Category Archives: What’s Bet In Vegas Stays In Vegas

A familiar position

No surprise here.

Just remember, Dawgs, it’s not where Vegas sets the line, but where you finish the game that matters.

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Filed under Georgia Football, What's Bet In Vegas Stays In Vegas

Today, in Vegas ain’t stupid

Behold, the efficiency of markets!

The posted total for Georgia-Auburn opened at 45.5 on Sunday at Circa Sports, and it hovered at 44 on Tuesday morning.

I was preparing to recommend a play on the under, but it got hammered to 40.5 on Tuesday afternoon.

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Filed under Auburn's Cast of Thousands, Georgia Football, What's Bet In Vegas Stays In Vegas

A couple of troubling trends for Saturday

I mentioned yesterday that Georgia tends to see Auburn’s best when the Tigers are still playing for bigger stakes, which, realistically speaking, they won’t be doing this year.  It seems only fair, however, to cite a couple of things that run in favor of the Gus Bus.

One is something you’ve probably heard about.

Screenshot_2019-11-13 Jeriah Alderson on Twitter gotdbeat JCHAU73 Gus Malzahn is 10-0 when coming off a Bye at Auburn In ca[...]

For what it’s worth, though, none of those wins have come against Georgia.

There’s also this.

Here’s the list of those:

Screenshot_2019-11-13 Chris Fallica on Twitter Georgia perspective this weekend In the last 20 years, there have been 10 To[...]

Again, no Georgia there, although Auburn is on there twice, both way before Malzahn’s time.

Interesting stuff.  I don’t think any of it trumps Georgia being the team with more to play for Saturday.

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Filed under Auburn's Cast of Thousands, Georgia Football, What's Bet In Vegas Stays In Vegas

Another Georgia team travels to Knoxville.

If Tennessee is 100 times better this year than last, as Jeremy Pruitt contends, Vegas ain’t buyin’ what he’s sellin’.

Maybe it’s just a case of familiarity breeds contempt.

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Filed under Because Nothing Sucks Like A Big Orange, Georgia Football, What's Bet In Vegas Stays In Vegas

Monday morning buffet

Grab yourself a plate and go.

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Filed under ACC Football, College Football, Georgia Football, Pac-12 Football, Political Wankery, SEC Football, Stats Geek!, The NCAA, What's Bet In Vegas Stays In Vegas

Updated Dawg odds

Evidently, the sports book money’s been flowing Georgia’s way since the start of the season, as the spreads on some of its major games have widened significantly, per Westgate LV Superbook.

Examples:

  • “In Georgia’s home matchup against Notre Dame on Sept. 21, Vegas has the Bulldogs favored by 11.5 points according to Westgate. That is a two-point swing from the Golden Nugget’s original line from June, which had Georgia favored by 9.5 points.”
  • “On November 2, Georgia takes on Florida in Jacksonville, Fla. While the June line from Golden Nugget had the Bulldogs as 3.5 point favorites in that contest, Westgate likes Georgia a bit more now, favoring them by 7.5 points.”
  • “On Nov. 16 Georgia faces Auburn on the road and Vegas sees this one a bit differently now. While Golden Nugget had Georgia as a 7.5-point road favorite in June, Westgate initially listed them as a 4-point favorite. Now, Georgia is favored by 11 points.”

The one of those three that surprises me a little is the Auburn spread.  It’s a road game and Auburn’s defense has been impressive in its first two games.

There is one home game that has seen the spread tighten slightly.

Facing each other for the first time as SEC rivals, Georgia and Texas A&M will play in Athens on Nov. 23, with Georgia favored by 12 points, a point decrease from August.

And then there’s Tech.

To end the 2019 regular season, Georgia will play in-state rival Georgia Tech on the road on November 30. In June, the Bulldogs were favored by 20.5 points and were 25.5-point in August. Now, Georgia is listed as 24-point favorites against the Yellow Jackets…

The romantic in me would like to think that’s caused by Jackets fans who are super optimistic after Tech’s epic win over South Florida.

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Filed under Georgia Football, What's Bet In Vegas Stays In Vegas