Category Archives: Stats Geek!

Tuesday morning buffet

Shall we buffet?

  • If this is the agenda for the upcoming CFP meetings, expect most of the time to be devoted to Bob Bowlsby’s whining.
  • But John Swofford says things are cool, in spite of the complaints from FSU.
  • Bill Connelly is busy tweaking his advanced stats, which still have last season’s Georgia team in pretty good standing.
  • Dawg Post looks back on what it had to say about Todd Gurley as he came out of high school.
  • Speaking of Gurley, which do you think will hurt the most in the draft – his NCAA suspension or Shane Ray’s untimely arrest citation?
  • Johnny Manziel and the evolution of the Air Raid quarterback
  • Another look at Georgia tight ends here.

16 Comments

Filed under ACC Football, BCS/Playoffs, Georgia Football, Stats Geek!, Strategery And Mechanics, The NFL Is Your Friend.

Returning starters in the kicking game

Dave Bartoo makes an interesting statistical point in his post about 2015 returning starters when he writes,

I include the kickers and punters in returning starters. Why? My trending has shown that a team with both kickers returning, that their average win total year of year is +1 game. Those that lose both kickers it is nearly a full game below last year’s total. When the average top 25 team loses their closest game by less than 4 points, on average, each season, kicking is going to be key in at least one game.

Georgia, as we know, returns both kickers this season.  How does that compare to the rest of the conference?

The Dawgs are one of eight teams to do so, according to the chart you can find in the middle of Dave’s post.  So, maybe not so big an advantage, more like keeping pace.  (Assuming Barber gets his consistency problem worked out, that is.)

On the other hand, if Bartoo’s right, it looks like that’s just another problem Jim McElwain’s got to deal with this season.

31 Comments

Filed under SEC Football, Stats Geek!

Tuesday morning buffet

Chock full of goodies for your reading pleasure.

  • According to Khari Harding’s dad, local media sussed on to the problem with the new NCAA transfer rule before Tulsa did.  Ugh.
  • Five reasons why Tennessee will win the SEC East in 2015… and five reasons UT won’t.
  • Here’s Athlon’s Georgia spring preview.  Nothing particularly revelatory.
  • The NCAA is okay with a crowdfunding project for student-athletes?  Count me skeptical; it’s probably more like the NCAA hasn’t figured out a way to shut it down yet.
  • Auburn’s home/road splits over the last ten years are rather eye-opening.
  • Hoo, boy“Senior linebacker Jordan Jenkins said he thought there was an underlying issue in the team’s setbacks, though. The players who served as leaders weren’t very good, in his opinion.”
  • And this is why they pay Cam Cameron the big bucks, I guess.

16 Comments

Filed under Auburn's Cast of Thousands, Because Nothing Sucks Like A Big Orange, Georgia Football, SEC Football, Stats Geek!, The NCAA

Tuesday morning buffet

Including a real food related item today…

22 Comments

Filed under 'Cock Envy, Auburn's Cast of Thousands, Georgia Football, Life After Football, Recruiting, See You In Court, Stats Geek!

Sunday morning buffet

A tidbit here, a tidbit there…

  • Something to keep an eye on with this season’s Kentucky football team:  “From that highly touted 2014 signing class, ranked No. 17 in the nation, UK was able to redshirt 16 players…”  That includes redshirting every offensive linemen the current staff has signed.
  • Bill Connelly ponders what the future of football analytics will bring.
  • Marc Weiszer Fletcher Page  has a nice piece on this year’s Paul Oliver Network gathering.
  • Les Miles thinks Matt Womack signing with Alabama is enough of a punishment for his program.
  • So Andy Schwarz is being hired to produce the new report evaluating the report that led to the shutdown of the UAB football program?  That’s beyond interesting, both for what he’ll have to say about UAB’s decision as well as shining a light on college athletic departments’ bookkeeping practices.
  • Here’s another roundup of questions as SEC spring practices get underway.
  • She may be a little girl, but she manages to hit on the essence of being a Georgia Tech fan in one sentence.
  • Speaking of Tech, the computer hacker has been sentenced, but “The district attorney said he believes Pickren entered a guilty plea, meaning failure to complete the program would bring the student back to court for further sentencing.”  So you’re saying there’s a chance?

14 Comments

Filed under Georgia Football, Georgia Tech Football, It's Not Easy Being A Mid-Major, It's Just Bidness, Life After Football, Recruiting, SEC Football, Stats Geek!, The NCAA, Wit And Wisdom From The Hat

A career path to watch

I mentioned before that (aside from Mike Bobo, of course), there were three offseason head coaching hires I found particularly intriguing.  One of those is Buffalo’s Lance Leipold, who amassed a ridiculous 106-6 record as the head coach at Division III Wisconsin-Whitewater.

Matt Melton posts that Leipold’s career suggests that the move will be a success, and not just because of that gaudy win-loss mark.

How does he measure up based on the three variables? Well, he spent eight years at Wisconsin Whitewater which is a solid run and makes him about average experience wise when compared to the lower-division hires examined in the study. His winning percentage of nearly 95% is tops by a healthy margin (Paul Johnson won 86% of his games in five seasons at Georgia Southern) and his games above .500 is twenty more than Brian Kelly accumulated in 13 seasons at Grand Valley State. If you are hiring a lower-division coach to lead your program, they don’t come much better than Lance Leipold. Add in the fact that Buffalo was probably a little better than their record indicated last year, and it’s easy to foresee a return to the postseason for the Bulls. As always, nothing guaranteed, but Buffalo appears to have made a great hire, even if he is likely at worst to double his number of career losses by the time he leaves upstate New York.

If he clicks, that will likely be a short time.

2 Comments

Filed under Stats Geek!

Thursday morning buffet

Perhaps you’ll find something nourishing here.

58 Comments

Filed under Because Nothing Sucks Like A Big Orange, Gators, Gators..., Georgia Football, Political Wankery, Science Marches Onward, SEC Football, Stats Geek!, The NCAA