Math may be hard, but it’s math.
Advantage Saturday should go to the team with Nick Chubb.
Raise your hand if you’re surprised by this:
1. 234 of Nick Chubb’s (RB, Georgia) 302 yards have come after contact
Much has been made of Chubb’s devastating knee injury last October. Through two games, he seems to be fully recovered. Chubb leads the country with 234 yards after contact. Only 13 running backs in the country have more total yards than Chubb has after contact. One of the reasons for the large percentage of yards after contact is Georgia’s inability to run block – ranked 118th through the first two weeks. If the Bulldogs offensive line can mesh as a unit, Chubb can run them into the college football playoff.
Yeah, me neither.
You know, it’s normally the back’s job to buy his linemen a nice dinner. If this keeps up, those guys need to pitch in and get Chubb a Bones gift card, or something.
I started with this blurb from Team Speed Kills:
Georgia held North Carolina far below the numbers the Tar Heels gained against Illinois. That defensive performance is one that could look more impressive as the season progresses. They did give up 24 points against Nicholls State, but only allowed 236 total yards. The offense turning the ball over three times made this game closer than it should have been. A fumble at the Georgia 30 yard-line set up the first Nicholls State touchdown, while a late touchdown occurred only after a ‘Dawg fumble at its own 9 yard-line. Still, the ‘Dawg defense allowing nearly 40% completion on third downs this season must improve to reach the next tier.
The exact percentage is 37.93%. That led me to check on last year’s third-down conversion rate, which was 28.93%, so, yes, there’s work to be done there. But here’s the truly weird part. Last year’s best effort in opponent third-down conversion percentage, and by a very wide margin? Alabama, at 8.33%. No, that’s not a misprint.
What’s so weird about that isn’t that I don’t ever come across individual stats that are misleading. It’s that I don’t remember Georgia doing anything at all well in that game. Go figure.
Per Ed Aschoff,
What might be the most impressive stat about Nick Chubb’s return is that 194 of his 222 rushing yards came with at least eight defenders in the box. That ranked first nationally. He averaged 7.76 ypc on these runs.
Go ahead and keep loading the box, though. Jacob Eason and his receivers can use all the extra help they can get.
Not too well after week one, thanks for asking.
Again though, it’s not worth making too much out of one week, but here’s how the numbers stacked up in Kickoff Week:
There’s a good mix of quarterback talent in other leagues, particularly the Big 12, but the ACC is certainly off to a great start. The SEC … not so much.
To put it another way, out of the top passer ratings at cfbstats.com, there are two SEC quarterbacks listed in the first sixty. For comparison’s sake, in 2012 three SEC quarterbacks finished in the top ten.
I think the technical term for this is meh.
Come, you must be hungry.
David Wunderlich’s Five Factors review of the Georgia-UNC game isn’t particularly complimentary of the Tar Heels’ head coach. He basically wonders about the same thing I do, which is why Carolina didn’t run the ball more. (Not that I’m complaining, mind you.)
In any event, it’s hard to argue with his takeaway about Georgia.
And as for the quarterbacks, I can still imagine them splitting time for a bit. Lambert’s lack of mobility allowed UNC to tee off with the blitz, but Eason is far too willing to go for low percentage deep throws instead of checking down to something safe. As the freshman matures and learns the craft, he’ll take more and more snaps until the job is his. With Nicholls State and Missouri’s weak offense on deck before the showdown at Ole Miss, I think we’ll see plenty more of both guys as they show what they can do.
In any event, it’s safe to say that Georgia had the best Week 1 performance of any of the East’s three contenders and the best in the conference behind Alabama and maybe Texas A&M. Quiet optimism for this team is perfectly fine, but the jury’s still out on the offense until it faces Mizzou in a couple of weeks and on the defense until it goes against the Rebels the week after that.
That Ole Miss game should be quite a revelation as to what kind of team Georgia is this season.