Just for funsies, take a look at Seth Emerson’s stab at assessing the chances of who starts at quarterback this season…
While we can’t offer a firm prediction on who will win the job, we – OK I, Seth – will offer up a percentage chance that each wins the job: Eason 45, Lambert 40, Ramsey 15. …. And then feel free to ask me again after spring practice is over.
… and tell me what you think the odds are for those three in the comments.
Get The Picture 
Unless he is addicted to porn, no judgement here, Eason 85%.
LikeLike
if we’re talking about by game 3, then I agree. But I think Lambert takes the first snaps of the season [then goes three and out and never plays again].
LikeLike
Aight. Here is my tea reading….
Lambert has tricked two coaches into thinking he can lead the team, and then imploded. I doubt that Kirby takes that risk.
They want to sit Eason. They want to give him some time to mature.
That leaves our punter. I think Channey will fix him enough to start the season, but Eason will always be plan B.
LikeLike
I agree. The HIGHEST risk of fan anger would be put put Lambert back in.
LikeLike
true, but those same fans still blame Bobo when a play fails to net yardage.
LikeLike
“Lambert has tricked two coaches into thinking he can lead the team, and then imploded”
Really? He “tricked” two grown men that played QB in college and coached it for a combined 50 years?
You really think that makes sense?
LikeLike
Agree, I laughed. Dude went 10-2 with a moron OC.
LikeLike
I’ll say this for Lambert – he can’t be blamed for any of our 3 losses. He didn’t play against UF, Bama probably would have beaten us even if we’d had Tom Brady at QB that day and he played pretty well against UT, including a perfect deep ball late in the game that Reggie Davis dropped. On the other hand, our 10 wins were about as unimpressive as 10 wins can be. What else can you say when a good argument can be made that Georgia Southern is the best team we beat. All that said, I’d say it’s 60/40 Eason to start the year…moving to 80/20 by the 3rd game. Ramsey’s out of the picture.
LikeLike
I get the feeling Lambert is a practice God. He’s also tall.
LikeLike
I think that’s it.
LikeLike
As spence said, I think he is a practice god. I was being a little snarky calling it “tricked”. I think Lambert looks like South Carolina Lambert in practice.
btw, I think our record last year was impressive considering what I saw on the field. After the debacle in Jacksonville the coaches did an incredible job of eeking out wins.
LikeLike
How in the hell did Lambert set an NCAA record for completion percentage? I still can’t believe that. In about 10 years,that will be the mother of all bar bets.
LikeLike
+10
LikeLike
Only problem with that thinking is that Ramsey has proven over and over to be worse than Lambert.
LikeLike
C’mon man. How can we lay down odds until we see the G-Day QBR numbers?
LikeLike
In this case, your joke is funny because it’s true. I don’t see how anyone, Emerson included, can assign any type of odds to the quarterback race when Jacob Eason has yet to even practice at Georgia.
Then again, that’s really an indicator of how awful the offense was last year that the starting quarterback is already the backup to a true freshman in the minds of not just the fans but also media covering the team.
LikeLike
Why not? It’s not as if a true freshman has never started at QB before.
The odds may be long, but they aren’t non-existent.
LikeLike
Has Saban ever started a freshman QB? I can’t remember one, but I’m not exactly the best Tide fan.
LikeLike
I don’t know if he’s EVER started a freshman at QB, but being in the national championship hunt for the last eight odd years has probably colored his thinking on the subject. We, of course, aren’t saddled with those kinds of expectations, are we?
LikeLike
I’ve not been in the arena but I’d also like to think that there’s a difference between an early enrollee and a kid who’s moving into his dorm the day practice starts. And even though the coaches supposedly can’t run practices we all know that it’s completely skirted around.
LikeLike
Start of the season? I’m gonna go Lambert 65%, Eason 35%, Ramsey 0%. I honestly think Lambert can be a serviceable QB, and if Chaney can work some magic like he did with Peterman at Pitt last season, Lambert can be a good game-manager type QB the Process likes. I’ve seen nothing to suggest that Kirby and company aren’t looking for any excuse to sit Eason.
Middle to end of the season? Eason 65%, Lambert 35%, Ramsey 0%. Of course, when Lambert inevitably implodes after being asked to do something more than throw five yard slants, Eason will get his shot, albeit sooner than the coaches would’ve liked.
And unless Ramsey makes a complete about face or we see some injuries, I see no chance whatsoever he sees the field again as a QB.
