And here are the lines for the SEC’s opening week of games:
- Alabama is a 22.5-point favorite at Missouri.
- Florida is an 11.5-point favorite at Ole Miss.
- Georgia is -24.5 at Arkansas.
- Auburn is a 7.5-point home favorite vs. Kentucky.
- LSU is a 17.5-point home favorite vs. Mississippi State.
- Tennessee is a 2.5-point road ‘chalk’ at South Carolina.
- Texas A&M is a 29.5-point favorite vs. Vanderbilt.
Thoughts?
Personally, betting on college football this season gives me the willies. That being said, if we do actually get a season, I will open up another episode of the Fabris Pool, assuming you guys are interested.
Not that I’d ever do it, but Arky may be the pick here. Kirby won’t want to post a number or show the barn anything.
If Leach has a good qb and a few good wrs, they may cover vs. an Lsu team thats starting over at a bunch of positions.
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I also don’t think Kiirby is into running the score up, and especially not against Pittman.
But I don’t think they score, and that’s going to make it hard to keep our points under 30.
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Problems with that:
The talent differential between starters is huge. The talent differential in 2nd string is massive. The talent differential in 3rd strings is a light year.
And all of them are going to need to be repping a new offense. We won’t see bombs up 3 scores, but we will see an offense trying to move and 2nd and 3rd stringers trying to make an impression.
I could see that one getting seriously ugly.
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Counterpoint is that Kirby has to leave his rebuilt offense in to get reps. There will be no pulling starters when it gets out of hand. He may not throw after the third quarter, but the One’s will be on the field. Auburn awaits.
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Good point, Derek, plus Kirby and Sam are on good terms.
I’m interested. The Fabris pool is my reminder why I don’t bet real money on CFB.
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“Personally, betting on college football this season gives me the willies.”
Wise words!
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should be easy to pick which games to list in the pool 🙂
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I was in the pool last year and enjoyed it. Would like to do it again. At times it was quite humbling.
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I might would lay $20 on KY if I was in a sports book.
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Clearly the SEC isn’t doing enough to limit the spread
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I think Alabama misses the cover on Missouri.
The offense is going to be heavy on the run, Nick will be content with drives ending in FGs, and the defense is breaking in a lot of new faces. Missouri will score late to get the final under 20.
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is it possible to monetize the pool? charge an
entry fee. split half between first through third place and give the rest to a charity like the reserve fund?
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Sorry, no.
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I like the UK Wildcats and the points.
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The thing about betting on CFB is that stuff happens every week that makes no sense. I mean, NO sense. That’s during normal seasons. This season there is the probability that any team could have 6 or 7 starters spike a temp on Friday or Saturday and completely change the dynamics of the game. What a nightmare.
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Kind of makes you glad you pull for a team with depth
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