If you’re going to try to make a case for Tech winning this Saturday, then this Michael Cunningham piece that looks through advanced stats to see where potential areas of advantage for the Jackets may exist takes a more credible approach than Mark Bradley’s “hey, rain! — it could happen!” wankery.
Of the three items he cites, the first, which is grinding on offense and staying in third-and-short situations, is his strongest. (Plus, you know Johnson isn’t the kind of coach who punts on fourth-and-short.) The second, generating explosive plays, is the weakest. That’s the strength of Georgia’s defense this season and it’s hard to see why GT would succeed there.
The third is “create havoc”. It’s a good argument; Tech can’t let Georgia’s offense do its usual impose your will thing. The problem with blowing things up is that Tech’s been more lucky than good with turnovers this season and if Tech’s DC decides to create pressure through blitzing, that’s going to present Chaney with some opportunities to exploit.
Neither of the defensive fronts is good at generating pressure, but you tell me which side benefits the most from that, the offense with the quarterback who’s fourth in the country in passer rating, or the one with a quarterback who would rank 85th if he had sufficient attempts to qualify?
If you want more specifics, here’s Fromm’s numbers throwing from a clean pocket before the LSU game…
Stewart: What are your five most underrated rivalries? I feel like in-state rivalries often get overlooked (UGA/GT, South Carolina/Clemson) and the national scene misses out on some of the regional flavor.
Dan McDermott, Davidson, N.C.
I’ll give you South Carolina-Clemson, but I don’t get the sense Georgia fans give two hoots about Georgia Tech at this point. Maybe that changes if the Jackets win this week…
All I can say in response is that you must be looking for hate in all the wrong places.
“And Georgia fans, don’t be turds. Enjoy this. Soak it up. It’s awesome. If you don’t win this year, it’s still not a failure. It’s a heck of a run. Back-to-back in the Playoff era hasn’t been done. So, to ask for a third I feel like it’s gluttonous. I feel like it’s not OK. But we’ll be in the mix.”-- David Pollack, On3.com, 5/9/23