Category Archives: Stats Geek!

“Well, Georgia being third is surprising.”

Even Bill Connelly has to blink at what his advanced stats are telling him.  The rest of it:

… I included each set of rankings so you could understand what the numbers see. Georgia has been one of the most consistently awesome teams in the country (fourth in weighted five-year history) and benefits from that here.

It’s not really a puzzle.  It’s just that Bill hasn’t figured out a way to quantify brain farts.

34 Comments

Filed under Georgia Football, Stats Geek!

Monday morning buffet

Piping hot goodies to get your day started…

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Filed under College Football, Georgia Football, Look For The Union Label, Recruiting, SEC Football, Stats Geek!, The NCAA

Tuesday morning buffet

Shall we buffet?

  • If this is the agenda for the upcoming CFP meetings, expect most of the time to be devoted to Bob Bowlsby’s whining.
  • But John Swofford says things are cool, in spite of the complaints from FSU.
  • Bill Connelly is busy tweaking his advanced stats, which still have last season’s Georgia team in pretty good standing.
  • Dawg Post looks back on what it had to say about Todd Gurley as he came out of high school.
  • Speaking of Gurley, which do you think will hurt the most in the draft – his NCAA suspension or Shane Ray’s untimely arrest citation?
  • Johnny Manziel and the evolution of the Air Raid quarterback
  • Another look at Georgia tight ends here.

20 Comments

Filed under ACC Football, BCS/Playoffs, Georgia Football, Stats Geek!, Strategery And Mechanics, The NFL Is Your Friend.

Returning starters in the kicking game

Dave Bartoo makes an interesting statistical point in his post about 2015 returning starters when he writes,

I include the kickers and punters in returning starters. Why? My trending has shown that a team with both kickers returning, that their average win total year of year is +1 game. Those that lose both kickers it is nearly a full game below last year’s total. When the average top 25 team loses their closest game by less than 4 points, on average, each season, kicking is going to be key in at least one game.

Georgia, as we know, returns both kickers this season.  How does that compare to the rest of the conference?

The Dawgs are one of eight teams to do so, according to the chart you can find in the middle of Dave’s post.  So, maybe not so big an advantage, more like keeping pace.  (Assuming Barber gets his consistency problem worked out, that is.)

On the other hand, if Bartoo’s right, it looks like that’s just another problem Jim McElwain’s got to deal with this season.

31 Comments

Filed under SEC Football, Stats Geek!

Tuesday morning buffet

Chock full of goodies for your reading pleasure.

  • According to Khari Harding’s dad, local media sussed on to the problem with the new NCAA transfer rule before Tulsa did.  Ugh.
  • Five reasons why Tennessee will win the SEC East in 2015… and five reasons UT won’t.
  • Here’s Athlon’s Georgia spring preview.  Nothing particularly revelatory.
  • The NCAA is okay with a crowdfunding project for student-athletes?  Count me skeptical; it’s probably more like the NCAA hasn’t figured out a way to shut it down yet.
  • Auburn’s home/road splits over the last ten years are rather eye-opening.
  • Hoo, boy“Senior linebacker Jordan Jenkins said he thought there was an underlying issue in the team’s setbacks, though. The players who served as leaders weren’t very good, in his opinion.”
  • And this is why they pay Cam Cameron the big bucks, I guess.

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Filed under Auburn's Cast of Thousands, Because Nothing Sucks Like A Big Orange, Georgia Football, SEC Football, Stats Geek!, The NCAA

Tuesday morning buffet

Including a real food related item today…

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Filed under 'Cock Envy, Auburn's Cast of Thousands, Georgia Football, Life After Football, Recruiting, See You In Court, Stats Geek!

Sunday morning buffet

A tidbit here, a tidbit there…

  • Something to keep an eye on with this season’s Kentucky football team:  “From that highly touted 2014 signing class, ranked No. 17 in the nation, UK was able to redshirt 16 players…”  That includes redshirting every offensive linemen the current staff has signed.
  • Bill Connelly ponders what the future of football analytics will bring.
  • Marc Weiszer Fletcher Page  has a nice piece on this year’s Paul Oliver Network gathering.
  • Les Miles thinks Matt Womack signing with Alabama is enough of a punishment for his program.
  • So Andy Schwarz is being hired to produce the new report evaluating the report that led to the shutdown of the UAB football program?  That’s beyond interesting, both for what he’ll have to say about UAB’s decision as well as shining a light on college athletic departments’ bookkeeping practices.
  • Here’s another roundup of questions as SEC spring practices get underway.
  • She may be a little girl, but she manages to hit on the essence of being a Georgia Tech fan in one sentence.
  • Speaking of Tech, the computer hacker has been sentenced, but “The district attorney said he believes Pickren entered a guilty plea, meaning failure to complete the program would bring the student back to court for further sentencing.”  So you’re saying there’s a chance?

14 Comments

Filed under Georgia Football, Georgia Tech Football, It's Not Easy Being A Mid-Major, It's Just Bidness, Life After Football, Recruiting, SEC Football, Stats Geek!, The NCAA, Wit And Wisdom From The Hat