Automatic

Come for the statistical analysis that interceptions had a greater value for UGA’s defense last season than did sacks…

… but stay for the fact that the ’22 defense never allowed a touchdown on any drive with a sack.

27 Comments

Filed under Georgia Football, Stats Geek!

27 responses to “Automatic

  1. munsonlarryfkajim's avatar munsonlarryfkajim

    The Dawgs is Hell

    Liked by 4 people

  2. Granthams Replacement's avatar Granthams Replacement

    UGA is rarely out of position on defense. Multiple that with good tackling and you get ints and sacks.

    Like

  3. godawgs1701's avatar godawgs1701

    At some point in 2017, I started to get a little excited after a punt or turnover or score because it meant that we got to see the defense come out and terrorize some fools. That started to come back again a few times over the years, but somewhere in the middle of the Clemson game in 2021, I realized that feeling was back. Over the past two years, I got to where I craved defensive snaps because those defenses were truly special in the history of the game and you realized it in real time. Who knows if they can do it again this year, but they’ve got plenty of talent to work with. I certainly expect it will be fun to watch again.

    Liked by 5 people

    • I was in BoA for that Clemson game and hot damn the defense was the STAR of the day. Much much more fun to watch than the offense, I just couldn’t wait to see how we’d terrorize DJU next!

      Liked by 1 person

      • 81Dog's avatar 81Dog

        I left that game thinking, “the score was close, but clemson wouldnt have gotten a TD if we played fir a week.” They INHALED Clemson. And a lot of other teams.

        Liked by 2 people

      • godawgs1701's avatar godawgs1701

        Same here. I was in the upper deck and had the perfect angle on the pick six play, you could see Chris Smith read that play and break on the ball and the only question was whether he was going to be able to beat DJU to the sideline. Beautiful. I was mighty tempted to text my Clemson uncle and cousins at that point to let them know the ballgame was in hand, but I decided to let it marinate.

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        • We broke DJU that night.

          Liked by 3 people

          • godawgs1701's avatar godawgs1701

            And all Dabo’s horse’s asses and all Dabo’s men couldn’t put DJ back together again.

            Liked by 4 people

          • 81Dog's avatar 81Dog

            100 PERCENT. That kid took an epic beating, it was Colt Brennan-like in its ferocity. He got sacked 7 times by 6 different people, and he was getting drilled on every play. He had no idea where the pressure was coming from, he got zero help from his OL and his coaches, and when it was all over, he got blamed for the pick 6 and the loss. You can see how that could break a guy.

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  4. Sacks are important especially on early downs because they get teams behind the chains in positions where they typically don’t recover. Interceptions are game changing plays. It’s sudden change regardless of where you are on the field. The defense isn’t ready to go back out and now they are typically against field position and momentum.

    The common denominator between both is pressure and havoc. If you get pressure, you get sacks and QB mistakes.

    Liked by 2 people

    • whb209's avatar whb209

      EE,
      The secret is havoc. Great things happen when a D causes havoc plays. I think Kirby and staff teach that every day.

      Liked by 2 people

    • Catfish's avatar Catfish

      Well, Carmada took ALOT of pressure off the D.

      Like

    • Down Island Way's avatar Down Island Way

      Is the “pressure” CKS often speaks of, that creates those INT’s plus qb hurries that result in short field punting, take those INT’s vs sacks, now UGA “O” has the football going the opposite direction…GO DAWGS!!

      Like

  5. 81Dog's avatar 81Dog

    DawgStats figures out smart answers to questions 8m not smart enough to ask. Beteween him and Graham at Dawgs Central, i feel like Beethoven is trying mightily to teach my dumd ass how to plat chopsticks. Every time i read ine if their posts, i learn something . Granted, i have lots to learn.

    Liked by 2 people

  6. Sacks are great, but Pick 6’s are sexy.

    Liked by 1 person

  7. mg4life0331's avatar mg4life0331

    Well they didn’t get a touchdown when we got an interception either? I don’t understand this stuff.

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  8. DawgStats's avatar DawgStats

    This all started with a twitter poll – pick between “Starks leading SEC in INTs or Williams in sacks”

    The nerds say INTs tend to be more random and have more variables. (Bad throws, tips, WR error, pressure on QB)

    I am making case for Williams to lead in sacks.

    While sacks aren’t TOs, they are 2x+ more likely (34/15 in 2022)

    EPA shows that the 15 picks had a more negative value (-1.9 EPA to -1.3 EPA) on per play basis – but the volume/sum had the sacks -43.6 EPA to -23.5 EPA

    Stupid nerd shit. I know. But the EPA formula does a good job of quantifying the value of these plays based on down, distance and field position. The one INT in Kent State (-0.219) 2nd and 10 int deep ball returned to the Georgia 32 (almost a punt value) versus the 3 sacks in UF (-6.3 Total EPA) one in red zone, one at the UGA 29, (same drive led to TO on downs) and one at the UF 40. All three on 1st/2nd Down

    While it’s obvious that INTs end the offense’s chance to score, I’ll take guys getting to QB at league leading pace over INTs.

    They are correlated also. Sacks/pressures tend to lead to INTs more than the converse

    Also, over the last 5 seasons, teams with higher sack totals have a less variance in points allowed.

    More sacks = less points
    Not sure if that graph was in that tweet

    Liked by 3 people

    • Line of scrimmage, line of scrimmage, line of scrimmage.

      The key is to be able to get pressure consistently without being forced to blitz. Blitz when it’s advantageous rather than every down because your LOS can’t hold up.

      It’s why I believe offensive line recruiting is the most important. A talented, well-coached offensive line covers for a lot of ills. You force teams to blitz, and then there’s always a hole in a blitz package.

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  9. DawgStats's avatar DawgStats

    Liked by 3 people

  10. I vote for continuing to get more of both.

    Liked by 3 people

  11. Hobnail_Boot's avatar Hobnail_Boot

    Sacks are like blood in the water for the Georgia defense.

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  12. Damnit, now I want some soul food…Automatic Automatic

    Like