Dawgs open as a three-point dog.
What’s your prediction on the line by game time?
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“We remember the Sugar Bowl, I think it my junior year of high school, we let Alabama beat us twice,” Brinson said of a team that also lost to the Crimson Tide in the SEC Championship game. “We’re not letting Alabama beat us twice. In the Sugar Bowl in 2018, they… thought they should have been in the playoffs and lost to Texas.” -- AB-H, 12/27/23
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Get The Picture · Bloviation for the Dawgnation
Get The Picture 
Sounds about right given the state of our secondary and the fact that Ukelele can sling the pigskin all around the field.
As for what the line goes to before game time, that really depends on injuries and transfers on either side before Labor Day gets here.
I’ll say by game time, the line will be Clemson by 4.5. Of course, I’ll take the Dawgs in a straight upset.
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+4.5 Sounds correct. I could see it getting pushed all the way to +6.
Aaaaaaaaand I still think I take Clemson. That QB is good and I have no faith in our secondary or O-line. The 2 most important units outside of QB in modern College Football.
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Let me add that when we meet them again in January I’ll be smashing the Dawgs no matter if we are favs or underdogs again.
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And who gives a damn what you think? Believe you’re on the wrong blog!
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Yeah dude, when you realize you’re incredibly, yet weirdly confidently wrong, because you don’t understand gambling lingo, you’re gonna feel really stupid.
That time is now.
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Yeah, 4.5 is enticing to all the bettors: It’s not too high so it encourages people to bet that Georgia will win straight up or beats the spread, and it’s not too low so it encourages people to bet that Clemson covers.
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Especially considering that the lines are set to clean up on the squares’ money without much analysis. All ESPN is going to be showing is the number of kids Georgia lost to the NFL and portal and the fact that Ukelele played a pretty damn good game against Notre Dame last year. The squares will think that Clemson is a lock to cover especially since neither team will have played a game yet.
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Eh, not sure that’s an accurate statement….the last time Clemson beat Bama in the NC game, it was because of their industrial strength D-Line. I’d say if you got a stout D-Line, you’re a leg up on hanging with anybody. Cincinnati had a really good D-Line and they almost upset us. If they are strong and deep and you keep hammering an OL and putting pressure on the QB, eventually nothing will work no matter how good your QB, RBs or WRs are. JMHO
Oh by the way…we have a really, REALLY good and deep D-Line, so I’ll say right now that I’m not sure I’d say we are not at least even with the Tigers. That may change, but if the game we’re played tomorrow, I’d say it’s an even spread.
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Sounds about right to me.
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Seems about right to set the initial line. The game is going to be close regardless of who wins.
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Yeah, too close to call 4 me. Will probably go down to a point by game time.
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Honestly I see that game as a pickem. If that is the line come August I will jump all over it.
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Dawgs-63
Tigers-0
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Damn, RRuss! You must use Tinactin powder by the truckload!!!!!
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Not quite that much. Got a travel bottle and extra socks and underwear in a dry bag in the bug-out kit in my truck. Never been a fan of swamp ass, crotch rot or athletes foot.
I think Clemson as a field goal favorite is about right to entice all those degenerate gamblers to willingly risk their cash on the performance of a bunch of men who are mostly not old enough to buy a beer legally. Remember when those taters were favored at home in ’03?
I’m hoping for similar results on 4 Sept.
Clemson sucks.
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63? What you smoking? We convert on all our 2 pointers after TD. 86-0
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I’d take the Dawgs on the money line all day long.
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Odds would be in your favor….they win more than they lose – 😉
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I can’t get the images of Trey Sermon beasting their front 7 or OSU’s wide outs just running past their DBs out of my head. Clemson’s D looked entirely inadequate to the task of contending with an elite roster that night. Athletically outclassed across the board.
Not sure how an off-season fixes that for them.
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While I think it is a fool’s errand to try and pick a line this early (or almost any first game at the beginning of a season) I agree that last January Clemson looked a lot like a team that built a rep pounding the rest of the ACC, and not one that was really competitive. Their new QB may be all-world, but better than Trevor? Kind of doubt it. I like our chances.
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Same here, the only thing that I can see is that Myles Murphy and Breese were just freshmen (I believe).
They will probably grow….but OSU did make them look silly & overrated though, especially running the ball.
My bet is, they will have improved that part of the game.
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Yeah but by that argument, clemson had no shot against alabama in 2018 after they’d just gotten dominated by the same team in the semi finals in 2017.
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Big difference between an off-season versus an off-season plus an entire season to integrate a future NFL #1 pick/QB into your offense.
Oh, and 2018 Clemson returned an entire NFL defensive line.
And 2017 Clemson lost to 2017 Alabama primarily due to lack of horsepower at the QB spot. Not because Alabama was hanging a bushel of TDs on them?
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Disagree. This line, if it goes anywhere, will be lower. The Georgia betting public is much stronger than Clemson’s.
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Meant to respond to Godfrey above.
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Agree. Money will move the line to as much as Dawgs +3 barring anything unusual coming out of Fall practice.
