I was getting ready to go here, but Year2 thoughtfully saved me the trouble:
Despite playing no one all that good in the first four weeks, Missouri’s rated just 42nd in that span (the figures haven’t been updated to include the 10/5 games at time of posting). In comparison, Georgia’s much maligned defense rates 26th in these opponent-adjusted ratings. [Emphasis added.] The sample size is still too small to make firm judgments, but it doesn’t appear that the defense is as efficient as the 28th-rated Mizzou offense is.
And that’s the thing of it. Missouri is behind those three upcoming opponents in both offensive and defensive S&P+, save its offense being ahead of Florida’s offense.
Vanderbilt’s offense is higher rated than Tennessee’s, so the gap between Missouri’s and Georgia’s defensive S&P+ ratings will likely narrow this week, but the bigger point – one that I brushed at when I noted how Mississippi State struggled with LSU’s offense – is that Georgia’s played more than its fair share of potent offenses this year. I’m not predicting greatness Saturday, but maybe, just maybe, the Dawgs can keep up.