LikeLike
The biggest thing that Lambert has in his favor is coaching EGO. I believe that part of why CBS started Lambert was to prove he was so much better than the Virginia OC. He wasn’t.
Now, will Chaney be lured into this trap?
I have no doubt that Lambert is very smart and can pick up systems and convince coaches during practice and room talk that he is the man. The problem is that he isn’t a game time QB. He locks up. Maybe, he is just too smart and over thinks. Whatever it is, he doesn’t have “it”.
LikeLike
Was Chaney lured into a similar trap when he started Nathan Peterman at Pitt last year?
LikeLike
Now is about the time to talk about Mettenburger’s spring game vis a vis Aaron Murray. I’d say whomsoever trots out for the first offensive series against Cowlina will be the starter in the first game. 😀
LikeLike
I don’t know why people seem so incensed that there was a QB controversy with Mett. He started and did well at an SEC powerhouse and has played substantially more in the NFL than Murray has (and maybe will). Kid can play.
LikeLike
You think Mett would have played as much if he and Alex Smith were on the same roster?
LikeLike
No. But Mett wasn’t slotted behind Chase Daniel and Tyler Bray either. They gave Mett the chance to play.
Please don’t take any of this to mean I would have preferred Mett to Murray at UGA. But NFL minds seem to think more of Mett than Murray. Granted, NFL minds includes people like Brian Schottenheimer and Kyle Shannahan, so ocean of salt.
My limited point is that when Murray was struggling at UGA and Mett came on at LSU, it wasn’t absurd for UGA fans to ponder if we’d made the right choice.
LikeLike
Remind me again what choice there was to make? My memory is fading on me as I get older, but I’m fairly certain only one of those two guys was actually at UGA for the 2010 season because the other one decided to sexually assault a girl in Remerton.
LikeLike
This and Mett couldn’t beat out Jordan Jefferson in 2011 when the Bengal Tigers had a ferocious defense. Murray played far better than Mett in 2012 and almost won a championship. Of course, we know who won when they actually did play the game on opposite sidelines in 2013.
Mettenberger played for the Titans when they had no one else. Murray isn’t in the same situation and would be holding the same clipboard and wearing the same headset he is in KC behind Alex Smith (who frankly was very close to being a #1 overall bust of a pick when SF sent him to KC).
LikeLike
Not to be overlooked was Mettenberger having two NFL caliber WR’s at LSU in 2013 in Odell Beckham Jr and Jarvis Landry. I remember some unbelievable catches those two had in the UGA/LSU game…
LikeLike
No doubt about it – those two made some plays in that game. Mett would hang them out to dry, but they would catch the ball and take a big hit. Go back to the huddle and do it again.
LikeLike
Mett has played in the NFL due to injuries to starters….sometimes you have to be in the right place at the right time. Good for Mett though.
LikeLike
UNC Game: Eason 50%, Lambert 50%
Nichols State: Eason 60%, Lambert 40%
Missouri: Eason 75%, Lambert 25%
Ole Miss: Eason 95%
LikeLike
Different odds for the UNC game compared to the UT game. 60% chance Lambert starts September 3 and 70% chance Eason starts October 1.
Ramsey? Keep working on that pooch punt.
LikeLike
for the first game?
0% Ramsey
75% Lambert
25% Eason
LikeLike
I think Ramsey gets a fresh start. Alabama wanted him when Kirby was there. “The conventional wisdom was wrong last year, in part because a new offensive coordinator/quarterbacks coach scrambled the thinking.” We were all spoiled for years by having a better than competent OC. Then they hired Schottenheimer who was totally incompetent–but allowed to pick his guy. I think both of those were horrible decisions…so the conventional wisdom last year probably was the best bet all along.
I think its even money between Ramsey and Eason, then 10% that Lambert starts. Plus, there is that whole simulating the pocket breaking down in practice thing.
LikeLike
I have seen nothing that would make me believe that Ramsey starts for UGA at QB. The story on him is that he doesnt work hard. I really doubt that Smart is the kinda coach that is going to let his QB slide by without working hard.
Lambert we know will work hard. Has experience as a starter and the stat line for last year on him isnt that bad. Ramsey is far worse on the stats page. He isnt even there in the film room and the only playbook he cracks has coors light in it.
If Ramsey starts something went really really wrong.
