The lines have moved.

For those of you interested in how the betting public sees Georgia, here’s the latest:

South Point sportsbook has updated its betting lines for college football’s “games of the year”,  which includes four of Georgia’s 2018 conference contests on the list of odds.

The Bulldogs are still favored in all four games against South Carolina, Florida, Auburn, and Georgia Tech, according to South Point, but the lines have changed since opening in May.  In week 2 against South Carolina, Georgia was originally listed as an 11-point favorite and is now favored by 13.5. Georgia has gone from a 15-point favorite over Florida to a 13-point favorite over the Gators. Georgia moves from a 3-point favorite to being favored by 3.5 against Auburn, and from a 21-point favorite to a 19-point favorite against Georgia Tech.

Westgate Las Vegas SuperBook, meanwhile, lists Georgia as 14.5-point favorites over South Carolina, 13.5-point favorites over Florida, 5-point favorites over Auburn, and 19-point favorites over Georgia Tech

For comparison, before the 2017 season, Georgia was a 20-point favorite over South Carolina, a one-point underdog to Florida, a 10-point underdog to Auburn, and a 2.5-point favorite over Georgia Tech[Emphasis added.]

What a difference a year makes, eh?

12 Comments

Filed under Georgia Football, What's Bet In Vegas Stays In Vegas

12 responses to “The lines have moved.

  1. 3rdandGrantham

    14 point favorite at SCU is far too high IMO. I thought the line would be in the 8-9 point range at most. Hopefully Vegas is right and we come out of there with a convincing double-digit win. Oh, when was the last time we were 15 point favorites over UF pre-season? And 19 over GT is just beautiful.

    Maybe next year we can push AU up to double-digits as well.

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    • ChiliDawg

      It’s a testament to just how cowed you lot are that you whimper at a big line against SCjr but a big line against Florida doesn’t make you blink.

      For the 8,000th time…. they aren’t that good, and Mark Richt doesn’t coach here anymore.

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      • 3rdandGrantham

        Funny – last year this time I was called a drug addict for predicting a 12 win campaign and an SECC. This year I’m bring labeled a wuss for pumping the brakes a bit on expectations early in the year with a very young and inexperienced roster.

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        • Uglydawg

          3rd..you surely nailed it last year. I remember well. And I (we) would say, “I hope you’re right…but…..”. Now, I also expect a little early struggle against the Gamecocks in that awful nightmare of an environment…and hope you (and I) are wrong. Just as last years game against MsSt was a launching pad, so will this years be against SC…hoping to blow them out, but will be happy with a hard earned W. The whole East may very well be decided right there in the 10000 degree c heat of WBS.

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    • Dave

      Obligatory “How Betting Lines Work” post…The idea is to set the line at a point where they get equal action on both sides, and collect guaranteed ~10-15% on the “juice.” That one line already moved suggest early money was going on Georgia in the uSCjr game.

      From a what-will-happen perspective, the Cocks get back Samuel, but lose Hayden Hurst (who was their only offense last year against us). Bentley really struggled last year over his last 6 reg. season games. He’s the wildcard. He had a bit of a sophomore slump. If he takes a big step forward, then this game could be close. There’s also the big question of how B-Mac will do in his first year as OC.

      I think 14 pts is dead-on. Could see Georgia winning somewhere in the 10-17 point range.

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      • The 10-17 point range is right on … I would add in a game not as close as the final score indicates.

        Liked by 1 person

      • 3rdandGrantham

        That is NOT how lines are set at all. I too used to believe this now common theory until taking the time to learn more about how Vegas works, along with rubbing elbows with a few insiders.

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        • ChiliDawg

          That isn’t accurate to say that isn’t how lines are set. Bookmakers absolutely set their lines that way. Oddsmakers do not.

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        • Dave

          Can you elaborate? I take from this that they actually set lines to get more money thrown on what they think will be a losing bet.

          I used to subscribe to the theory that if a line looks too good to be true, it was, and you should bet the other way, but that rarely paid off.

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  2. These are numbers guy who are fact based. They would place odds against their own mother having an affair with a Priest, if the facts said to do so. You should feel good about where Georgia sits going into the season.

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