Listen, I know what happened last year. You know what happened last year. Georgia knows what happened last year. Florida knows what happened last year.
“I’m sure they’ll look at the film from a year ago and see what happened,” Richt said. “There was enough success to take a look. Same quarterback. The game plan worked pretty good.”
Florida ran the ball on 60 of 66 offensive plays.
It wasn’t too complicated, Gators receiver Brandon Powell told reporters Monday.
“Last year we ran like two plays the whole game and they worked,” he said. “Two power plays and they worked the whole game.”
The obvious retort to which is that was last year.
Again, I don’t know what will be in the heads of those wearing red this Saturday, but statistically speaking there’s a pretty solid case that can be made for Georgia showing up.
Take a look at yards per play against SEC teams, for starters. Georgia, with Lambert, Schottenheimer and whomever else you want to point accusatory fingers at, is second in the conference at 6.05 ypp. The resurgent Gator offense is twelfth. Florida is averaging under five yards per snap.
Ah, you say, but the defense… that’s where they have them.
Not so fast, bruh. Defensive yards per play in SEC games? Georgia ranks ahead of Florida there, too, although it’s much closer.
So where to find the reason Florida seems to have it more together? Welp, take a look at turnover margin in conference games. The Gators top the SEC, at +8. By comparison, Georgia is a mere +1. The difference is that Florida’s offense has done a better job of protecting the ball than has Georgia’s.
The other area that really favors Florida is red zone touchdown conversions. The Gators punch it in at better than a 70% clip when they get inside the opponent’s 20-yard line. Georgia converts at barely more than half that rate.
Can Georgia do a decent job of keeping Florida between the twenties? Can the Dawgs protect the ball? If so, there’s no reason to think they can’t make a game of it.