Well, maybe a little.
… This week, we turn our attention to how the season played out in terms of the Adjusted Pythagorean Record, or APR. For an in-depth look at APR, click here. If you didn’t feel like clicking, here is the Reader’s Digest version. APR looks at how well a team scores and prevents touchdowns. Non-offensive touchdowns, field goals, extra points, and safeties are excluded. The ratio of offensive touchdowns to touchdowns allowed is converted into a winning percentage…
And here are the APR standings sorted by division with conference rank in offensive touchdowns, touchdowns allowed, and APR in parentheses. This includes conference games only with the championship game excluded.
Finally, SEC teams are sorted by the difference between their actual number of wins and their expected number of wins according to APR.
Okay, it’s not huge, but it’s closer to an extra win than not. What it really makes you wonder is how the year might have gone if Richt had committed from the beginning to the grind it out approach he took after the Florida game.
The other interesting part of Matt’s piece is what he devotes to his Florida analysis. If he’s right, Jim McElwain had better be praying to the football gods that UF avoids regression to the mean on the turnover margin front in 2016.