November 1, 2021 · 7:00 AM

The unseen mysteries of FPI

Maybe somebody can explain to me how Michigan State knocked off Michigan and still managed to drop a spot in this week’s rankings.

15 Comments

Filed under ESPN Is The Devil, Stats Geek!

15 responses to “The unseen mysteries of FPI”

  1. gatriguy
    November 1, 2021 at 7:10 AM

    I think it’s because Auburn jumped up so much and Michigan didn’t fall below them.

    Like

  2. Derek
    November 1, 2021 at 7:11 AM

    Sparty won on the scoreboard and lost mightily on the stat sheet.

    https://www.espn.com/college-football/matchup?gameId=401282777

    Liked by 1 person

    • rigger92
      November 1, 2021 at 3:05 PM

      Gotta give credit to Sparty, but dang, the number of clutch plays that had to happen to gut out that win? If I were a State fan the last thing I would want is to play M again.

      Like

  3. 81Dog
    November 1, 2021 at 7:16 AM

    Mel Tucker gets Dawg graded because he we irked for Kirby. I expect the narrative to switch from “MuLLLLen is the best coach in the east, offensive genius, should have beaten bama, UGA HASN’T SEEN AN OFFENSE LIKE THIS” to “MuLLLLen has gone stale, is a lazy recruiter, UF just isn’t any good, wait until UGA plays a GOOD team” any second now.

    FTMF.

    Liked by 4 people

  4. eethomaswfnc
    November 1, 2021 at 7:20 AM

    More important question – how are Clemson, Florida and Texas still in the FPI top 15?

    Liked by 5 people

    • timphd
      November 1, 2021 at 7:24 AM

      DIdn’t you hear Mullen? He considers outgaining a team a win, regardless of the score. So he thinks FU is 8-0 now. They “beat” the Dawgs by a yard, so that’s a win for him.

      Liked by 3 people

      • eethomaswfnc
        November 1, 2021 at 7:27 AM

        I imagine deep in the bowels of the algorithm, there’s a “brand factor” that bumps some of these teams up in FPI. That’s all I can come up with.

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        • ericstrattonrushchairmandamngladtomeetyou
          November 1, 2021 at 8:55 AM

          I’m not so sure about this FPI shit. It has 8-0 Wake at 26th (just above Tenn) and assigns Wake zero chance at winning the CFP. Zero.

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      • Ben Dukes (@BenDukes)
        November 1, 2021 at 10:52 AM

        I’d have more respect for that philosophy if it wasn’t based in “total yards.” Yeah, the Gators outgained the Dawgs by a yard.. took them 20 extra plays to do it.

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  5. eethomaswfnc
    November 1, 2021 at 7:30 AM

    Fech has a 0.1% chance of winning out. The geeks on North Avenue approve of this message:

    Liked by 2 people

  6. stoopnagle
    November 1, 2021 at 7:35 AM

    “Game control” LOL

    Like

  7. siskey
    November 1, 2021 at 9:07 AM

    I love the advanced ratings and think that they are more indicative than the polls but I agree that it makes no sense how some teams (Clemson, Florida, Texas) etc seem to hang around the top 15 when they are .500 or so. We benefitted from this in 2014 (not that we were .500) but we stayed in the top 10 even after getting killed by Florida and losing to Tech.

    Like

  8. akascuba
    November 1, 2021 at 9:39 AM

    Michigan loses and their projected chance of winning a NC is now greater than the team that beat them please explain?

    Like

    • miltondawg
      November 1, 2021 at 10:32 AM

      Only thing that I can come up with is that Michigan State has to play at Ohio State and Michigan gets Ohio State in Ann Arbor.

      Like