMU is 3rd in scoring margin… not second
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YPP margin has the strongest relationship to scoring margin, followed by Yards Per Passing Attempt Margin, and Big Play (plays of 20+ yards) margin.
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