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Oddsshark currently has Clemson winning by 10. I’ll be interested to see what the total is. 5 of Clemson’s last 7 have gone over on the total in week 1.
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Seems to be about right at this point. Clemson likes to throw the ball and we do not appear to have anyone capable of covering the pass. Add in the questions we have along the O-line and -3 seems like a gift. 6.5 to 7.5 will likely be the final number. We are not yet in the elite group.
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A lot can/will change between now and then but I think it will be closer to a pick’em and the O/U will be pretty high (as will most of you on gameday). Likely around 70 points.
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All I know is take the over, no matter what it is. Gonna look like some old school Tuesday night MACtion.
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Good motivation for the DAWGS to prove betters wrong.
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I hope they get fed a bunch of rat poison as the summer progresses.
I would love it if we are underdawgs.
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https://media1.tenor.com/images/4bfc23ad9e9ae42e101f309d6d5591c9/tenor.gif?itemid=4952797
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Seems fair to me. I think it will probably tighten up closer to game time.
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Who knows? Lots of time for happy talk and glowing practice reports between now and then.
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That feels about where it will stay to me. I don’t see much movement, barring injury over the summer, etc.
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I don’t see the spread moving outside of 4.5 for either team aside from some huge off-season development like jt daniels breaks his leg under the body of a dead hooker with a mountain of coke. At the expense of sounding like tony barnhart this one is super hard to predict. I think at least one of these teams is a CFP worthy team, maybe both. Which means the outcomes could range from a jt daniels and company coming out party to the offense just getting shut down as their d line spends the whole day in our back field while the DJ ugal…uga….DJ just absolutely torches our depleted secondary.
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The line will drop to pick ‘em by gameday. The Dawgs and 3 points is just so attractive that tons of people will jump on that.
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Clemson was favored by 7 over Ohio State in the Sugar Bowl with a better team than the one they will trot out in the fall.
The line is covered in recency bias, grab it and run. QB is maybe good but he’s not Sunshine and no more Etienne in the backfield. Their QB managed to lose to Notre Dame so slow your roll on how great he is till he beats someone with pulse.
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Man… there’s a lot with your thinking that can be torn apart.
We don’t know Clemson was better in January 2021 than they will be in September 2021. In fact, given how young their defense was last season and that EVERYONE is coming back this year, you can say they likely will be better.
Ukelele made his first start ever against ND after only one week of getting practice reps with the ones, and put up over 40 points. He didn’t manage to lose shit.
It’s one thing to be subjectively in the bad for your team, it’s another to be so much so that you lose all objectivity.
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“it’s another to be so much so that you lose all objectivity.”
That’s me. Guilty. Mea culpa maxima.
Clemson? We own their ass, lock, stock, barrel and manure pile. The only way they beat the Dawgs is the Dawgs beat themselves.
Clemson sucks.
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I like the cut of your jib.
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I’m throwing in with the Dawgs even if I objectively think we could lose, and then either deal with the elation if we win or deal with more crushing heartbreak should we lose, it doesn’t matter to me.
But I still try to remain a little objective. All those years Spurrier owned our asses, if people went into the 1995 or 1996 game honestly believing we could win instead of hoping we could pull
off an upset, that’s a poor misguided soul right there.
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LOL. You’re an abused child as are all of us that lived through that period. I had no illusions during that dark period.
Have faith though. Clemson is not the Spurrier Florida of the 90s nor are we the UGA of that period (Goff and Post Jan Kemp). If we had been playing Clemson on a semi-regular basis like we used to and FSU hadn’t decided to summarily kill themselves they wouldn’t be the playoff legends they are today. We need to step on them and remind of who their betters are.
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Now that you mention 1995, I have been known to show some objectivity. Sold my ticket on the Square for $100 (they were $5 at the gate) to a gator fan and watched that shit show at Daffy D’s and hung out for the subsequent Braves WS win.
But with the game four months away and the Dawgs loaded? I’m woofing shit until then. Unobjectively.
😉
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Hah! Good man!
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Damn dude, I was in the redcoats and still went plast at Tkivoi when the bravos won. That was a night to remember.
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Tivoli and blast. Something is wrong with the word press site with chrome and safari.
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When Grissom caught that last out for the win it was more relief than exultation. All those years, and that afternoon, of eating loser shit sandwiches was washed away momentarily. Had I known that would be the last major championship of a real sport that I’d see for at least the next 26 years I would’ve pitched a bitch. As it was I toasted with long suffering friends and even ol gator Bob, a fellow Braves fan who was a bit late to the game. He walked the four miles from Sanford Stadium to Daffy D’s as he was too cheap/broke to pay for a cab after spending $100 on a $5 ticket. I dropped him off but I damn sure wasn’t going to pick his ass up after drinking about $50 of his $100.
Anyhow, after a brief celebration we went back to doing what we always did as if winning the World Series was our entitlement and many more would soon follow.
