Category Archives: Stats Geek!

Friday morning buffet

There’s always something to grab.

  • Talk about preparation:  Mike Ekeler watched every snap last season of the Bulldogs’ special teams before his interview with Richt.  Talk about being a glutton for punishment, too.
  • Based on recruiting rankings, which teams and coaches were the biggest over and under achievers?
  • ESPN is set to announce that the 2014 college football season will begin at its earliest point in 11 years.
  • Here are some details from the third day of hearings on whether the National Labor Relations Board should certify the Northwestern players’ unionization request.
  • And here is a listing of the spring practice start dates and spring game dates for all 14 SEC schools.
  • Charlie Pierce uses Mark Richt to mock Georgia pols’ attempt to let guns on campus.
  • Arkansas’ plan to modify its school color leads to a post about color scales that probably has more information than you could possibly care about.  But since it also mentions Georgia, what the hell.
  • MaconDawg wonders if Georgia’s 2015 recruiting indicates that future offensive changes are a possibility.


Filed under Arkansas Is Kind Of A Big Deal, College Football, ESPN Is The Devil, Georgia Football, Political Wankery, Recruiting, SEC Football, Stats Geek!

Wednesday morning buffet

It’s not as if there’s nothing left to fill the chafing dishes.


Filed under Crime and Punishment, Georgia Football, SEC Football, Stats Geek!, What's Bet In Vegas Stays In Vegas

Thursday morning buffet

If you’re facing the same weather conditions I am, it’s not like you’ve got anything better to do right now than to slip into the buffet line.

  • Sorry, Missouri, but you just got the KC Joyner kiss of death.
  • Stewart Mandel throws in the towel on oversigning.
  • Clowney says he might have stayed in Columbia for his senior year if he were paid enough to support his family.  Now he tells ‘em.
  • The NCAA’s Division I Board of Directors hopes to have a new management structure in place by August.
  • Here’s a coach who’s on his eighth job in eight years.
  • It turns out that among all the Vols who were arrested at that wild party last weekend, a man who identified himself as an assistant strength coach for Tennessee’s football team was handcuffed and put in the back of a squad car when he tried to intervene.
  • “An online survey by a group of Canadian researchers suggests that Internet trolls are more likely than others to show signs of sadism, psychopathy and “Machiavellianism”: a disregard for morality and tendency to manipulate or exploit others.”
  • The NLRB held its first hearing yesterday on the Northwestern players’ move to be certified as a union.


Filed under 'Cock Envy, Because Nothing Sucks Like A Big Orange, College Football, Crime and Punishment, Media Punditry/Foibles, Recruiting, SEC Football, Stats Geek!, The Blogosphere, The NCAA

Monday morning buffet

Clearing the decks… dig in.

  • “We felt like our tight end position was really a little scary with the depth there,” coach Mark Richt said.
  • To me, the most interesting aspect of the Michael Sam coming out story is whether the NFL will be able to deal with Sam’s sexual orientation as maturely as Missouri did.
  • Rodney Garner complains of overcoming negative recruiting in his success in getting Dontavius Russell to flip from Georgia to Auburn.
  • Good story from the Chattanooga paper on how their college football careers played out for 50 area recruits(h/t Scorpio Jones, III)
  • Bill Connelly has his first S&P+ projections for 2014.  Georgia is eighth.
  • I’m not sure Bret Bielema understands how recruiting rankings work.  Either that, or he’s convinced he’s really, really good at finding diamonds in the rough.
  • Chalk up another head coach who sees the role technology plays in recruiting these days.  Mark Stoops“I think it’s easier in some ways because of all the social media that you have,” he said.
  • Junior, a look back.


Filed under Auburn's Cast of Thousands, Don't Mess With Lane Kiffin, Georgia Football, Recruiting, SEC Football, Stats Geek!

Bill Connelly explains it all to you.

I’m not even going to waste your time with a summary.  Just read the damned thing in its entirety.  And then bookmark it.


Filed under Stats Geek!

2013 turnover luck

How much of this you want to chalk up to design and how much to fortune is up to you.  I just hope whatever it can be attributed to, Jeremy Pruitt manages to bring it along to Athens this year.


Filed under Stats Geek!

Friday morning buffet

The buffet line be open.

