“With one notable exception…”

It’s somewhat surprising with it being one of those years when the college football calendar allows for a second bye week that the SEC has actually done a credible job of making sure no school faces a calendar loaded up with opponents coming off bye weeks.

But for Georgia, that is.

The only team that has serious room to complain here is Georgia, which faces half of its league opponents coming off a bye. Of those, two are reciprocal byes (UT, Florida), leaving the always-dicey South Carolina game and bitter rival Auburn as the SEC teams well-rested and with an extra week to prepare. The ‘Barn game especially is iffy: it’s on the road. Still, that’s just two opponents in a 12-game schedule, hardly the inequities we’ve seen in schedules past.

The composite schedule is also notable for eliminating a great deal of the teams facing no opponents coming off of byes: In 2017, for instance, there were seven teams that faced no league opponents with a bye week.

And, as much as it will pain us Gumps who love to complain, even Alabama’s three bye weeks isn’t too grisly to overcome…

You know it’s rough when even ‘Bama bloggers are acknowledging that the Dawgs have a tougher row to hoe than does the Tide in that regard.

While we’re looking at the Roll ‘Bama Roll post, there’s one other scheduling category worth noting as it pertains to Georgia, what it calls “the quality of the consecutive competition”, defined as “the maximum number of consecutive SEC bowl teams that programs will face in 2019”.  Georgia is tops here, too.

Georgia: 6 (USCe, Kentucky, Florida, Mizzou, Auburn, Texas A&M). The four byes were bad enough — now, throw this string of contests into the mix. And, it gets worse still: this doesn’t even take into account that the game before this murderer’s row begins is Tennessee, a rivalry game against a team that should be improved and be bowl eligible this year. Along with their critical losses on the roster, that’s why in my post-spring predictions, I have Florida representing the East and not UGA. The Bulldogs could very well be a 13-2 team lurking behind a 9-4 record — and no result anywhere in between should surprise you.

Eh, maybe.  There are SEC bowl teams and there are SEC bowl teams.  I think he gets the real significance of this in his conclusion when he writes, “The downside of the East improving is that the road grows more difficult for those accustomed to a two- or three-game schedule.”  The East is getting better, which means the schedule grows tougher.  What’s worth remembering here is that Georgia doesn’t face the team in the division with by far the deepest roster.  Barring some unforeseen disaster, this isn’t a team going 9-4.

Not that the SEC has done the Dawgs any favors this season.

31 Comments

Filed under Georgia Football, SEC Football

31 responses to ““With one notable exception…”

  1. 9-4 is wishful thinking. Tide fans, in particular, are concerned that Kirby’s Death Star is now complete and with a fully operational one, can not only dominate the East, but beat their beloved Red Elephants on a consistent basis.

    With that said, I have the same concern you do. Less the schedule and more in how the schedule lines up for the teams we face. Georgia will handle USCjr. (although I have them 3rd in the West behind Missouri). It’s the Auburn game that is fuzzy. Not easy to tell what the Tigers will look like. With a rookie QB and big losses on defense – I’m guessing middle of the road.

    Liked by 1 person

  2. We will smash USCjr, UK, and Mizzou.

    We will handle FU.

    We should beat the Aggies at home.

    The question is whether Kirby can get his team to play its best against the West road opponent … therefore, Auburn is the biggest question for me.

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  3. stoopnagle

    Of course they (in your quote) skip right over Mizzou gets a bye before coming to Athens as well. We play Florida, Mizzou, and Auburn all in a row and after they get two weeks of prep. Then top it off with the Aggies. SEC did us no favors with the schedule.

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    • UGA'13

      Aggies get a bye two weeks before us, and Auburn has their bye in November as well. Late season opponents are going to be rested up and “ready to give us their best shot”

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  4. J.G.

    No chance the Dawgs go 9-4 (8-4 regular season, 1-0 bowl game, or, even less likely, 9-3 regular season, 0-1 bowl game). Worst-case scenario is 12-2, I think.

    I’m not even sure what “a 13-2 team lurking behind a 9-4 record” means.

    I assume that in Scenario 1, the 13-2 scenario, UGA loses one regular-season game, beats Bama or LSU in the SEC Championship game, (surely this Bama blogger isn’t predicting THAT outcome), beats its first playoff opponent, then loses in the nat’l championship game.

    Scenario two: UGA loses three or four (!) regular-season games, then wins or loses, what?, the Belk Bowl? Give me a break.

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    • Biggus Rickus

      You’re overthinking it. Roll Bama Roll is written by idiot homers who just picked Smart’s best record so far and inserted it. As for the prediction, it’s wishful thinking, as randy adams said.

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  5. Dude really just picked UF in the east due to UGA’s ‘critical losses’? As a Bama guy, does he not really understand reloading? Wishful thinking indeed. Bless his heart, he still thinks our old coaching staff is recruiting and it is one of our down years.

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  6. Just another NFS award nominee…UGA plays 4 of the six (same division), another (rivalry) it makes no difference whether those universities went to a bowl game, went in the dumpster or just went away, UGA was playing those others no matter what…nothing to report here….

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  7. W Cobb Dawg

    Opponents are gonna wish they had more bye weeks after we steamroll them.

