Daily Archives: September 13, 2017

Today, in fake juice

C’mon, Gators, you can do better than this.

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Filed under Gators, Gators...

“Mom, I got this.”

Mark Schlabach has a good story about Jake Fromm’s temperament going into the Notre Dame game.  But that’s not what I want to post about.  This is:

In January 2015, longtime NFL assistant Brian Schottenheimer replaced current Colorado State coach Mike Bobo as Georgia’s offensive coordinator. Schottenheimer had been on the job only a few weeks when he traveled to Warner Robins to see Fromm work out. He also evaluated Bailey Hockman, another in-state quarterback from McEachern High School in Powder Springs, Georgia. At the time, the Bulldogs were trying to decide which quarterback to take as part of their 2017 recruiting class. Fromm and Hockman were both highly rated prospects.

It was cold and windy on the day Schottenheimer watched Fromm throw, and his father admits it wasn’t a great workout. About three days later, Emerson pulled Jake out of school and took him to Athens to meet with Schottenheimer and the rest of Georgia’s assistants. Emerson said Jake was immediately turned off by Schottenheimer’s first question: “Do you have any other offers?”

Jake had already received scholarship offers from more than a dozen schools, including Cincinnati, Kentucky, Michigan State, Ole Miss, Penn State and South Carolina.

“Jake is pretty quick,” Emerson said. “He either likes you or he doesn’t. When Schottenheimer asked him that, it just really turned him off. Jake was just disinterested after that.”

The guy drove a productive offense into the ditch and displayed a deft touch on the recruiting trail, all to the tune of $950,000 a year, which at the time made him “the second-highest paid offensive assistant in the SEC and the nation, trailing only LSU’s Cam Cameron, who made $1.3 million in 2014.”  As they used to say in the Garment District, “such a deal”.

I’ll keep saying it until the day I die, but somebody ought to write a book about Georgia’s 2015 season.  If you didn’t know what went on behind the scenes, you’d never believe it.

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Filed under Georgia Football

Ladies and gentlemen, your 2018 schedule

Well, it is what it is.

9/1 vs. Austin Peay

9/8 at South Carolina

9/15 vs. Middle Tennessee

9/22 at Missouri

9/29 vs. Tennessee

10/6 vs. Vanderbilt

10/13 at LSU

10/20 – BYE

10/27 vs. Florida (Jacksonville)

11/3 at Kentucky

11/10 vs. Auburn

11/17 vs. UMass

11/24 vs. Georgia Tech

That may be Georgia’s worst non-conference schedule of my lifetime.

On the other hand, I’m smelling a nice-looking road trip to Louisiana there.

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One thing about this weekend’s SEC slate

Outside of Alabama and Missouri, there’s uncertainty about how much of the conference shapes up.  Some of that should change, based on these four games:

  • Tennessee – Florida
  • LSU – Mississippi State
  • Kentucky – South Carolina
  • Kansas State – Vanderbilt

Florida’s gotten an unexpected bye week to prepare for the Vols, and based on what we saw against Michigan, the Gators needed it.  One question there is whether the suspensions continue.  [UPDATE:  They will, apparently.]

Mississippi State has played weak opposition, but Bill Connelly notes that the Bulldogs have still managed to punch considerably above their S&P+ weight.  They’re at home and getting almost seven points against an LSU team that’s looked better than I thought.

Here’s what Matt Melton has to say about the third game:

Is South Carolina the most statistically unimpressive 2-0 FBS team? No way. Take a look at the overall numbers for Illinois or Old Dominion. However, the Gamecocks are the probably the most statistically unimpressive 2-0 team with a pair of legitimate wins. The Gamecocks have beaten a pair of Power Five opponents away from home despite being outgained by over 300 total yards and despite averaging nearly half a yard fewer per snap than their opponents. How have they done this? They have pretty much run the board in ‘The Little Things Bingo’. The Gamecocks have returned two kickoffs for touchdowns, have a turnover margin of +4, and have stopped their opponents three on fourth down. While it is possible to walk this tight rope for a full season (hell my alma mater did it in 2006), expecting it to continue is a good way to be disappointed. Teams will eventually stop kicking to Deebo Samuel and for a few games here and there, the turnover margin will probably swing the other way. This team feels like a lite version of Muschamp’s second Florida team. The defense is not nearly as good, but the passing game is better. That Florida team was able to skate by all season on middling per play numbers, but then 2013 happened. The bill usually comes due. Anyway, while that Florida team was able to keep winning all year, they were not very good against the number as a favorite, posting a 3-5 ATS mark in the role with two outright losses. Kentucky has flown under the radar in the early going with less than impressive wins against Southern Miss and Eastern Kentucky. However, Kentucky has actually won the last three games in this series despite being an underdog twice and the Gamecocks have only covered once against the Wildcats since 2009 (the first game after Stephen Garcia was dismissed in 2011). Look for more of the same this week. South Carolina may move to 3-0, but the Wildcats will put up a fight.

