Category Archives: Stats Geek!

“Your team is the best! Your team is the worst!”

Hit this link, and you’ll find a post that lists, in the words of its author, “…what every single one of the 128 FBS teams is ranked first at, and what they’re ranked last at.”

What Georgia’s last at – number of third down conversions – won’t surprise you a bit, but what Georgia ranks first in might.  (Hint: it’s also an offensive stat.)

(h/t)

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Filed under Georgia Football, Stats Geek!

Beyond Crompton

I had this pop up in my Twitter feed the other day.

True.  But sometimes there’s a difference between high-powered and effective.  For example, Georgia’s two teams that won SEC titles under Mark Richt finished 35th and 19th nationally in offensive yards per play.  Pedestrian, perhaps, but good enough under the circumstances. Both of those teams went as far as they did based on great defenses and special teams.

Maybe Smart thinks that’s still a winning formula.

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Filed under Georgia Football, Stats Geek!, Strategery And Mechanics

Can Jim Chaney coach quarterbacks?

Behold the career passer ratings of one Nathan Peterman:

  • 2013:  42.53
  • 2014:  70.58
  • 2015:  141.06

Peterman’s 2013 start against Florida (passer rating:  3.82) was one of the worst performances I’ve ever seen from an SEC quarterback.  You could make an argument that his relief stint against Georgia in 2014 cost Tennessee the game.  Yet this year as Pittsburgh’s starter, he’s managed a remarkably consistent season.

So, yeah, I’d say so.  And that’s even before you begin tossing out Drew Brees’ name.

 

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Filed under Stats Geek!, Strategery And Mechanics

Saban envy

From Bill Connelly’s Richt epitaph:

After a miserable October, his team rallied. The Dawgs didn’t finish playing top-10-caliber ball, but they won four in a row. That means they’re a bowl win away from a fourth 10-win season in five years (and a 10th in 14). In an obvious down year. Most programs would pay millions for this type of disappointment.

After falling out of the F/+ top 40, the Bulldogs are back up to 34th. Yes, that’s a bad performance for a program with Georgia’s potential, even one that loses its offensive coordinator and starting quarterback in the offseason and one of the best players in the country (Nick Chubb) to injury midway.

But this poor performances comes on the heels of four consecutive F/+ top-15 finishes (13th in 2011, seventh in 2012, 14th in 2013, fourth in 2014).

5. Here are the other programs that pulled that off in that same span: Alabama.

That’s it. Florida State didn’t do it. Oregon didn’t. Ohio State didn’t. But Richt even pulled it off in 2013, with a brutally young defense and receivers exploding like Spinal Tap drummers.

This reminds you of how randomness plays a role in this sport. Rage against randomness or pretend there’s no such thing at your own peril. And while we can say Georgia is a sleeping giant, and that the program should expect better results, here’s a dirty little secret: almost no team gets to constantly win at the level we think it should achieve.

Everybody has setbacks and down years and disappointments and random losses and frustration against rivals. But Saban does it far less frequently than anybody else, and that makes people — especially SEC rivals — lose their damn minds.

Again, I’m not saying you can’t make a case that Richt didn’t deserve to lose his job.  But let’s be real about what has to come next.  As Bill succinctly puts it, “Dumping Richt was an impatient, emotional move. But it doesn’t matter if McGarity nails the replacement hire.”

The story of Georgia football under Richt is a series of ifs.  We’re opening up the next chapter of if.

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Filed under Georgia Football, Stats Geek!

A trend worth noting

I don’t think I have to delve into much deep analysis to make a point about the job Jeremy Pruitt’s done on the field, just recite a few numbers.

Total Defense

  • 2013:  375.5 ypg (45th nationally)
  • 2014:  337.2 ypg (17th nationally)
  • 2015:  298.0 ypg (10th 8th nationally)

Scoring Defense

  • 2013:  29.0 ppg (79th nationally)
  • 2014:  20.7 ppg (16th nationally)
  • 2015:  16.9 ppg (8th 10th nationally)

That, for want of a better phrase, is what a top ten defense looks like, folks.  And keep in mind that while some of the improvement in the 2014 numbers came from brilliant management of field position and turnover margin, both of those factors were not the case this season.

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Filed under Georgia Football, Stats Geek!

Just how good has the defense looked?

The offense may be a black hole, but the defense is doing its level best to compensate for that.

2015 UGA Defensive Stats Through 11 games

Total team points given up- 196 (Ranks 13th in the NCAA)
Defensive points given up- 168 (Would rank UGA 8th in the NCAA)
Total Defense- 4.7 yards per play (9th in the NCAA)
Passing Defense-151.9 yards per game (2nd in the NCAA)
Red Zone Defense- 65% (3rd in the NCAA)
3rd Down Conversion- 30.7% (11th in the NCAA)
First Downs Allowed- 156 (3rd in NCAA)
Rushing Defense- 148.1 yards per game(46th in the NCAA)

All that while breaking in youngsters at every level of the defense, starting a transfer at ILB, not to mention having to carry a heavier load as the season wears on as a result of the offense being retooled in a more conservative fashion.

Pretty decent showing, if you ask me.

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Filed under Georgia Football, Stats Geek!