Circular reasoning

I don’t mean to pick on Stewart Mandel in particular (okay, maybe a little), but this is the kind of punditry that drives me crazy — from today’s Mailbag ($$) about why he doesn’t respect Texas A&M sufficiently:

… beating a three-loss North Carolina team playing without the sport’s most productive running back tandem in 15 years in a game that was tied with four minutes remaining did nothing to change my opinion. If A&M was one of the three or four best teams in the country, it would have won that game by 25-30 points, much like Oklahoma did against three-loss, stripped down Florida.

Which brings me the point of that exercise. It frustrates me that it’s 2021 and we’re still ranking football teams almost entirely by “number of losses.” You can’t tell me Oklahoma wasn’t one of the four best teams in the country by season’s end. The Sooners beat four Top 25 teams (A&M beat two), including two of the committee’s top 10, Iowa State and Florida, in their last two games (A&M beat one top-10 team all season).

So, “three-loss, stripped down Florida” still counts as a big top-25 win because of style points?  By the way, that top-10 team Mandel mentions that TAMU beat?  That would be undefeated, fully stocked Florida.

I’m not saying whether he’s justified ranking Oklahoma ahead of A&M.  It would be nice, though, if he were a little more coherent about his reasons.

38 Comments

Filed under Media Punditry/Foibles

38 responses to “Circular reasoning

  1. Coherent and reasoning aren’t two words I would use to describe Stewart Mandel.

    Liked by 4 people

    • gastr1

      I find the same issues plaguing a lot of folks on this blog re: how to process where this team is after Peach Bowl 2021. (Not you, eethomaswfnc, but alotta others…)

      Like

      • Where I think this team is is that we could be REALLY good if we can get some questions answered. If Jordan Davis were to come back, I love what we could be on defense. Monken has shown he can scheme an offense to be productive.

        Liked by 1 person

  2. Corch Irvin Meyers, New USC Corch (2021)

    Stew Mandel, like the vast majority of the people who work in the media, and especially in the CFB media as we learned this year, is a fucking asshole so out of touch with reality, why do we pay him any mind at all?

    Like

  3. Russ

    You can’t see motivation in the stats, but obviously UNC wanted to be there. Just as obviously, Florida didn’t. Hence the point difference.

    Liked by 1 person

  4. timphd

    Coherent Mandel is an oxymoron.

    Liked by 1 person

  5. practicaldawg

    If it weren’t for circular reasoning, most of the CFB punditry would have no reasoning at all.

    Liked by 3 people

  6. 79dawg

    Isn’t the whole point of hot taeking that it is mostly (if not exclusively) incoherent, circular “reasoning” devoid of logic???

    Liked by 1 person

  7. godawgs1701

    Stewart Mandel was always a hack, it’s just that he’s gotten worse.

    Liked by 1 person

  8. dawgphan34

    It doesnt even seem that hard to follow.
    Oklahoma beat four top 25 teams.
    TAMU beat 2 top 25 teams.

    based on that he thinks that Oklahoma was better.
    He clarifies that TAMU beating UNC wasnt enough to move them head considering the gap in top 25 wins, and top 10 wins.

    Like

    • Tony BarnFart

      Maybe, but he sure does push a lot of his emphasis on one common opponent and selectively dawggrades where convenient. If you’re gonna dawggrade UNC, then the intellectually honest comparison would be to also compare non-dawggraded top10 wins… of which there was 1 each: OctoberFlorida vs Iowa State.

      Liked by 1 person

  9. PTC DAWG

    The eye test told me that OU would beat aTm 6 out of 10 times most of the time.

    Liked by 1 person

    • Corch Irvin Meyers, New USC Corch (2021)

      If Floriduh hadn’t gotten beat by a shoe’s-breadth by LSU, they would’ve been in the Orange Bowl and we would’ve gotten a fantastic game between OU and TAMU.

      I actually think that game would’ve been extremely similar to the 2017 season Rose Bowl between us and OU. Run-first pro-style offense and good defense vs. Lincoln Riley’s wide-open spread attack.

      We’ll never know though, because Cousin Eddie’s boys played with the same kind of discipline that Sideshow Dan the Clown displays any time a microphone is shoved in front of his fat face.

      Liked by 1 person

      • originaluglydawg

        I think OU would have beaten up on the Aggies pretty badly. They look like a top two team to me. I’m sure ‘Bama and anOSU are happy not to have to play them. Next year, they’ll be right there. On the other hand, I thought Clemson would beat the Buckeyes blind..but I was way off on that.

        Like

        • Corch Irvin Meyers, New USC Corch (2021)

          FU’s putrid defense and we don’t care attitude made them look better than they are.

          Now, they ARE a good football team, but not that good. TAMU’s defense is legit and their offense can grind like ours did in 2017 and 2018. It would’ve been a good game. No predictions from me, but it’s ridiculous that OU is getting a bump from beating that clown show from Jortsville when they did but TAMU isn’t.

          Like

  10. whybotherdude

    Who’s penis do you have to taste to get a paying gig like Mandel anyway? He knows little about football and his writing isn’t that spectacular either.

    Like

  11. Ran A

    I’m too lazy to go back and check out his predictions of bowl games. Only know that he picked Cinci over Georgia. This guy doesn’t even show up on my radar. Can’t be easy though, having a famous brother like Howie. (joke, before you look it up)

    Like

  12. mddawg

    Coherent reasoning and intellectual consistency wouldn’t generate as many clicks.

    Liked by 2 people

  13. DawgFlan

    Not a Mandel fan. Match-ups, injuries, and motivations make transitive comparisons, and even more so margin of victory, largely a fool’s errand in CFB.

    But we do it all the time, because it is baked into college football.

    It also seems to be a bit of circular reasoning to say the subjectivity of college football is its strength – made possible by conferences, regionalism, traditionalism, a limited playoff, etc. – and also incessantly complain about people earning a living from offering their subjective takes. 😉

    Just ignore the ones you don’t like, people!

    Like

  14. spur21

    Post Hoc Ergo Propter Hoc

    Liked by 1 person

  15. Dawg in Austin

    As it ever was. He and Feldman do this on every podcast. It’s infuriating.

    Like