First thought on Mississippi State

I don’t know if you’ve noticed, but MSU has one helluva wide home-road split this year.  They are undefeated in their own stadium through five games, largely because their offense is averaging 43 ppg at home.  (On the road, they’re only scoring 13 ppg.)

A shootout is a possibility, then… or at least a few more points than we’ve been expecting.

109 Comments

Filed under Georgia Football, SEC Football

109 responses to “First thought on Mississippi State

  1. Corch Irvin Meyers, Former Jags Corch (2021)

    As I said earlier in the week: Expect the unexpected. We could blow them away, it could be a tight game, they could keep it close for a quarter or two before we pull away… who the hell knows?

    Liked by 1 person

  2. Godawg

    Friggin cowbells…

    Liked by 8 people

  3. Anon

    I’m sure Des Howard will be all over MSU

    Liked by 3 people

  4. jcdawg83

    I’ve been more worried about this game than the UT game for a while. State is so unpredictable and Starkvegas is such a goofy place to play I don’t have a clue what might happen.

    Liked by 4 people

    • Russ

      Same here. And even the official hype video for this game focuses on Tennessee. I hope Kirby has these men dialed in on the Pirate. I know they will fling it all over the field.

      Liked by 2 people

      • jcdawg83

        I’m sure they will copy the Missouri defensive plan and bring pressure every play. On offense they throw all over the field, Leach views short passes as long handoffs. Our recent propensity for turnovers has me concerned too.

        Liked by 1 person

    • kingcmo2000

      Agree. This looked like the “scariest” game of the season to me since the spring. It’s the largest variance between consensus expectation (especially after last week) of total UGA domination and the reality that MSU is a solid team and Starkville at night will be a difficult environment. UGA under Kirby has been blown out in at least 1 road/neutral game against an SEC west team every year. Every single year. Really hope we can end that streak.

      Liked by 1 person

      • PTC DAWG

        Nice reach on the Bama game last year.

        Liked by 7 people

      • charlottedawg

        Yeah because this year’s Mississippi state is totally the same level as 2016 ole miss, 2017 auburn, 2018 and 19 lsu, and 2020-21 Bama, all ranked, 4 of the 6 in contention for an sec championship and cfp berth and 3 eventual national champion game participants.

        Look we could get upset but that’ll be because we beat ourselves not because msu even with their A+++ game is capable of beating our C- game.

        Liked by 3 people

    • Biggen

      We have better personnel and coaches then them and it’s not even close.

      You guys are getting worked up over nothing.

      Liked by 5 people

      • Russ

        Tell me the line on the Missouri game again?

        Liked by 1 person

        • Biggen

          Honestly I don’t care what it was. We won. Sure, we probably didn’t cover but Vegas was still right in putting us the favorite.

          Liked by 1 person

          • Dawgfans will find any reason possible to fear an L.

            At this point, if you’re a Georgia fan, and you’re putting ANY stock in the Missouri game as being a true sign of this team, then I can’t help you at all. Even the national pundits have abandoned the “Georgia really struggled” for the “Georgia just plays with its food” narrative.

            That game was quite literally never in doubt – yes, even when down 2 scores in the 4th.

            Liked by 3 people

            • godawgs1701

              I’ll admit, I didn’t think at all that we could lose the game… until I did. Georgia waited until I started to wonder if the game was in doubt before they took over, but looking back at the game after the wins that followed makes it look less stressful.

              Like

          • PTC DAWG

            Tell me who won again? F the line.

            Liked by 1 person

    • Got Cowdog

      The last time I worried about Georgia playing Mississippi State Nick Fitzgerald ended up looking like he’d shown up at RangerRuss’ house unexpected Selling Amway.
      FTMF

      Liked by 3 people

      • RangerRuss

        LMFAO!
        Wife was at the Ga-Fla game about 30 years ago. Had the boys over and the religious group that travels in pairs dropped by. They accepted my invitation to come in. They were appalled and intrigued at the debauchery as some of the boys brought their dates from Toppers. And the alcohol. We rigorously insisted they stay for awhile at the risk of insulting us.
        Occasionally I’d see them walk by my house. But for some reason they never stopped again.

        Liked by 1 person

  5. Auburn scored 33 on these guys in Starkville and took them to overtime. Dawgs win 48-20.

    Liked by 16 people

  6. Georgia’s offense and defense is coalescing nicely…there’s only one true group of Bulldawgs in the SEC

    We TCB in Starkville

    Liked by 5 people

  7. TEXBaller

    Gonna be cold as a MF’er!!

    Liked by 3 people

  8. munsoning

    Not saying the Fauxdogs aren’t better at home, but they’ve beaten up on two pretty crappy teams: Memphis (4-5) and Bowling Green (5-5). Kirby will get them boys ready to play. 38-17.

    Liked by 1 person

  9. lincolndawg

    They’ve played Memphis, Bowling Green, TAMU, Arkansas, and Auburn at home. No offense to any of those teams (except for Auburn), but they are nowhere near to our level.

