Category Archives: Because Nothing Sucks Like A Big Orange

One reason to like Tennessee’s chances in the East

It’s not getting a lot of attention now, but there’s a part of me that thinks dumping Jancek and replacing him with Bob Shoop may turn out to be the best offseason coaching move in the conference.  Here’s what Ed Aschoff notes about UT’s new defensive coordinator:

Butch Jones’ hiring of former Penn State defensive coordinator Bob Shoop was an outstanding hire. Tennessee’s defense was lagging before, but Shoop will bring a much more aggressive style to a unit that already has a ton of athleticism and speed. Tennessee’s defense had OK overall numbers in 2015, but it also helped the Vols lose three games in which they led by double digits. Shoop’s last five defenses, including three with Vanderbilt, ranked in the top 25 in total defense and forced a total of 120 turnovers. This past season, the Nittany Lions ranked 14th nationally in total defense (324.5 ypg) and 25th in defensive efficiency (69.2).

He’s got a good track record.  He’s got SEC experience.  He’s a major upgrade.  If the Vols break through this season, he’ll probably turn out to be the big reason why.

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Filed under Because Nothing Sucks Like A Big Orange

In the end, will Georgia’s schedule be the difference?

David Wunderlich revisits his study of peer programs each SEC team will face in 2016 in order to come up with some win projections.  Here’s his methodology:

… I did a dead-simple estimation for this part. For every game against a team above its peer group, I gave that team a loss. For every game against a team below its peer group, I gave that team a win—this includes FCS opponents, as they’re not included in S&P+. And then, I had team would win half of its games against its peers. They’re toss up games, so let’s just make them coin tosses for now.

And here are his results.

Team Est. Wins
Alabama 11.5
LSU 11
Georgia 9.5
Tennessee 9.5
Florida 9
Ole Miss 7.5
Mississippi State 7.5
Arkansas 7
Auburn 7
Texas A&M 6.5
Missouri 5.5
South Carolina 4
Vanderbilt 4
Kentucky 3.5

So, even with Tennessee sporting a better S&P+ ranking than Georgia, both teams finish with the same number of projected wins.  One big factor for that is that the Vols have to punch above their class once, against Alabama, while Georgia doesn’t face a similar challenge.  Is that enough to make the difference in which team emerges as the winner of the East?

It might be.  The bottom of the division appears weak and you’d have to expect both programs get through that unscathed.  That’s four wins right there.  Historically speaking, Florida presents a similar challenge to both UT and Georgia.  That leaves the head-to-head matchup, which is in Athens this year, and the cross-division meetings where Georgia travels to Ole Miss and hosts Auburn while Tennessee has Alabama at home and Texas A&M on the road.

It doesn’t mean that Tennessee’s chances to return to Atlanta are totally dashed if it can’t beat the Tide, but you can make a decent argument that its margin for error is virtually wiped out if it doesn’t, especially if the Dawgs pull off a win in Oxford.

Georgia-Tennessee in Athens is huge, but the third Saturday in October may be shaping up to matter almost as much.

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Filed under Because Nothing Sucks Like A Big Orange, Georgia Football

‘Coach, they’re not going to do anything to you. It’s your son they’re after.’

According to Eric Berry, Monte Kiffin was so worried about his personal safety after Junior bailed on Tennessee that he wouldn’t leave his office until all the fires that had been set on campus were put out.

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Filed under Because Nothing Sucks Like A Big Orange, Don't Mess With Lane Kiffin

“Kids judge you by your car.”

Can we all agree that the SEC’s facilities arms race is getting absurdly out of hand?

32 Comments

Filed under Because Nothing Sucks Like A Big Orange, Recruiting

Urnge in the Holy Land

Honestly, I thought my people had better taste.

21 Comments

Filed under Because Nothing Sucks Like A Big Orange, Stylin'

The SEC East just got a lot tougher.

Booch wouldn’t be bullshitting us now, would he?

5 Comments

Filed under Because Nothing Sucks Like A Big Orange, Blowing Smoke, Georgia Football

For the love of Gawd, why?

There are some things beyond my capacity to understand.  At least this dude will get to wear orange when it’s all over.

4 Comments

Filed under Because Nothing Sucks Like A Big Orange