I don’t have an emotional investment in tonight’s game… other than the usual sadness I’ll feel when another college football season comes to an end.
The pessimist in me sees Ohio State upsetting Oregon because Corch.
The stats geek/trend follower in me notes that over the last three seasons Oregon is 36-0 when scoring more than 28 points in a game (0-4 when it scores less) and has a hard time seeing how Ohio State could hold the Ducks down to that level of scoring.
Have at it in the comments.
Dig in. Big night ahead.
- Due to health concerns, Archie Manning isn’t sure he’ll be back on the selection committee.
- And Bill Hancock says the selection committee may meet less in 2015. Has he run that by ESPN?
- Leading the search for LSU’s next defensive coordinator are Les Miles, assistant director of football operations Dean Dingman… and Miles’ agent, George Bass.
- Don’t know if this is an outlier, an indication of how offenses have changed college football or something to do with a four-team playoff format, but stopping the run doesn’t look like it’s been a key to winning a national title this season.
- Jon Wilner estimates that the CFP has resulted in another $18.4 million for the Pac-12/$1.53 million for each of its member schools over what the BCS generated. It’s profitable to settle things on the field!
- “I played at the FBS (level), and I can honestly say the only difference between FBS and FCS is depth.”
- Chad Kelly has his second chance. SEC need, baby!
Big 12 Commissioner Bob Bowlsby thinks a six- or eight-team playoff would “probably in some ways diminish the regular season”, but also says this about what’s already happened:
“The one downside I do think to the playoff is it has somewhat diminished the focus on conference championships insofar as they may play into who gets to go on and play in the four,” Bowlsby said. “It was not as much about winning a Big 12 title as it was about a representative. You’re playing in the SEC West and it really isn’t about getting into championship game or winning the SEC, it’s about [getting in the top four]. Time will tell if that trend continues. I’d have some sense of loss if that were the case, but I think generally speaking it’s been a tremendous success.”
How can you not be sure the trend continues while at the same time acknowledging that your conference very well may have to add a championship game in order for it not to be disadvantaged by the selection committee?
Rounding up a few tidbits for the chafing dishes:
If anyone knows the sweet spot for the size of a college sport’s playoff field, Ohio State AD Gene Smith is your guy.
“You’ll always have somebody left out. I was (chair) of the (NCAA basketball tournament) selection committee and we put in 68, and people wanted to talk about 69 and 70. The reality is, this works and we’ll keep tweaking it to get better.”
I keed, I keed. Seriously, is that not as perfect an example of a total lack of self-awareness as you could imagine?
And, again, Gene baby, you didn’t stop at 68 because it worked. You stopped because you couldn’t get the networks to pony up enough jack for the privilege of broadcasting a 96-team show.
So we’ll see how perfect four teams are in light of news like this.
My bet is Gene will be telling us how much better the eight-team tweak is soon enough.
Outside, it’s cold. Inside, the buffet is warm.
Since its next semester doesn’t start until Monday, Ohio State isn’t bound by the NCAA’s 20-hour rule in preparing for the national title game. Oregon is.
That seems fair.