  • If nothing else, the Gator Bowl will feature two good running backs.
  • And with eleven tackles against the Cornhuskers, Ramik Wilson would surpass Thomas Davis (138 in 2003) for the Bulldogs’ most in the Mark Richt era.
  • Why do I have the feeling that one day we’re going to look back at the 2013 season and wonder what all the A.J. McCarron hype was about?
  • Patrick Garbin compares Martinez and Grantham and declares a plague upon both their houses.
  • Here’s a statistical approach to finding a replacement for Mack Brown.  Good luck with that.
  • John Theus, speaking the obvious:  “I really need to step it up and hopefully I can get good offseason work in.”
  • Chase Garnham was sufficiently convinced that Vanderbilt wouldn’t let him play unless he signed a consent form giving the school permission to use his name, image and likeness, that under advice of counsel he signed it “with a note at the bottom of the form expressing my understanding that I had to sign the form in order to play, not just to be eligible.”  Amateurism, you’re the best.
  • If next year’s offensive backfield is too crowded, J.J. Green is more than willing to take his 5’9″ talent to cornerback.
  • Is Christian LeMay gone?


Filed under College Football, Georgia Football, Stats Geek!, The NCAA

Georgia’s 2013 yards per play story leaves me more confused than ever.

Year2′s observation that Georgia had a higher yards per play average than its opponents in the two losses to Auburn and Missouri got me wondering how that stat looked for the entire season, so off I went to Marty’s site to get the answer.

  • Clemson: +1.65
  • South Carolina:  -.39
  • North Texas:  +4.95
  • LSU: +.89
  • Tennessee: +.52
  • Missouri: +.48
  • Vanderbilt: -1.11
  • Florida: +2.23
  • Appy State:  +4.23
  • Auburn: +.45
  • Kentucky: +2.85
  • Georgia Tech: -.05
  • Season: +1.38

So Georgia lost three games this season in which it was more efficient gaining yardage than the opponent.  I get Missouri – a minus-4 turnover margin against a good team is awfully hard to overcome – and I sort of get Auburn, but what in the world explains Clemson?  Yes, the Dawgs were minus-1 in turnover margin, and, yes, they had one drive that resulted in no points when the field goal attempt was botched, but, still, that net ypp figure is well above the season average.  And the Tigers only ran six more plays on the night than Georgia did.

On the other hand, Georgia was 2-1 in games when it was in the red on ypp, and could have won the Vanderbilt game with a break (or, more accurately, without Vandy getting more than its share of breaks from the officiating crew).

(By the way, in case you were wondering, the ypp average for the 2012 season was +1.91.  The drop off in 2013 came slightly more on the offensive side of the ball (-.28) than on defense (-.25), which makes sense when you consider the injury situation.)

Anyway, there’s more to consider here to try to explain where the season went south.  Missouri, again, is the obvious one when turnover margin hurt, but if you look at the rest of the season, Georgia never had another game when the turnover margin was greater than minus-1.  That no doubt leads to a discussion about the special teams, but that’s a subject that’s worth a post of its own.

Or maybe the lesson is that it’s been a weird year and it’s going to be a futile effort to try to make sense of it.  We’ll see.


Filed under Georgia Football, Stats Geek!

Thursday morning buffet

Get in line.

  • Only three SEC schools made it through the regular season without an injury to their starting quarterback.
  • Here we go – jumping on Alabama’s defensive woes against spread attacks.
  • My favorite part of Bill Connelly’s advanced box score from the Georgia-Georgia Tech game?  “Projected Pt. Margin: Georgia Tech +3.0 | Actual Pt. Margin: Georgia +7“.  But, coaching!
  • Here’s a shocker“Every public Division I university in Alabama experienced athletic spending per college athlete grow at a faster rate than academic spending per student from 2007 to 2011…”
  • Is an Iron Bowl rematch a feature, or a bug?
  • Great story on Tim Worley, including this quote from Worley about one-time roommate Bill Goldberg:  “He’s one of those people who would give you the shirt off his back. But when you heard he was going into wrestling, you’d say, ‘I figured something like that.’”
  • Even if this isn’t a fair comparison, it’s not helping Boom that it’s being made in the first place.
  • Kliff Kingsbury on his game day attire:  “If you look good, you feel good. If you feel good, you play good.”


Filed under Big 12 Football, Gators, Gators..., Georgia Football, Georgia Tech Football, SEC Football, Stats Geek!, Strategery And Mechanics, Whoa, oh, Alabama

The mystery of Sagarin

Something I can’t figure out in Jeff Sagarin’s latest college football rankings:  Washington, like Georgia, is 8-4, and is ranked seven slots higher despite (1) a weaker strength of schedule; (2) no more wins against his top ten teams than the Dawgs; and (3) a 1-4 record against his top thirty teams, compared to Georgia’s 3-3 mark.

It’s a big gap, too, big enough that Sagarin has Georgia as a home underdog against Washington if they were to match up.  What am I missing here?  Is he factoring injuries into the equation somehow?


Filed under Stats Geek!