Maybe that’s why we don’t win more championships than we do as a fan base here in Georgia. We don’t get overly excited about winning the big one. Stomping a mudhole in the asses of our heated rivals is most important and if we win a Natty along the way then woohoo. That’s the way I am now. I don’t remember when I got that way. Losing even a single game used to be intolerable. Hell, I couldn’t stand not being first in sprints at practice.
Possibly my aggression has been dulled from watching my teams get blatantly and obviously fucked during critical moments so often through the years. Hrbek getting away with pulling Gant off first base, the dying of Braves home run balls and the magic lift of twinkies routine fly outs becoming homeruns as a result of strategically manufactured wind in that shithole stadium during a most tightly contested World Series is unforgettable. The Dawgs getting screwed so badly by the incompetent refs in the 2018 NC game is unforgiveable as is the shit pulled by Herbstreit and his cronies to drop the Dawgs from #2 to #5 in 2007. That’s three purloined championships that fester in my psyche and contribute to my dejection.
The most disheartening championship losses are those caused by incompetence and sheer stupidity on the part of players and coaches. The Falcons choking against the Pats is the most egregious example.
I’m not even sure any of that is responsible for my inability to celebrate exuberantly. After the 2000 win over the vols when the fans tore down the goalposts my reaction was disgust. “C’mon man. Act like you been there” was my attitude to that celebration. After all it had been only 20 years since our last NC. I was sure another was imminently in our grasp. Now its been another 20 years and I see how wrong I was.
Hard damn work, talent and competence should be enough to reward a team with the ultimate prize occasionally. Look at all the fucked up programs that have a NC since our last one. Somehow we have to become the fan base that nobody, that means media, official, program, coach, player, fan, opposition or ally, would ever dare to transgress against. Become the wrath of the Almighty to anyone who crosses us. That would put an end to the shenanigans of the Penn Wagers and Herbstreits of the world. I don’t mean physically (though I’d like that). I’m talking electronically and verbally. Make their life a living kennel. Dawg fans in their grill 24/7/365. Simply wanting it ain’t enough. That’ll only take us so far.
Then when we’ve leveled the playing field and won the National Championship? Enjoy yourself! Go apeshit! Tear the roof off the muthafuka! Turn this mutha out! Become the rabid fan base some accuse us of.
If we do these things we’ll enjoy sustained success on the national stage while still putting the cleats to those we so enjoy stomping. Light ’em the fuck up starting September 4.
GATA!
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Ukelele is elite, but so is JT. Our QB also has more game experience.
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They’re down 2 starters on defense at least already.
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Assuming no significant injuries occur between now and the game, I’d expect this to be bet down to Clemson -1.5, possibly even all the way to a pick ’em.
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As we get closer to the game I’d expect this line to tighten up and move to an even pickem.
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I’ll say this:
If we stay healthy and the line is even or if Clemson is slightly favored, the betting public is wrong.
If we’re healthy, we’re gonna beat that ass.
I’d say we’re 4 to 5 points better than Clemson.
The only way we lose is if Lanning, Smart and Muschamp decide that we need to put our young corners on islands vs. their wrs just because…
If they do that we could have issues. Otherwise, this is a mismatch.
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The problem with betting lines is that they are designed to get the public to split the bet 50/50 so the casinos can make money off the juice. That is really their only purpose. They aren’t designed to show which team is better in the vacuum without betting.
You would have to turn to statistical polls like the Sagarin which should exclude betting lines and, even then, its only as good as the numbers thrown into the algorithm.
My gut feeling is that we are decently matched with Clemson. They are returning all the defenders while our secondary is unknown. We are returning all our offense while theirs is mostly unknown. Seems like an even game at first glance.
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Even action, that’s all they want…and the reason lines move..
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Yup that’s it.
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Bets on game time?
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8pm ABC.
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I almost forgot, f Clempson.
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Bold prediction: Dawgs’ WRs, plus TEs and RBs, are WAAAY too much for Clemmy’s secondary/LBs to cover. OL gives J.T. just enough time to connect. Dawgs by 17.
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Do we know how to use a tight end – even one like #0 ?
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TBD, I guess.
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What Corch said. If we don’t know, we’d better learn. #0 should dominate, particularly in the red zone.
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I hate to say it, but if Monken isn’t going over tape about how Sideshow Dan the Clown used Pitts last year, he’s not half the coach I think he is.
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I doubt our wrs, rbs or corners are keeping anybody awake at night. Our situation at corner is likely keeping Kirby awake at night. This offense doesn’t have wrs, rb’s or even a qb anything like what LSU or Bama had the past two seasons. Maybe superstars emerge at the skill positions but the red flag is that the guy at wr that everyone is excited about is a 3 star freshman. Most of the studs signed at wr are apparently injury prone. Maybe the sum on offense will be better than the individuals. This team resembles the 2018 dawgs team more than 2019 LSU or 2020 bama but that may still be enough to beat Clemson and it won’t have to face.
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Derek is kind of out there, but he speaks the truth. We have the team that will win. At least on paper, it’s on them to do it. They can do it though.
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D, I have hated on you, but your football stuff is agreeable to me most of the time. I respect that.
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42-18-4.
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Two words: Big 0
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