That’s a good point about the resemblance to Boom’s 2012 Gator team, except that team actually beat some really tough opposition.  In that regard, the jury is still out on South Carolina.  That being said, I’ve seen nothing out of Kentucky so far that impresses me.

As far as Kansas State and Vandy go, that’s an interesting cross-conference meeting.  I’ve made a note about Shurmur’s hot start, but Matt notes that Ralph Webb’s start hasn’t been nearly so impressive, particularly when you consider the opposition.  He’s not kidding; right now, Webb’s 2.78 ypc ranks 37th in the SEC.  Is Shurmur thriving because defenses are keying on Webb?

What are y’all’s thoughts?

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Today, in second time’s the charm

I just couldn’t help but compare Bill Connelly’s percentile performances of Georgia’s second regular season games against Notre Dame and Nicholls.

  • 2016 — Overall:  20%; Offense:  1% (!); Defense:  18%
  • 2017 — Overall:  68%; Offense:  27%; Defense:  85%

No, that’s not a picture of dominance, but it definitely is progress.  (Not to mention that the defensive percentile figure posted against Notre Dame was higher than it was in any game from last season.)

Baby steps, peeps.

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Filed under Georgia Football, Stats Geek!

Meet at the quarterback.

I’ve already gone on at length about the brilliance of Mel Tucker’s game plan against Notre Dame.  Ian Boyd breaks down three sack plays to illustrate the ways Tucker schemed to wreck havoc in the Irish backfield.

It wasn’t just the speed of Bellamy and Carter that was so devastating.  Tucker did a masterful job of mixing looks and bringing blitzes from different places.  Notre Dame had difficulty keeping up.

Then again,

sometimes it was just the speed of Bellamy and Carter that was so devastating.

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Filed under Georgia Football, Strategery And Mechanics

Numbers, numbers, numbers

Three stats from last weekend’s games that might matter:

2 TDs were scored by Mississippi State nose guard Jeffery Simmons in the Bulldogs’ 57-21 victory over Louisiana Tech on Saturday. In the first quarter, Simmons blocked a punt from the Louisiana Tech 24-yard line and recovered the ball in the end zone. In the third quarter, with Louisiana Tech on Mississippi State’s 2-yard line, the 301-pound Simmons picked up a fumble and returned it 90 yards for a touchdown.

Simmons is a beast who’s getting some serious All-SEC attention in the early season.  If the Notre Dame game left you concerned about the middle of Georgia’s offensive line, that’s probably not a good thing.

2 Consecutive South Carolina games have featured a TD kickoff return by South Carolina WR Deebo Samuel. In the Gamecocks’ season-opening game, Samuel returned the opening kickoff 97 yards for a TD in a 35-28 victory over North Carolina State on Sept. 2. On Saturday, Samuel had another 97-yard kickoff return for a TD in South Carolina’s 31-13 victory over Missouri. On the first snap after the kickoff return, the Gamecocks intercepted a pass, and, on the next play, Samuel ran 25 yards for a TD, scoring 15 seconds after his previous TD as South Carolina took a 14-10 lead. Samuel’s three TD kickoff returns are a school career record, and they’ve come in his past five games.

Against South Carolina, if Blankenship isn’t told to boot every kickoff into the end zone, that’s coaching malpractice.

5 Of Georgia’s 10 wins since Kirby Smart became the Bulldogs’ coach last season have featured fourth-quarter comebacks, including Saturday’s 20-19 victory over Notre Dame. Georgia trailed the Fighting Irish 19-17 until Rodrigo Blankenship kicked a 30-yard field goal with 3:34 to play. Last season, the Bulldogs beat North Carolina, Missouri, Kentucky and TCU after trailing in the fourth quarter. Georgia also beat Auburn in a game that was tied in the fourth quarter. Georgia lost games in 2016 to Tennessee, Vanderbilt and Georgia Tech after the Bulldogs led in the fourth quarter.

It’s not a good idea to leave a Georgia game early.

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Filed under Georgia Football, SEC Football