The schedule loves me! It really, really loves me!

You should probably categorize this as one of those things you see posted in June, but this list of point spreads for every 2012 SEC game has gotten some attention on the Intertubes.

If the favorites won every game as expected, here’s how the final conference standings would look:

EAST
Georgia 7-1
South Carolina 6-2
Florida 5-3
Tennessee 4-4
Missouri 2-6
Vanderbilt 2-6
Kentucky 0-8

WEST
LSU 8-0
Alabama 7-1
Mississippi State 5-3
Auburn 4-4
Arkansas 4-4
Texas A&M 2-6
Ole Miss 0-8

Of course I’d take that.  But there are a few head scratchers as you go down the list of games.  Florida at Tennessee is a pick ‘em, yet the Vols are double-digit underdogs to both Georgia and South Carolina, while the Gators are just a slight dog in Jax and are favored to beat the ‘Cocks by four.

Auburn is getting 7.5 when it hosts LSU and Arkansas is a 3.5 point underdog in its home game against LSU, but Auburn is favored by one when Arkansas comes calling.  And Auburn is a slight underdog at home against Georgia, although recent trends would suggest that’s a pretty safe call.

It’s not going to be a fun year for Ole Miss, going by these spreads.  The Rebel Black Bears are +31 against LSU, +30 against Alabama, +24.5 against Georgia and +23 against Arkansas.

But, yeah, bottom line, it confirms that the schedule is good news for the Dawgs.

20 Comments

Filed under Georgia Football, SEC Football

20 responses to “The schedule loves me! It really, really loves me!

  1. Mayor of Dawgtown

    Soooo….South Carolina is favored over Georgia? Hmmmm…..

    • AthensHomerDawg

      Apparently special team play and turnovers……… will again be our Achilles heel.

      • Mayor of Dawgtown

        Since realistically there are no OOC games on the schedule that the Dawgs might lose (Tech is possible but I like our chances) that is an 11-1 prediction for the Dawgs for the season as a whole.

  2. charlottedawg

    Just going on the past 20 years you would favor the gators or at worst make them very slight underdogs in every SEC east matchup. Florida has lost12 games to Eastern division opponents in the last 20 years. That’s pretty damn impressive no matter how you slice it and IMHO is the biggest reason UF has gotten a chance to play for National titles and we have not. We have never gone undefeated within the division and every loss in 02 & 07 was to an Eastern division team. This year would be a great time to get that monkey off our back.

    • Mayor of Dawgtown

      The truth is CD that the SEC East used to be what the SEC West is now and having UT and FU in the same side as UGA was really tough. The primary culprit was FU. If UGA had beaten FU all those times instead of losing that game UGA would have won all those SEC Championships instead of FU and a couple of BCSNCGs, too.

  3. JasonC

    Not sure if I see Tenn doing that much better than Mizzou.

    • Macallanlover

      I agree, Mizzou looks better than TN at this point to me. I think he has the UGA/Mizzou game about right as they will lay it all out for the SEC opener and the fans will be amped. I also think TN sees the Florida game at home as critical and will bring all they have…just not sure it will be enough. Would love to see them beat Florida, and they know that game could have a lot to do with how their season will go. Lose that one and they may be reeling to a disasterous season and more upheaval.

      As a person who love to place a bet or two, some of these lines look very tempting but I really don’t know how you can bet before all the info is in. Guess there are some fans who just bet with their gut for their favorite team. It is hard enough to bet intelligently after considering all the factors available at game time. Part of the reason those palaces are grander every time go back to Vegas. (Don’t go any more so I will have to rely on pics now.)

      • Scott W.

        The lines are designed to tempt and cash in on preseason optimism. Hope springs eternal and Vegas can always cash in on that. Hey, I like our odds though!

        • mp

          To your point, Missouri being an underdog in so many games looks to me like they’re counting on some BIG12 IS TEH SUX attitude to tempt money. (And maybe A&M, but maybe not given the different schedule)

      • AthensHomerDawg

        SOD wins 7 games in 2012. Loses his qb and two WR to the draft and the wheels come off in 2013. Game, set, match…… SOD calls Mike Shula for advice. Mike asks: “can you coach tight ends? or would you rather go the sports agent route?”
        just sayin’

      • Uglydawg

        I figure the UGA/Missouri game has a great shot at being ESPN Game Day game of the Week, or whatever those oddballs call it. If so, I’ll bet that the pregame predictions from the ESPN “staff” will be “Missouri”.

  4. Z-Dawg

    I’m curious as to who they project as Kentucky’s starter at QB for the Tennessee game since they are getting 20 points. Must be a long snapper or equipment manager to make such a difference after they got rolled by a WR last year?

  5. Uglydawg

    “Wannabe Oddsmaker” ? Interesting but based on what? Seems to put a whole lot of stock on home advantaage….also not giving Arky much respect at all. But ain’t it fun to be seeing stuff like this?

  6. Will Trane

    Very good to see Alex Wood of the Diamond Dawgs go to the Braves in the draft. Outstanding player who put in the work to overcome surgery. He had an outstanding season on the mound as the Friday starter in what is without a doubt the toughest division in NCAA D1 baseball. Congrats young man.
    Hopefully, Perno will retain a solid core even though he lost some prospects yesterday. This state is loaded with top flight baseball players in the high school ranks. Says alot about the schools, coaches, and programs and their commitment to what is truly “America’s game”.
    Interesting to see Max Prep’s preseason high school projections for football. No doubt 2012 will be fun and exciting in the SEC and state of Georgia high school teams.

  7. Dawg in Beaumont

    Wow, 4-12 projected SEC record for the new members. Like others have said, I see Mizzou faring about two games better than that projected 2-6.

  8. Texas Baller

    Being the betting aficionado I am…..Georgia was 8-5-1 v. spread last year – and typically is much worse. Vandy, KY & LSU were all line losers for the Dogs. SC was the lone push. UGA was favored in eleven of fourteen during 2011.

    I wouldn’t get my hopes up quite yet – especially being favored, preseason, in eleven of twelve – as some of the early lines are tight.

    I personally like to fade the red & black as a yearly money maker (always pull for GA – rarely bet with them – Bobo/Richt will step off the gas).

  9. Scott

    Rebel Black Bears. I cannot say that without laughing.

  10. Slaw Dawg

    Senator, dunno if I agree that the schedule is good news for our Dawgs, for 2 reasons. First, if we lose to SC and play no other highly ranked teams, we may suffer from the Boise State effect (this reason goes out the window if UF, AU and/or GT are highly ranked when we play them, but I doubt they will be). Second, I’d rather see our guys tested against tough opposition so they don’t walk into an SEC Championship game (much less what may come after) without having been put through a wringer. You may think you’re a great team after beating up on lowly opponents, only to find, say, that LSU is a helluva lot tougher than AU, UK and GT were.

    I’d love our Dawgs to win everything, of course, but the OL and ST issues, plus Murray’s occasional tendency to throw the pick 6 in the tough situation, leave me with this point of view: Let’s get past Buffalo and Mizzou, then maybe we can start dreaming a little. Maybe.