Daily Archives: July 5, 2021

Moar Steele rankings

Here’s a nice daily double.

Offense is good, not not quite as good.

Georgia’s problem, of course, is that it likely faces two teams in the regular season ranked higher on all four lists.



Filed under Georgia Football, Phil Steele Makes My Eyes Water

TFW reality steps in

An insider’s look at Georgia Tech“, you say? Well, prepare to unleash the snark!  Let’s line up the mockery for this:

“Obviously, the Bulldogs and the Tigers have beaten them like an FCS team since Collins arrived, so they need to be competitive in those games again.”

Well, true.  Okay, nothing to mock there.  But what about this?

“With all of that said, the biggest addition for Tech fans is placekicker Brent Cimaglia from Tennessee. Tech had the worst kicking in the P5 the last two years, and it was almost impossible for them to kick a field goal last year. So if he’s okay, that will be a huge upgrade.”

I’ll give you that, too.  Hmmm…  Surely this will bring the sarcasm!

“The Coastal is full of mediocre-to-average teams again, so if they can just play well in league play, they should be a 5-7 win team. Anything less than that, and Collins will be under pressure to make staff changes and will lose some momentum in recruiting.”

Jesus H. Christ on a bicycle!  Where’s the delusional optimism, I ask ‘ya?  Where’s the StingTalk-like cockiness?  Hell, we could have written that stuff here.

Man, what a killjoy.


Filed under Georgia Tech Football


Gee, I wonder how much practice he’ll be missing with this.



Filed under Georgia Football, It's Just Bidness

Don’t want your pity.

How long has it been since 1980?  This long ($$):

Steve Spurrier remembers what happened, and recalls it with a surprising sadness for Georgia’s sake, considering he may be the program’s ultimate nemesis. Ask Spurrier about Georgia’s long championship drought, and he volunteers that the Dawgs are “certainly capable” of ending it this year, and even downplays the long wait.

“There’s 41 years that a lot of other schools haven’t won one either,” Spurrier said.

Argh.  I’d rather have the mockery.


Filed under Georgia Football, The Evil Genius

TFW the buildup is better than the punchline

Interesting, PFF.

We are exactly two months away from FBS football kicking off on a Saturday afternoon. And the release of PFF’s College Football Preview Magazine makes this the perfect time to highlight the best betting opportunities on FBS futures odds.

Let’s dive into the best bets to make based on PFF’s vast college database that powers our NCAA Greenline product and our latest season-long simulation. We will walk through every conference, highlighting the teams with the most value based on market expectation.

Tell me more.

Alabama and Georgia — the usual suspects leading the conference — are expected to finish atop the SEC, combining for 68% of the implied probability to win the conference title. Both blue-blood schools have over a 50% probability of winning their respective divisions.

Five of the top 10 teams with the best odds to win the national championship play in the SEC, making it once again the deepest conference in college football. Whichever team emerges from the conference title game will be the odds-on favorite to receive the No. 1 seed in the College Football Playoff.

Coolio.  So what’s the best bet for the Dawgs, given that lead in?  Winning the division?  Making the CFP?  What?


Win Total: 10.5 -134 | 105
Conference Odds: 28.6%
Playoff Chances: 25.0%
Championship Odds: 12.5%

Best bet: Georgia under 10.5 wins +105

The story of the 2021 Georgia Bulldogs will come down to the play of quarterback J.T. Daniels, who has yet to live up to his five-star recruit status. Daniels has put together only two games with an 80.0-plus PFF passing grade in 16 college starts. Georgia isn’t exactly easing into their 2021 schedule, either, with a neutral site contest to start the season against Clemson. Georgia is currently a four-point underdog and doesn’t look to have many one-sided matchup wins on paper.

From a betting perspective, one of the easiest ways to play the Bulldogs is on their under win total, which provides zero wiggle room in the event they lose in Week 1. The betting market seems set on Daniels playing closer to his recruitment status than his true performance over the past three years. If he once again fails to deliver on that promise, then the Bulldogs should fall well short of their win total. PFF’s simulation has them with a median win total of 9.5, which offers plenty of value given the +105 price on their under 10.5 betting line.

Gee, thanks.


Filed under Georgia Football, What's Bet In Vegas Stays In Vegas