Category Archives: What’s Bet In Vegas Stays In Vegas

On a lighter note…

Dave Bartoo has a slew of SEC betting trends for your enjoyment listed here.  The only one about Georgia is “GEO is 7-0 since Oct 09, 2010 after a loss on the road”, which, admittedly, I could do without hearing.

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Filed under SEC Football, What's Bet In Vegas Stays In Vegas

So you’re saying there’s a 4.4% chance?

Here’s something that will cause a double take:  SportsLine rates Georgia as having the fifth-best chance of running the table in all of D-1.

If that’s really true, then the Dawgs’ national title odds are undervalued at 33-1.

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Filed under Georgia Football, What's Bet In Vegas Stays In Vegas

Thursday morning buffet

Do I need to tell you what to do here?  I didn’t think so.

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Filed under BCS/Playoffs, College Football, Crime and Punishment, Georgia Football, Phil Steele Makes My Eyes Water, SEC Football, See You In Court, What's Bet In Vegas Stays In Vegas

Knowledge is money.

Online bookmaker sets odds on who wins Georgia’s quarterback battle.  Those of you convinced it’s Bauta can make some pretty good dough putting your money where your mouths are.

Then again, Dean Legge seems pretty sure there’s a reason Ramsey’s the favorite.

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Filed under Georgia Football, What's Bet In Vegas Stays In Vegas

Point spreads and power ratings

Chase Stuart goes through a little exercise each preseason that I find useful in terms of evaluating opening betting lines.  He takes the Golden Nugget point spreads and runs them though his Simple Rating System (SRS) to rank the teams by the results.

The 2015 preseason SRS rankings are here.  And you can see Vegas ain’t buying the “SEC is dead” talk.  Five of the top ten teams, seven of the top fourteen, eight of the top eighteen and ten of the top twenty five are from the SEC.

There are seventy teams that had enough lines published to make the rankings.  Georgia plays nine of those, five being in the top twenty.

Don’t read too much into this.  As he notes, “The methodology may be somewhat complicated, but all these ratings are intended to do is quantify public perception.”  It matters as much as you think the Golden Nugget knows what it’s doing.

Besides, it’s still July.

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Filed under SEC Football, Stats Geek!, What's Bet In Vegas Stays In Vegas

Tuesday morning buffet

A few tasty morsels I scrounged up for your morning enjoyment:

  • While some of this piece by Dean Legge is over the top, it’s worth reading to the end for the comparison between Mark Richt’s Georgia career and the first fourteen seasons of Vince Dooley’s.
  • The NCAA, bastion of amateurism, announces it will give $18.9 million to schools to help pay for cost of attendance stipends.  That should make for some fun questioning in somebody’s antitrust case.
  • Seven Georgia players are named to the media’s preseason All-SEC teams.
  • Between the academic fraud scandal and this, North Carolina’s on quite the roll.
  • Phil Steele looks at how often underdogs win outright.
  • And Dave Bartoo looks at teams’ starting position in 2014.  Georgia did well there.
  • Did you know that the Carter-Floyd-Jenkins trio had a nickname?  I didn’t.
  • Dennis Franchione makes the curious comment that “scholarships used to be equal”.  From a marginal cost standpoint, I agree, but I suspect those who like to trumpet how scholarships are full-blown compensation for student-athletes might not.
  • Nice job in the ACC media guide by some disgruntled human being.

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Filed under ACC Football, Georgia Football, Phil Steele Makes My Eyes Water, Stats Geek!, The NCAA, What's Bet In Vegas Stays In Vegas

Against all odds

Today’s half-empty/half-full Georgia moment is brought to you by Bovada, which just posted odds on teams making this season’s college football playoffs.  The envelope, please.

Alabama – 7/4
Auburn – 3/1
Baylor – 4/1
Clemson – 9/2
Florida State – 3/1
Georgia – 4/1
LSU – 11/2
Michigan State – 11/2
Notre Dame – 6/1
Ohio State – 2/5
Oklahoma – 8/1
Oregon – 3/1
TCU – 7/5
UCLA – 6/1
USC – 3/1

Georgia’s on the list, which is good.  But it’s only got the eighth-best odds, which isn’t so good.

Then again, there are three SEC West teams on that sucker, and we know that ain’t happening.

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Filed under Georgia Football, What's Bet In Vegas Stays In Vegas