It’s the Big Three and everybody else.
Man, SP+ sure loves the Vols. (And Mississippi State.) And, with nine teams in the top 25, the SEC.
You know one other thing SP+ loves? Georgia’s offense, which is essentially tied with Alabama’s. That’s what happens when you lose Metchie and Williams, I suppose.
One significant caveat that Connelly brings up at the end of his piece, in talking about the rankings for LSU (36th) and USC (53rd):
Once we have dealt with a couple of years of evidence in how teams loading up on transfers change their ratings from year to year, I will get a pretty good idea of how to account for this in the projections. This is a very new phenomenon, however, and I don’t want to overreact in how I account for this, so for now we’re just going to have a couple of weird outliers.