LikeLike
QBs are headcases. I think Ramsey looked far better before Schottenheimer hit town. Hell–Ramsey was the starter once Mason went down. Then Schotty comes in and literally chose anyone else over Ramsey–a guy not even on the team. Think what that does for a kid’s confidence. Lambert has had the same shortcomings at both of his stops…while Ramsey got visibly worse last year. New coach, new chance. I hope he takes full advantage. You feel about Ramsey the way I feel about Lambert–I never want to see him on the field again.
LikeLike
Hmm. I think Ramsey doesnt start because he wont work hard in practice.. You never hear about how Ramsey was the last one in the film room, leading off season throwing sessions, or any of that sort of summertime kool aid that you basically have to hear about QBs.
Hearing it doesnt mean the guy is great, not hearing it is a warning sign.
LikeLike
I guess my question is which happened first. Did he stop working hard before or after they brought in Lambert to replace him? Because part of me would want to tell the new coach to eat shit for bringing in Lambert in the first place. I mean Ramsey did sign up to play for Bobo and Thrifty McGarity ran him off by sitting on his wallet for way too many years.
LikeLike
The comments about his work ethic, or lack there of, go all the way back to high school. Even his high school coaches throw around back handed compliments like “he is a gamer” or “he can turn it on under the lights”, which to me says “yeah, I know he didnt practice that hard, but…”
However, last year we saw what no preparation and under pressure look like for Ramsey.
I agree that he has a fresh start. Will he take it? I hope so. I hope they all seize upon this opportunity and really work their tails off and push each other to be better everyday.
LikeLike
Ramsey and Lambert threw for the same number of interceptions last season despite Ramsey only having a fraction of the attempts. He entered the Bama game and immediately threw a pick which was very similar to the Belk Bowl against Louisville in 2014 where he did the exact same thing. He also threw a pick against Charleston Southern in 2014. I’d say if anything he improved from 2014 to 2015 because he didn’t throw any picks against FCS opponents.
Blaming his regression on Schott is overly convenient and short sighted, namely because he didn’t regress. You could argue that his averages were worse, but the sample size is so small that any addition or subtraction makes a big difference. The kid is not an SEC qb. Period. Say what you want about Lambert, he is’t great, but he is at least serviceable. He set and NCAA record against SCar, and had us in position to win the game against Tennessee if the receivers could catch.
He just needs to work on his punting, and be happy that he has an opportunity to get on the field in any capacity.
LikeLike
Ramsey needs to work on his punting*
LikeLike
I disagree. I would rather see Ramsey play than Lambert. Maybe he does throw more picks. But at least the passing playbook opens up past 8 yards from the LOS. The offense last year–was probably put in to play to Lamberts strengths…and it was as boring as I have seen Georgia play in years.
LikeLike
Should I remind of 2014 with Mason? I believe Todd Gurley still has the longest completion on the books since Murray left. Mason didn’t have arm strength, Lambert and Ramsey do, but they don’t have the accuracy. The difference between Ramsey and Lambert is Lambert knows his limitations and plays within them. Ramsey doesn’t which is why he has never been any good. What evidence do you have that he can play in the SEC? Any success that you’re attributing to Ramsey on the football field since his arrival at Georgia is imaginary.
LikeLike
So we are comparing one known quantity with 10 games almost full games (plus a season and a half at UVA)…to a comparatively unknown quantity with 1/2 a game (under a good OC) and maybe 10 series (under a shitty OC). I want to see Ramsey for a whole game before I agree with you that Lambert is better. I have seen what Lambert brings to the table–and I would rather take my chances with Ramsey. That’s just my opinion. Maybe the new OC works some Crompton magic with one or both of them.
LikeLike
Does it tell you anything that you didn’t see Ramsey play under either of the aforementioned offensive Coordinators? It’s probably an unknown quantity for a reason. Also, who’s fault is it that Georgia didn’t have any talent at the quarterback position last season? Was it Brian Schottenheimer or Mike Bobo who recruited those players? Obviously, With the exception of Grayson Lamberts, who was a last second addition to try and put a Band-Aid over a cut artery, we know the answer to that question. Perhaps all of the blame falls on Mark Richt?
LikeLike
I think Schittenheimer was horrible but I’d say that Lambert last year worked hardest at getting happy feet when he didn’t need to and being wildly inaccurate. At this point I think he’s fools gold. I’d rather take my lumps with Eason. Reminds me of Stafford’s freshman year.
