… if you had Kirby in and Saban out in the SECCG preseason pool.
Category Archives: Nick Saban Rules
The reading glasses really add to the whole “you kids, get offa my lawn” vibe here.
I give him credit for laughing, at least. Though the Coke bottle seems a little stoic.
Why do I have the feeling the Alabama support staff is about to welcome its newest member?
To give you an idea of how unbalanced the top of the conference is from the rest of the SEC, Vegas is having a problem setting lines in games involving Alabama and Georgia. No, really.
How are the odds makers handling Georgia and Alabama in that they are blowing out a lot of people?
We are seeing some really historic lines in the SEC. Alabama is being favored by 30 points or more over several teams in the SEC. There just haven’t been many of those in history and now Georgia is kind of creeping up there. It’s difficult for (odds makers). How do they gauge how big a gap has been created between these top SEC teams, Alabama and Georgia, and then the rest of the league, which really has kind of fallen off? This is the biggest point spread on a Georgia-South Carolina game going back to at least 1997 and it’s not even really close. The next-closest one was 18.5 in 2005. This is not just a Georgia-South Carolina thing, this is an SEC thing where these top teams have really separated themselves.
How do the smart gamblers figure out when Alabama and Georgia become overvalued?
You are looking at your power rankings, and your power rankings are based specifically on the talent that these kids have. Some people focus on coaching. Some people will add on little things about recruiting in terms of depth. You are strictly looking at your power rankings now and your power rankings are saying Georgia is 24 points better. Now Georgia has beaten teams by plus-30 so it’s a tough spot for them. The talent and the metrics are saying 24 but you look at these scores with Georgia and you’re seeing 30-point victories. It is a tough thing, and you will often see the sharp guys with these big inflated lines, I wouldn’t be surprised if there’s some late money on South Carolina as these guys sit there and wait and wait and wait and see how much this line gets driven up and then take the other side. They are just looking at their metrics.
If they’ve been doing that lately with Georgia, their metrics are screwing them out of some major bucks.
Let’s just say Nick Saban didn’t appear especially overwrought about the outcome of yesterday’s game.
When Saban can’t even make the effort to show faux in game concern about a conference rivalry, you know the Champions of Life have a problem.
I bet the Coke bottle’s about to pop its cap.