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  8. Mayor

    At Auburn with the Barn having a week off immediately followed by ATM. There’s the rub.

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  9. GruvenDawg

    Bama rose colored glasses. Missouri also has a bye before us. Birmingham scheduling and all…

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  10. Bulldog Joe

    When it’s all said and done, they will not be happy about playing at Auburn before playing Georgia.

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  11. SouthernYank

    Could there be 4 losses? Sure. It’s the SEC. But come on. Aren’t they favored in every game? I just don’t see them losing more than 1 to the SEC East, and it’s far more likely they run the East.

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  12. practicaldawg

    Best case for Bama, they only have to face UGA once in 2019.

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  13. ChiliDawg

    LOlolol what a maroon. There’s wishful thinking and then there’s that.

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  14. Atticus

    Georgia is going to win every game until the championship and most will be a pasting.

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  15. Cojones

    Then you posters think little of the bye-week takers before they play us, right? As we get further into the schedule and the bye week opponents become more competitive with an extra week off to prepare basic smash-mouth plays towards us, you don’t think that will be tiring and injury-prone football for the Dawgs?

    It had an effect on ‘Bama and it will have an effect on us. We play one game at the time and we should speculate on the next game, not the season. Just don’t want to begin game 10 with a bunch of hand-wringers wondering if we can lose the next one, etc. and “lose the season”. Bullshit to that thinking.

    Liked by 1 person

  16. Biggus Rickus

    Georgia’s by weeks seem pretty well placed for all of this, by the way. They break the season up into thirds basically, so I don’t really see a problem. Plus Georgia’s at home or a neutral site for all but one game. It seems like much ado about nothing.

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    • Biggus Rickus

      bye*

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      • Uglydawg

        Bye, Biggus.

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        • Biggus Rickus

          Heh.

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          • Mayor

            While it is supposed to be a “neutral site” JAX is still an away game because it is not played at Sanford Stadium. Georgia is winning close to 80% of its games over the last 10 years at Sanford Stadium (a decided advantage) whereas the Dawgs only are winning about 50% during the same period in JAX. So let’s not just gloss over that fact as “much ado about nothing.” That stretch of games is going to be very difficult. The Dawgs may win all of them–and I certainly hope they do–but it will not be easy. This is how someone (if they are so inclined and have the power) sets up a team to lose: establish a schedule where the team you want to lose has to play game after game against several credible opponents giving each opponent the week off before the game, with some of those games on the road. For one thing, the team gets beaten up. Even if the Dawgs win them all it will make the SECCG more difficult. Advantage: Bama. That’s what this really is all about.

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            • Biggus Rickus

              How many games against Vandy, Kentucky, Austin Peay, Buffalo and Charleston Southern has Georgia played in Jacksonville the past decade?

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            • Macallanlover

              Yawn, you still doesn’t get the most significant point of whole JAX discussion on the actual playing of the game. There is no advantage for either team by playing there, which automatically means no disadvantage. Only point that is ever true, every other year, some Athens business owners (primarily the hotels and bars/restaurants, make a little less money that weekend. Game is level (including the off week, again, this year.)

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  17. ChiliDawg

    I honestly got a good laugh out of putting Cackalacky, Kentucky and Mizzou into a group he’s referring to as “murderers row.”

    Liked by 1 person

    • Dylan Dreyer's Booty

      I am puzzling that thinking as well. Kentucky did well last year, and Mizzou has been more successful in the SEC than I would have ever thought possible, but both lost major components to their teams, and I don’t see either having anything to really threaten us with except the schedule, such as it is. USCe was going to give us a cough hard time last year in theory, but how did that turn out? Can’t see where they have improved much either and they come to Athens this year.

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  18. ..”this doesn’t even take into account that the game before this murderer’s row begins is Tennessee, a rivalry game against a team that should be improved and be bowl eligible this year”

    Ah UT, improved and bowl eligible. I’m shaking in my hobnail boots.

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  19. Mayor

    I know some of you think I wear a tinfoil hat when I say things like this, but I don’t think the 2019 Georgia SEC football schedule is an accident. If some team has to make a sacrifice for the good of the SEC will always be Georgia and NEVER Bama. The suits in Birmingham are pro-Bama and anti-Georgia. Georgia has been getting cheated by the SEC for years in every way you can think of–from gameday bad calls to bad no-calls to instant replay shenanigans (IMHO it’s gotten worse since the remote review by Birmingham “officials”) to the playing at Auburn twice in a row fiasco, and our chickensh!t AD just takes it. Because all he and the rest of the B-M crowd care about is money. As long as B-M is getting that SEC money the party line is “make no waves.”

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  20. Salty Dawg

    Some peeps are just in denial and being delusional. It’s amazing and sickening to me at the same time. I just shake my head and read on. My gut feeling is the Dawgs are going to be really awesome this season and I can’t wait! GO DAWGS!!

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  21. Minnesota Dawg

    OK, let’s bottom line this….

    9 out of the 14 SEC teams play ONE or ZERO teams coming off of a bye week. And Georgia plays FIVE teams coming off a bye. Sorry, Birmingham, that’s just messed up.

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