LikeLike
I hope everyone remembers how poorly at times Stafford looked early in his freshman year. Hell, the Ginger Ninja had to come in to save us against Colorado. He got his brains knocked in up in Lexington. The light came on against Auburn, and he had a really good career at UGA. With all of that, he still fell in love with his arm too many times and threw it to guys with the wrong color jersey at the wrong time.
LikeLike
I remember. He would throw a headscratcher…then come back and rip a perfect ball that very few people would even attempt. It was exciting…and there was hope–despite the picks.
LikeLike
Lambert wins job to start the season but injures thumb week of practice, ramsey slips on a banana peel outside georgia dome and Eason starts his career at UGA in Atlanta throwing 4 td passes.
LikeLike
It’s a new day, my friends: Eason 100%.
LikeLike
Part of what we hear about Chaney was QB development, Ramsey seemed to be set to start at QB before Bobo went to CSU. If Chaney can teach his playbook in a way to get Ramsey to execute I could see him as a starter. Lambert bothers me, I don’t see any OC getting him comfortable enough to make good decisions behind an OL that is not the best in the conference. Hopefully Chub is back, the OL is big and nasty, and the QB has to do just enough early in the season to keep the ground attack rolling.
LikeLike
(d) Godwin or
(e) Sony or
(f) None of the above (last year’s winner).
Honestly, I have no idea.
LikeLike
Hey Mecole Hardeman played some QB in high school.
LikeLike
Anyone on this blog who thinks they have a clue is delusional.
LikeLike
Delusion is the same as hope, right?
LikeLike
As far as hope, I hope Lambert starts, and the young feller gets to play too. When we go up by 35 on Carolina.
LikeLike
Hope in reality is the worst of all evils because it prolongs the torments of man. Friedrich Nietzsche
LikeLike
Hope is the thing with feathers that perches in the soul – and sings the tunes without the words – and never stops at all.
~ Emily Dickinson
LikeLike
On the other side of the coin. Chances that any of the three throw an interception if starting against UNC. Ramsey 100%, Lambert 20%, and Eason 50%.
LikeLike
odds of Lambert throwing a ball complete 10 yards past LOS 0.012%
LikeLike
Lamberts 20% happens because for every 5 times he scrambles when absolutely no pressure is coming and throws a beautiful strike, hitting a LB right in the numbers with the ball…4 of the defenders inexplicably drop the ball.
He was incredibly lucky that his INTs weren’t much higher last year.
LikeLike
I think they were amazed the QB tossed them such a catchable ball.
LikeLike
“He never throws that well to their receivers–is this a trick or someth–shit I dropped it. Again.”
LikeLike
This. I get that lambert was behind a shitty line but how many times did he take off when there was no real pressure on him last year? And he’s far from an Aaron Rodgers who can make plays outside of the pocket.
LikeLike
No official starter named but Lambert under center to begin the first 3 games with Eason rotating in for 3-5 series per game based on in-game situations. Some kind of time share deal a la Stoudt/Watson in 2014 or Coker/Bateman in 2015 until we figure out who has the higher upside. 9/24 is when we really need to decide who will be our horse for the meat of the schedule unless we plan to go the hot hand route all season. Hard to see anyone taking the job outright, particularly early on.
Ramsey? Just a personal opinion but I think that ship has sailed. Hard to see how he gets in the mix with a more trustworthy upperclassman and hungry freshman in the way.
LikeLike
History tells us Eason’s first start will be against….Florida.
LikeLike
‘History’ left the building on November 29.
LikeLike
I think most of the bama qb’s were redshirt freshman…
Ramsey starts the UNC game, Eason finishes the season as #1…
LikeLike
Lambert 85%
Ramsey 10% (due to injury to Lambert)
Eason 5%
LikeLike
I’d take your order and flip it so Eason nails it in at 85% because even with a whiter shade of lunch pail he’s Beyond Crompton and can still climb the Jacob’s Ladder of success a/k/a the Stairway to Heaven with one hand holding a lunch pail tied behind his back
LikeLike
Please don’t miss a chance to bash Richt. That can be the excuse for the next 4 years easy. At least Coach Goff is finally off the hook.
LikeLike
what’s your excuse for the last 4?
LikeLike
I reject your reality and substitute my own it it’s place…..Stafford has a year of eligibility left ,re-enrolls and starts all 15 games.
LikeLike