Well, one thing seems certain. With an unprecedented 74 teams receiving votes in this season’s first balloting, chaos has come to town. Here’s what our top thirty looks like:
For handy comparison’s sake, here’s the top 25 from the AP and Coaches Polls:
There is a credible amount of correlation going on there. And, pertinently, without the perception of bias that plagues the Coaches Poll. Not to mention this:
A poll so easy, even a head coach has time for it.
324 people participated this week and the typical ballot had votes cast for 11.8 programs. Consistent with prior years, 60.5% of the voters are from Georgia, but I don’t think we can chalk the Dawgs’ ranking up to hometown bias.
The vote by conference breaks down like this:
We may not like it, but the Big Ten is more credible with us that it’s been in a while.
Random thoughts and observations:
- Your eyes do not deceive you. One voter left Georgia off their ballot entirely. That’s actually not that strange. In 2019, after LSU established their regular season dominance, I think there was only one week then that the Tigers were a unanimous pick by our voters.
- Speaking of 2019, I came up with a designation then I called Tier One, which consisted of teams appearing on at least 90% of ballots cast. There are three that meet that criteria this week: Georgia, Iowa and Cincinnati.
- There are only nine teams that made an appearance on at least half the ballots, which is a little slim this early in the season, especially in a season of chaos. The normal pattern is for that to shrink further and for a significant hollowing out following the over 50% crowd, so it will be interesting to see how this plays out.
What do y’all see there? Have at it in the comments.
I see Mumme poll voters assigning more value to wins than eye test – see Kentucky at #6 vs #11 in AP/Coaches and Wake Forest at #12 vs #16 in AP/coaches. That jumped out to me.
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if the 12 team playoff started today based on Mumme poll…
UGA v Wake
Iowa v Oregon
Cincy v Penn St
Okl v Mich State
Bama v Mich
UK v Ohio St
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And the existing 12 team “Playoff” is looking like:
UGA v Bama
Wake v Pitt
OU v OSU
tOSU v Iowa
Oregon v ASU
Cincy v SMU
Not to mention Notre Dame v BYE
The problem is not a lack of playoff games. The problem (for some) is having a committee whittling this group down to 4. ABD’s list above includes 3 SEC teams and 5 (!) B1X teams. For those advocates of a 12 team playoff, please walk the rest of us through how that would be “better”, “fair”, “more inclusive”, etc.
P.S. Even acknowledging that the final rankings probably can’t include 5 B1X teams, how does giving Houston, Charlotte or USTA a shot make playoffs better?
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That’s not how a 12 team playoff would work.
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Yale and Connecticut?!? ugh.
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Cincinnati clearly looks like a playoff team despite the talking heads on ESPN and CBS constantly saying there is no way The Bearcats make it. Reminds me of the kind of Dawgrading Georgia got when the Dawgs were the best team in the country at the end of 2007.
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(UTSA are in CUSA, not the Mountain West)
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I really hope Cincinnati gets into the playoff and we play them. We need a good 20 point beat down on them. They played us tough last year, but a full team of focused Bulldogs would be a completely different game.
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I thought MP was also peer reviewed? The voter who left off Georgia should be questioned and dropped if not an error.
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A GT fan voted…obviously.
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The B1O called & said it wants defense back.
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