June 25, 2018 · 3:22 PM

Yeah, they’re on the decline.

No, this ain’t a misprint.

I’ve never seen any other team listed 10-21 — or anywhere even close to those odds — to make the CFP.  Have you?

22 Comments

Filed under Nick Saban Rules, What's Bet In Vegas Stays In Vegas

22 responses to “Yeah, they’re on the decline.”

  1. eethomaswfnc
    June 25, 2018 at 3:57 PM

    They should be 10-21 for making the playoff. Bama and Ohio State are the only 2 programs right now that could make the playoff without winning their conference due to the WWL’s love affair with them. Bama ain’t going to have an Iowa moment at any point during the year, so they will get the benefit of the doubt on selection Sunday in case they slip up and lose a regular season game.

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    • ChiliDawg
      June 25, 2018 at 4:06 PM

      due to the WWL’s love affair with them

      I mean, it’s not that you’re wrong about the love affair, but… Alabama has just a little street cred, don’t you think?

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      • eethomaswfnc
        June 25, 2018 at 4:20 PM

        No doubt. Bama under Saban has a ton of street cred.

        Bama at the end of November 2017 wasn’t the best team in their division much less one of the 4 best teams in the country. They benefited from the fact that Ohio State farted around with Wisconsin (and that Wisconsin lost), Pac 12 football has stunk the last couple of years, and, frankly, our win over Auburn.

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    • AuditDawg
      June 25, 2018 at 4:07 PM

      I’d argue them being two of the best four or five teams every year is why they can make the playoff w/o winning their conference.

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      • eethomaswfnc
        June 25, 2018 at 4:24 PM

        I would argue Ohio State two years ago had no business in the playoff (much less ranked #3 if I remember correctly) after losing to Penn State to fail even to make their conference championship game and getting absolutely boat-raced by Clemson in the semifinal.

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        • Biggus Rickus
          June 26, 2018 at 8:38 AM

          You could, but who else were they going to be put in? Penn State got hot late, but they also lost to an 8-win Pitt team, were blown out by Michigan, and needed two blocked kicks in the fourth quarter to win a game that Ohio State largely controlled.

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          • eethomaswfnc
            June 26, 2018 at 9:02 AM

            I admit I’m of the opinion if you don’t win your league, you shouldn’t play for the national championship. If you didn’t even play for your conference championship, it should be a practical disqualification of being included in the Final 4.

            It’s why I would have preferred a BCS style ranking system to select the 4 rather than this committee that has practically zero transparency and changes their selection criteria based on the outcome they want. At least, under the old system, everyone understood how the selection would happen.

            One year it’s the “13th game” (Ohio State over TCU/Baylor). Another it’s “game control” (Ohio State over Penn State). Another year it’s the “eye test” and “well, they had a bunch of injuries” (Alabama 2017).

            Just my $.02, but I understand others’ perspective.

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            • Biggus Rickus
              June 26, 2018 at 9:46 AM

              I’m a best four kind of guy based on the overall body of work. A team may lose a heartbreaker like OSU did and fail to reach the championship game but still have the better overall body of work. The same holds for Alabama getting in over OSU last year. But it’ll be 8 teams soon enough, and the conference champs will all get their spots.

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    • Jack Burton
      June 25, 2018 at 4:23 PM

      Bama’s success has nothing to do with ESPN bias. Bama’s success has everything to do with the product on the field. Sad that anyone that calls himself a college football fan can’t see that…

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      • eethomaswfnc
        June 25, 2018 at 4:32 PM

        Did you watch the Iron Bowl last year? Did that Alabama team look like one of the best 4 teams in the country to you? The bottom line is Bama backed into the playoff last year because Wisconsin lost and Ohio State didn’t beat the dog crap out of them as they did 3 years ago.

        Did they take advantage of it? Yep, but it doesn’t change the fact they backed into having the opportunity, and their street cred is the only reason they were given that opportunity.

        The Bama football program is a dynasty. It’s the most successful program in the conference. I’m just stating my opinion that no one outside of those 2 programs (Bama & Ohio State) could get into the playoff without even playing for their own conference championship.

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        • 1smartdude
          June 25, 2018 at 7:41 PM

          Backed into the playoffs? Perhaps. Ohio State was their competition for the spot and they certainly didn’t deserve the shot. I’m one of those that believe last year might have been Saban’s best coaching job. I’m not sure I could point out another program that could have withstood the number of injuries to key players and still had a chance to make the field. I don’t remember a major injury on our part, aside from Eason early. How would we have fared if our LB core had been that decimated? It’s a tribute to depth, no doubt, but having that kind of depth ready to play at that level is also some seriously good coaching. Like him or hate him, he had his ducks in a row.

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          • PTC DAWG
            June 25, 2018 at 8:07 PM

            I saw the game in The Benz…it wasn’t ducks he had in a row.

            Liked by 1 person

          • Greg
            June 25, 2018 at 8:18 PM

            Depth is what helped him more than anything. Not too many if any have that kind of bench strength…..but the Dawgs are quickly closing.

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          • eethomaswfnc
            June 25, 2018 at 9:21 PM

            No way they earned their spot regardless of Saban’s coaching job. They lost their last game of the regular season in ugly fashion to Auburn, sat at home on Championship Saturday, and then had to campaign for the last spot on Saturday night/Sunday morning. The committee gave them a pass solely because they were Alabama. That’s the definition of backing in.

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            • 1smartdude
              June 26, 2018 at 4:36 AM

              I don’t think they’re loss to Auburn looked any worse than ours frankly,if that’s that’s the reason you think they should have been left out. I look at it differently than a lot of folks but actually think it’s the same way the committee should look at it, were they one of the BEST four teams available. I thought they were. I also have no problem with two of the best teams being from the same conference. The best teams are the best teams. Politics has no place in the selection. Just take the best four teams. I believe they got it right. You’re case for someone else would have been who?

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              • eethomaswfnc
                June 26, 2018 at 6:21 AM

                I didn’t say they didn’t deserve to be in. I said they backed in because the teams around them lost. They sat home while everyone else had to play on that last Saturday. We redeemed our loss to Auburn with an impressive win. Oklahoma and Clemson won their way in. That’s all I’m saying … there are 2 programs that could do that Bama and Ohio State. For 2 reasons, (1) they’re good and (2) the WWL will give them the benefit of the doubt.

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  2. Derek
    June 25, 2018 at 4:16 PM

    We’re not going anywhere.

    Liked by 2 people

  3. CPark58
    June 25, 2018 at 8:48 PM

    It’s hard to make the playoffs when you lose the SECCG 31-17.

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  4. kckd
    June 26, 2018 at 4:06 AM

    The shocking thing about it is the fact that most feel they have a challenger in the conference now.

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