Starting field position: it’s kind of a big deal.

In 2014, Georgia was eighth in scoring offense nationally, at 41.3 ppg.  Last season, the bottom fell out in that department, as the Dawgs’ scoring dwindled to 26.7 ppg, good (bad?) for 85th.

As far as the contributors to that decline go, you can point your finger in more than one direction.  But here’s an area in particular worth noting.  Check out this chart from Brian Fremeau that graphs points per drive by starting field position over the period of 2007-2015:


Pretty obvious correlation there.  Now, consider that Georgia fell from first in Brian’s field position efficiency ratings in 2014 to 63rd last season.  (Also, note which teams were 4th and 5th in 2015.)

Field position is affected by a number of factors:  turnover margin, 3rd down efficiency, special teams all come to mind.  None of those were exactly areas of real strength for Georgia last season.  How much of that can the new staff focus on and fix may give us a real clue about Georgia’s chances to put more points on the scoreboard in 2016.


Filed under Georgia Football, Stats Geek!

12 responses to “Starting field position: it’s kind of a big deal.

  1. Will (The Other One)

    Pretty solid correlation overall, but boy do South Carolina and Clemson make for some statistical outliers for 2015.


  2. Hogbody Spradlin

    Gee, even I could figure that one out.


  3. JCDAWG83

    So; let me get this straight, if your starting field position is better, you will probably score more points. If this is the kind of keen insight sports journalists get paid to provide, I hate I didn’t major in journalism.


  4. W Cobb Dawg

    I thought our turnover differential was much better in 2014. Wouldn’t that also account for much of drop in 2015?


  5. Russ

    So we scored 15ppg LESS last season than the season before? Just another stat that points out what a miracle it was we won 10 games last year. I don’t care if we were playing a high school schedule, that’s hard to do.

    I’m all in on the change, but that’s just an amazing stat to me. It’s like that blind hog rooted up an acorn 10 out of 13 times.


  6. I was surprised to see that Ole Miss and LSU was behind us. Also comma I was surprised to see that you basically had to get inside your opponents 30 before your odds of getting more than 3 points improved.


  7. Sorry about voice controls.


  8. shane#1

    Beamer Ball maybe passé because of the quality of players on the opponents special teams but any improvement would help. I notice that Sony is back on punt coverage. Imagine that!


  9. The inefficiency of the offense last year was awful. The FP stats just prove it …


  10. AusDawg85

    This just in from the Sports Stat News Desk…

    …the team that scores the most points usually wins! Details at 11:00.


  11. Mctyre

    Exactly why fans who declare that QB play is the primary if not sole determinant of success in 2016?are off base. Offense stunk and special teams was mostly mediocre in 2015 and we still managed to win 10 games (albeit meaningless ones). We can be better in 2016 by simply following the Hippocratic oath on D and ST. If we do better than that and/or improve on O, we could win more.