    Liked by 1 person

  10. Derek

    If we’re locked it, we’re fine. We start vomiting the ball up, as we’ve had a tendency to do this fall, all of a sudden we’re in a fight against a team who is giving us their best shot….

    Liked by 7 people

  11. PTC DAWG

    State doesn’t have the horses to keep it close.

    Liked by 2 people

  12. ApalachDawg aux Bruxelles

    Auburn put 33 up on the northeast miss. cow bell college.
    The Athens Dawgs will be just fine.

    Liked by 1 person

  13. I think this one will be close early. I am worried that the emotional roller coaster from last week will have our guys coming out flat. It’s just human nature. I think we cover, but don’t put them away until late.

    Liked by 1 person

  14. They’re too worried about their fat little girlfriends…Dawgs roll to clinch the SECCG appearance.

    Liked by 12 people

  15. Terry McCullers

    Kirby’s on it. We will play our best game to date.

    Liked by 1 person

  16. cowetadawg

    My only concern is overconfidence after last Saturday’s dominance. Missy St.’s QB is a baller, but Dawg talent wins when focused.

    Like

  17. D.N. Nation

    It feels about 17 years ago, but I’m still spooked from State bringing like 30 scholarship guys to Athens during the Covid year and the Dawgs requiring one of the best QB nights in program history to squeak out a win.

    Liked by 1 person

  18. Salty Dawg

    All of y’all that are Munsoning need to go back and watch last Saturday’s game again and get your confidence back! GO DAWGS!

    Liked by 4 people

  19. TripleB

    I read something good about defending leach teams in regard to their game against Bama. Basically, the point was that dink and dunk drives like Leach is so good at aren’t as effective against a good defense like Bama’s. It’s hard to string together play sustained drives against a stout defense. It certainly wasn’t that day. I like our defense better than Bama, and I like our coaches to scheme against their offense better than Bama. Like our chances, IF we don’t play down to our opponent (i.e. Kent State/ Missouri).

    Liked by 2 people

  20. The only way the Dawgs don’t cover, is if Kirby goes vanilla to keep things off game tape.

    I already laid the points.
    (This is not financial advice)

    Go Dawgs.

    Liked by 3 people

  21. Their offense looks fairly balanced and potentially good to me but their D looks average at best. It’ll be interesting to see WR and company further test our secondary. We now have a history of fumbling(already 3 more than all of last season)so expect to see MS defenders trying to punch the ball out.

    We’re still committing too many turnovers for me to be comfortable. Win the TO battle and we blow them out. Don’t and end up in a battle or worse. This is a prime game for a let down but Kirby has a good history of not allowing that. Hopefully they trend will continue.

    Like

  22. spur21

    Kirby and crew will have a plan and if that plan isn’t working he will adjust until he find the right plan. That will silence those fucking cow bells.

    Liked by 1 person

    • rigger92

      Hell, if I’m a player I’m extra motivated to put this game away as quickly as possible so I don’t have to hear those damn bells.

      Like

  23. Dylan Dreyer's Booty

    If it’s any consolation the MSU long snappah sucks. Bad snap almost got the punter killed, and the first team punter is out for the rest of the season. So there’s that.

    I hate Mike Leach. I wouldn’t mind if we keel-hauled that sweet ol’ boy.

    Liked by 2 people

  24. Tony BarnFart

    There was a piece in the AJC that i liked telling me Kirbys dialed in. May have also been a shot across the bow letting State know we’re hyper focused. He basically had a full paragraph letting them know we’re mining all the data on how long their QB holds the ball in various situations. We’re coming for you up front bitch don’t think we’re taking you lightly.

    Like

  25. Ed Bodenhamer

    In road games, Kentucky has played defenses allowing an average of 24.6 points per game and they scored an average of 19.5 in those games; that’s 20.7% lower than average.

    In home games, they’ve played defenses allowing an average of 30.0 ppg, while scoring an average of 43 in those games; that’s 43.4% higher than average.

    If you take those home figures and apply it to the Georgia defense, you could expect them to score around 15 points

    If you want to take it further and look at how their defense performs, they are holding teams to 4.8 ppg below their average; that’s 17.8% lower. Apply that to the Georgia offense, and you’ve got them allowing us to score 33 points.

    So basic statistical and trend analysis points to something like a 33-15 game. Not so much the picture painted by the post.

    Liked by 1 person

  26. stoopnagle

    I was supposed to go. Until today when I got sick and can’t. So horribly bummed out. But if anyone is looking for a room for Saturday, the Historic Chester Hotel should have one open now.

    Like

    • Got Cowdog

      Stoop I hope it’s just a bug.
      The only time I’ve been to/through Starkville was on the way to Louisiana, ’cause I-20 is boring. 3 red lights later I looked at Got Sr.
      “That’s it?”
      “Yep”
      “Huh.”

      Liked by 1 person

  27. uga97

    No Oline false starts & offsides due to improper preparation for the loud cowbell environment please. Sign language & finger gesture practice today.

    Like

  28. RangerRuss

    Georgia vs Tennessee replay is on the SEC Network at 8 tonight. That’s the same time as Falcons at Panthers.
    Guess which one I’m going to watch?

    Like